Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"If we hold on until April, the tides will turn and we will begin to steadily push them back."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the frontlines of the Ukraine war for 16 March 2023. He notes that according to the ISW, the overall pace of Russian operations in Ukraine appears to have decreased significantly compared to previous weeks, with daily Russian ground attacks decreasing from 90-100 to 20-29 per day, a 70% decrease.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector (Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- Not much to report, some shelling in the Kupyansk area as normal
- Fighting is happening south of Hrianykivka, not westwards across the Oskil River which would be difficult for the Russians to cross
- Noel Rapport's map has Lyman-Pershyi under solid Ukrainian control, which is a significant claim. Defmon has Sinkivka under Russian control.
- Ukrainian artillery hit and destroyed a Russian command post along with several BM-27 Uragan MLRS near Kupiansk, continuing the trend of MLRS being taken out in recent days
Bakhmut
- Russians have taken Zaliznyansky in the north and are putting pressure on Orekhovo-Vasylivka and towards Minkivka
- The road by Khromove is under heavy fire from Russian ATGMs and MLRS
- Fighting in the tunnels under the AZOM complex, with Russians making advances
- In the south, notable Russian advances around Korsunsky Street and the rest of the cemetery
- Conflicting reports on whether Bakhmut will be fully encircled by Russians. Some say it's unlikely, others believe it's imminent.
- Ukrainian forces in Bakhmut are low on ammunition and shells. If they can't secure a supply route soon, they may need to retreat.
- ISW believes the Wagner offensive on Bakhmut is nearing culmination due to heavy losses. Additional Russian reserves would be needed to prevent this.
Avdiivka
- Russians have taken full control of Krasnohorivka in the north
- South of Avdiivka near Severne, Ukrainians conducted a successful counterattack, destroying a Russian tank and forcing BMPs to retreat
- Fighting continues in central Marinka with little change in recent days
- Russians made some incremental gains in northern Marinka
Vuhledar
- Vuhledar remains a major problem for Russian forces
- A captured Russian soldier's diary revealed that only 57 out of 434 soldiers (13%) survived a 4-day assault near Vuhledar
- Russian forces are rushing operations and failing to employ proper mine-clearing practices
- Ukrainians have beaten back Russians and taken a few hedgerows in recent days
- Russians in Pavlivka and Mykilske feel confident to attack but lack sufficient vehicles
- If Ukrainians can hold Vuhledar until mid-April, "everything will be okay"
Zaporizhzhia Oblast
- A small Ukrainian recon attack south of Orikhiv ended badly, with a couple of armoured vehicles destroyed
- Russians claim they repelled a Ukrainian amphibious attack from Nikopol across the Kakhovka Reservoir, but this is unconfirmed
- Extensive fortifications continue to be built by Russians in Zaporizhzhia Oblast
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and supporting the channel. He appreciates all the likes, shares, and comments. Viewers can further support via Patreon, PayPal or Buy Me a Coffee if they wish.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
The name of the commander of Bakhmut that Jonathan has doubts about was unclear in the transcript
Some of the town/village names mentioned were hard to catch and may be misspelled
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Watch the video and read through the transcript to get an overall understanding of the content
Identify the main topics covered in the video and create subheadings for each
Summarize the key points under each subheading, keeping the language British English
Include any relevant quotes, opinions or insights from Jonathan
Note any parts of the transcript that were unclear
Review the summary to ensure all key topics were covered and the British English is consistent
