Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Putin is a liar…just in case you didn’t know, he’s a liar."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:20⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another frontline update, reminding them to refer to the map key for clarification if needed. He plans to cover the Kupyansk, Svatove, and Kreminna areas first.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna Frontline Update (North-East)
🎦 00:20-02:18⏩
Jonathan points out relatively few changes on the map compared to previous days, with most gains favouring the Russians. He highlights increased Russian activity near Synkivka, featuring armoured assaults and heavy shelling. East of Ivanivka, Russians have reportedly retaken positions, showcasing the back-and-forth nature of the conflict in that area.
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Bakhmut Frontline Update
🎦 02:18-06:15⏩
- Jonathan acknowledges limited territorial changes but emphasizes significant ongoing activity.
- North of Bakhmut, Russian forces have advanced near Sakhovyi Vasylivka, crossing the Vazivkivka River, a naturally defensive barrier.
- In Soledar, conflicting reports emerge regarding control of slag heaps, with claims of both Ukrainian and Russian successes.
- Jonathan questions the accuracy of Syriac Maps' claims regarding Russian control of the area, emphasizing the need for multiple sources and consistent evidence. He highlights Tim White's report of Ukrainian gains near Toretsk but notes a lack of detailed information.
- Jonathan emphasizes the importance of cautious and conservative mapping, praising Andrew Perpetua's approach for its reliability and emphasis on verified information.
Avdiivka Frontline Update
🎦 06:15-09:43⏩
- Jonathan discusses Russian gains near Stepove, with both DeepStateMap and Syriac Maps indicating expanding Russian control in the village and along the railway.
- He mentions reports of Russia improving its positions southeast of Avdiivka in the industrial zone, but Ukrainian forces maintain a presence.
- Jonathan highlights the heavy shelling of Severnye, west of Avdiivka, with Grad rockets, drawing attention to Russia's frequent use of MLRS systems. He questions their accuracy while acknowledging their psychological impact and potential for effectiveness in saturation bombardments.
Mariinka Frontline Update
🎦 09:43-13:26⏩
- Jonathan addresses reports suggesting Mariinka might be lost, with geolocated footage indicating Russian presence in areas previously considered under Ukrainian control.
- He acknowledges the likely fall of Mariinka while emphasizing the ongoing strategic importance of the surrounding areas, particularly Kurakhove, due to their logistical and infrastructural significance.
- Jonathan discusses the discrepancies in mapping around Pobeda, noting Syriac Maps' long-standing inaccuracy regarding Russian control. He views this as a tacit admission of error, highlighting the importance of evidence-based mapping and consistent reporting, as exemplified by Andrew Perpetua's work.
Dnipro River Frontline and Kinburn Spit Update
🎦 13:26-21:07⏩
- Jonathan reports no significant changes along the southern frontline, but notes activity around Robotyne. He highlights Russian success in pushing back Ukrainian forces near Kopani, erasing recent Ukrainian gains.
- In the Kinburn Spit area, there are no reported changes, but Jonathan acknowledges ongoing activity. He references No Reports' tweet mentioning Russian claims of a counterattack east of Kinburn Spit, which remains unconfirmed.
- He criticizes Putin's statements regarding the situation in Kinburn, specifically Putin's assertion that the Ukrainian bridgehead serves only political and media purposes.
- Jonathan argues that a successful and expanded bridgehead would pose a significant threat to Russian forces.
- He dissects Putin's claim of ordering a controlled attrition strategy in Kinburn, questioning its authenticity and suggesting it's a post-hoc rationalization to explain Russian struggles in the area.
- Jonathan contrasts Putin's claim of only six wounded Russian soldiers in Kinburn with Andrew Perpetua's compilation of visually confirmed Russian vehicle losses, highlighting the stark disparity and concluding that Putin is misleading the public.
- He references UK intelligence reports confirming heavy Russian losses in Kinburn, further challenging Putin's narrative.
- Jonathan analyzes the performance of Colonel General Mikhail Teplinsky, commander of the Russian VDV (Airborne Forces) and the Dnipro River grouping, noting criticism from Russian milbloggers and suggesting Teplinsky's reputation is suffering due to perceived inaction and setbacks.
- While acknowledging the difficult situation for Ukrainian forces in Kinburn, Jonathan believes it remains advantageous for them, albeit with slow progress in expanding the bridgehead. He questions whether the current rate of attrition favours Ukraine sufficiently for a decisive victory in the long run.
Wrap Up & Book Recommendations
🎦 21:07-24:00⏩
- Jonathan encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video, expressing gratitude for their support.
- He seizes the opportunity to promote his books, "Survival of the Fittest" and "Metamorphosis and Adaptation."
- Jonathan also recommends his children's book series, "The Truthseekers," which incorporates elements of philosophy and critical thinking.
- Lastly, he highlights "The Family Book of Words of the Day" for word enthusiasts.
- He concludes by reiterating the importance of supporting his channel through book purchases and reviews.