US Politics BUMPER Election Extra: Harris - Trump Showdown Update
Table of Contents 📖
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:12⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a US election special video, highlighting the upcoming debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. He mentions the debate's significance and the anticipation surrounding it. He explains that many people believe the debate could define the election's trajectory and that the outcome could be a critical moment in the campaign. Jonathan mentions how people are waiting with bated breath to see how Harris and Trump perform and the potential consequences if either candidate doesn't do well. He also suggests that the debate's significance might be overplayed and that after a few weeks it could be forgotten, with the general campaigning resuming. Jonathan mentions that this might be the only debate but that there are various possibilities for additional debates. He concludes by noting that the election race is very tight and that they'll be looking at polls in detail later in the video. Jonathan concludes this section by stating that this is the closest race in history.
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2024 US Presidential Election: Harris vs. Trump - Polling Data
🎦 01:12-02:50⏩
Jonathan discusses the polling data for the 2024 US Presidential Election, emphasizing the unprecedented closeness of the race. He notes that the polls have consistently shown a margin of less than 5% throughout the campaign, making it the closest race in history. Jonathan shares his opinion, stating that he is not a fan of Trump and finds it unbelievable that despite his previous term, four years of "whining", and current legal challenges, he remains as popular as he is. He also believes Trump has a hard ceiling in terms of support and likely won't win the popular vote. The question, Jonathan says, is whether Trump can secure enough votes in the right locations to win the electoral college. Jonathan observes that Trump seems reluctant to broaden his appeal beyond his base, which he believes hinders his chances of winning a larger share of the vote.
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Harris vs. Trump: Room for Growth
🎦 02:50-04:11⏩
Jonathan highlights the difference between Harris and Trump's potential for growth in the polls. He suggests that people already know what to expect from Trump, so his support is likely capped. In contrast, Harris has more room to grow because many voters are still unfamiliar with her, her stance, and who she is. This lack of familiarity is due to the fact that while she has been Vice President for four years, she hasn't been consistently in the media spotlight and Biden may have kept her busy with behind-the-scenes work. Jonathan believes that this debate will be a crucial opportunity for Harris to introduce herself to a wider audience. Jonathan then discusses how Trump needs to control how he comes across during the debate, suggesting he needs to be calm and focus on policy. However, Jonathan expresses his belief that Trump lacks substance and knowledge on policy, which could be an area for Harris to exploit.
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Harris's Strategy: Prosecutorial Style
🎦 04:11-05:09⏩
Jonathan outlines Harris's potential strategy for the debate, suggesting she should adopt a prosecutorial style, while simultaneously dismissing any personal attacks from Trump. Jonathan highlights Harris's successful approach during a CNN interview where she simply dismissed Trump's comments about her race with "Yeah, same old tired tropes. Next question please." He believes this kind of dismissive approach could be more effective than engaging in combative exchanges.
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High Stakes for Harris
🎦 05:09-05:33⏩
Jonathan emphasizes the high stakes for Harris in this debate, arguing that a poor performance could be more detrimental to her than to Trump. He believes that Harris needs to gain more voters through the debate, whereas Trump is unlikely to significantly expand his base. Jonathan also refers to a widely discussed hard ceiling of 46-47% for Trump, suggesting that he is limited in terms of potential gains.
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Trump's Strategy: Targeted Gains
🎦 05:33-06:11⏩
Jonathan suggests that Trump's strategy should focus on gaining a limited number of voters in key states. He emphasizes the importance of targeting efforts towards specific locations rather than trying to appeal to a broader audience. He references an NBC article about the debate, which discusses the importance of certain aspects of the debate and the influence of the rules and protocols in how the debate unfolds. Jonathan acknowledges that the structure of the debate could limit the candidates' ability to fully convey their desired messages. Jonathan also emphasizes the importance of focusing on key states rather than national polling data.
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Harris's Challenge: Communicating Bidenomics
🎦 06:11-08:54⏩
Jonathan explores the challenge facing Harris in effectively communicating the success of Bidenomics, while simultaneously distancing herself from Biden. He suggests that she needs to highlight the positive aspects of the current economic trajectory while simultaneously avoiding complete association with Biden. In contrast, Jonathan argues that Trump will likely emphasize the negative perceptions of the economy, aligning those perceptions with Harris's association with Biden. He believes that Trump will attempt to exploit the gap between perception and reality, claiming that the economy is as bad as people believe. Jonathan then highlights specific economic factors that Harris could utilize to counter Trump's arguments, including the decline in petrol prices and favorable economic statistics. He emphasizes the importance of effectively selling the positive economic narrative to voters.
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Harris's Goal: Projecting Competence
🎦 08:54-10:10⏩
Jonathan suggests that Harris's goal during the debate should be to come across as competent and knowledgeable. He believes that if she can project an aura of strength and competence, she can avoid being drawn into Trump's attempts to derail the debate. Jonathan highlights the importance of Trump's willingness to expand his appeal beyond his base, suggesting that his failure to do so is a key weakness.
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Debating Trump: A Challenge for Moderators
🎦 10:10-11:08⏩
Jonathan discusses the potential challenges facing the debate moderators, considering the possibility of Trump's tendency to deviate from the established format and topics. He questions how much leeway the moderators will provide to the candidates to deviate from the structure and engage in freestyle discussions. Jonathan acknowledges the debate's importance but also questions the extent to which it will be a defining moment. He expresses his interest in watching the debate unfold and providing commentary alongside it.
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Siena New York Times Polls: Inconsistencies with Other Polls
🎦 11:08-12:38⏩
Jonathan discusses the Siena New York Times polls, highlighting their tendency to produce results that are unfavorable to Democrats. He contrasts these polls with other polls on 538, which show Harris leading in most cases, with the exception of the Siena New York Times polls. Jonathan mentions how these polls have led to concerns about Harris's performance, but other polls like Morning Consult and RealClearPolitics paint a more positive picture for her. He concludes by noting that the race is extremely tight and will ultimately hinge on the outcome in several key states.
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Key States: Pennsylvania, Georgia, Arizona, North Carolina
🎦 12:38-14:48⏩
Jonathan highlights the importance of key states, particularly Pennsylvania, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Arizona, and Wisconsin, in determining the election's outcome. He references data from Sky News about how these states are currently polling. While Harris is currently ahead in most of these states, Jonathan emphasizes the extremely narrow margins, particularly in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. He points out that even in Michigan and Nevada, where Biden won in 2020, the lead is very small. Jonathan acknowledges the possibility that these polls are subject to a margin of error, suggesting that the race is essentially a dead heat. He emphasizes that while Harris is leading in these states, it is not a guaranteed victory by any stretch of the imagination.
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Electoral College Map and Pennsylvania's Importance
🎦 14:48-17:54⏩
Jonathan transitions to the electoral college map, explaining that a candidate needs 270 electoral votes to win. He highlights the key swing states on the map and explains how the outcome in those states will determine who reaches 270. Jonathan then focuses on Pennsylvania, which has 19 electoral votes and is considered crucial for the Democrats. He argues that even if the Democrats lose Nevada, Arizona, and Georgia, holding Pennsylvania essentially guarantees them a win. However, he acknowledges the close nature of the race and the potential for shifts in the outcome. He then discusses Nebraska's unique system of splitting electoral votes, with the second district being allocated separately. He emphasizes the significance of Pennsylvania, stating that if the Democrats lose it, they'll be in a difficult position to lose any other key states. Jonathan concludes this section by reiterating the importance of Pennsylvania and the fact that both parties need to secure those 270 electoral votes to win the election.
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North Carolina in Play: Potential Shifts in the Map
🎦 17:54-18:31⏩
Jonathan introduces the possibility of North Carolina becoming a key battleground state for the Democrats. He points to recent polls that show a shift in favor of Harris in that state. He suggests that if North Carolina swings towards the Democrats, it could provide a safety net for them, allowing them to potentially lose Pennsylvania and even Arizona. Jonathan emphasizes the changing dynamics in the election, suggesting that more options are becoming available for both parties. However, he still believes that Pennsylvania remains a critical state for the Democrats, given its historical status as a battleground state.
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Pennsylvania's Lehigh Valley: A Critical Area
🎦 18:31-22:52⏩
Jonathan dives into the importance of the Lehigh Valley region in Northeastern Pennsylvania, arguing that it holds the key to the election outcome. He highlights the dramatic shift in voting patterns in this area, from Obama winning it in 2012 by a narrow margin to Clinton losing it by a staggering 21% in 2016. While Biden, despite his Scranton roots, didn't fare much better in 2020, Jonathan sees potential for improvement in this region, particularly for Harris. He cites a recent New York Times Siena poll that shows Harris at 43% in this area and emphasizes that if she can reach 43% in this region, it's game over for the Democrats, as they would likely win Pennsylvania and secure the election. Jonathan expresses his belief that both parties will likely focus their efforts on this area, given its significant impact on the overall outcome.
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Importance of Pennsylvania's Northeast: Stagnant Trends
🎦 22:52-23:18⏩
Jonathan reinforces the importance of Pennsylvania's Northeast, particularly the Lehigh Valley region, suggesting that the success of either side in this area could determine the election's outcome. He predicts that both parties will heavily target this region with advertisements and visits, given its pivotal role in the election. He also suggests that the voting trends in other areas of Pennsylvania are likely to remain stagnant, except for this northeastern region. Jonathan concludes by reiterating that if Harris can secure 43% of the vote in this region, it's a sure victory for the Democrats.
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Democrats' Work Cut Out for Them: Pennsylvania's Importance
🎦 23:18-23:34⏩
Jonathan acknowledges that the Democrats have their work cut out for them, but believes that they are in a position of advantage due to their voter registration advantage in key areas. He also points out that the population in those counties is increasing, which is a positive factor. Jonathan reiterates the critical importance of Pennsylvania and the Lehigh Valley region, suggesting that if Harris can secure over 40% of the vote in this region, it will likely lead to a Democratic victory in the state.
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Harris's Potential Victory: Reestablishing the Blue Wall
🎦 23:34-23:57⏩
Jonathan outlines Harris's potential for victory, highlighting her strong showing in recent polls. He expresses confidence that if she can maintain her current momentum, she'll likely win Pennsylvania and help the Democrats reestablish their "blue wall" of support. While acknowledging the close nature of the race, he suggests that it might not be as close as some people believe. Jonathan emphasizes that his views on the election are simply his personal pontification.
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Wrap up
🎦 23:57-01:10⏩
Jonathan concludes the video by expressing his interest in the news about Pennsylvania and the positive implications for the Democrats. He acknowledges that the race will still be tight and that there will be a lot at stake in the Lehigh Valley region. He then discusses the overall polling trends, noting that the averages are leaning in favor of Harris, with the exception of the Siena New York Times polls. Jonathan highlights a few other interesting developments, including a narrow lead for Harris in Georgia and North Carolina. He suggests that the success of either candidate in these states could create alternative pathways to victory, even if they don't secure Pennsylvania. Jonathan emphasizes the importance of these statewide polls. He then transitions to a discussion of independents and the need for Trump to expand his base beyond his current supporters.
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The Undecided Voter Pool: A Key Factor
🎦 01:10-01:31⏩
Jonathan delves into the topic of undecided voters, exploring the factors influencing their decisions and the potential for them to swing the election. He acknowledges that while many voters have already made up their minds, there is still a significant number of undecided voters. Jonathan highlights the importance of understanding the different subgroups within this pool, acknowledging that some voters are highly informed and seeking more information, while others are less engaged and might only be tuning in now. He emphasizes that reaching these less informed voters is crucial for both campaigns. Jonathan notes that voter motivation and enthusiasm are key factors, and that Harris's campaign needs to actively engage and motivate those who are undecided about whether to vote or which candidate to support. He believes that Harris's lack of name recognition could be a challenge in this regard.
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Harris's Strategy: Engaging Undecided Voters
🎦 01:31-02:03⏩
Jonathan suggests that Harris's campaign needs to find ways to reach and engage undecided voters. He acknowledges that many of these voters might not be as engaged in politics and might be more likely to focus on other aspects of their lives, such as watching television shows. Jonathan emphasizes the importance of both candidates breaking through to these voters and creating enough enthusiasm to motivate them to vote. He also believes that Harris's campaign has been successful in motivating her base of supporters.
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Harris's Focus: Economy and Media Exposure
🎦 02:03-02:57⏩
Jonathan outlines Harris's key areas of focus. He suggests that she needs to prioritize addressing the economy and increasing her media exposure. He believes that Trump's success in appealing to voters who have a positive view of the economy, despite the pandemic, necessitates a strong counter-narrative from Harris. He encourages her to present a positive case for the economy and to increase her visibility in traditional media and through influencer channels. He highlights the importance of voters getting to know her better and understanding her positions.
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Harris's Criticism: Unrealistic Expectations
🎦 02:57-03:34⏩
Jonathan addresses criticisms directed at Harris regarding her lack of interviews and detailed policy information. He argues that these criticisms are unfair and unrealistic, given the short timeline of her campaign and the demanding nature of preparing for the debate. He acknowledges that Harris has done some interviews, including on black radio stations, but acknowledges that these might not be considered significant enough. Jonathan highlights the perspective of the Pod Save America podcast, which suggests that it's unrealistic to expect a candidate to have a comprehensive policy manifesto and a full slate of interviews so early in the campaign. Jonathan emphasizes that Harris has only recently taken over the campaign, making it difficult to create her own platform from scratch.
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Senate Race: Democrats Facing Challenges
🎦 03:34-03:51⏩
Jonathan shifts focus to the Senate race, noting that the Democrats face significant challenges in maintaining control of the chamber. He explains that the Senate is already extremely close, with a 51-49 split, and that the Democrats are likely to lose several seats in the upcoming election. Jonathan mentions the resignation of Joe Manchin, highlighting that it's unlikely that a Democrat will replace him. He also notes that the Democrats are facing uphill battles in other Senate races, suggesting that they could lose control of the Senate.
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Senate Races: Close Contests in Montana, Texas, and Florida
🎦 03:51-03:56⏩
Jonathan discusses the Senate races in Montana, Texas, and Florida, highlighting the close nature of the contests. He mentions that John Tester in Montana is currently behind by eight points, which is not a good sign for the Democrats. He also points out that the race in Texas between Ted Cruz and Colin Allred is much closer than initially expected, and that Tim Scott is facing a strong challenge from a candidate from Puerto Rican and Venezuelan descent in Florida.
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Texas and Florida: Trending Democrat
🎦 03:56-04:08⏩
Jonathan discusses the ongoing trends in Texas and Florida, suggesting that both states are moving towards becoming more Democratic. He mentions that Texas, in particular, is trending more Democratic and that there is a possibility it will become a blue state by 2028. He acknowledges that Florida is not showing as much of a shift, but he believes that Texas is becoming a purple state and could potentially turn blue in the future.
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Senate Races: Potential for Democrat Wins
🎦 04:08-04:26⏩
Jonathan acknowledges the challenges facing the Democrats in the Senate races, but he also highlights potential for upsets and wild card wins. He suggests that some unexpected victories could offset losses in other races. He recognizes the possibility of unpredictable outcomes in these Senate races.
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Growing Challenges in the Senate: Endorsements for Harris
🎦 04:26-04:52⏩
Jonathan reiterates the growing challenges facing the Democrats in the Senate, despite the positive trends for Harris in national polls and key states. He then transitions to the topic of endorsements for Harris, noting that she continues to receive support from notable figures, including a retired army lieutenant general and a former Republican who expresses concern about the potential consequences of Trump's presidency on NATO. Jonathan notes that this pattern of endorsements is becoming increasingly common.
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Harris's Ad Campaign: Targeting Trump
🎦 04:52-05:58⏩
Jonathan discusses Harris's ad campaign, focusing on an ad that criticizes Trump. He highlights the ad's effectiveness in targeting Trump's character and questioning his fitness for office. The ad features quotes from former Trump administration officials, including his vice president, defense secretary, and national security advisor, who express concerns about his behavior and competence. Jonathan acknowledges that the ad might not persuade everyone, but believes it is a necessary addition to the campaign.
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Trump's Reaction to Harris's Ads: Riled Up
🎦 05:58-06:30⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's likely reaction to Harris's ads, suggesting that he will be riled up by the criticism. He points to a second ad that directly attacks Trump, portraying him as a whiny billionaire and highlighting his obsession with crowd sizes. Jonathan predicts that Trump will likely rise to this criticism, given his tendency to react to personal attacks.
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Endorsement Trends: Republican Support for Harris
🎦 06:30-06:54⏩
Jonathan returns to the topic of endorsements, noting the growing trend of Republicans endorsing Harris. He acknowledges that while there have been many Republicans expressing support for Harris, there have been few Democrats publicly backing Trump. Jonathan mentions Tulsi Gabbard and RFK Jr as exceptions, but expresses his reservations about considering them true endorsements.
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Gender Gap in Voting: Young Men vs. Young Women
🎦 06:54-07:59⏩
Jonathan introduces the significant gender gap in voting patterns, specifically focusing on young men and young women. He highlights the growing divergence between the voting behaviors of these two groups. Jonathan observes that Trump is targeting young men through social media platforms and influencers like Joe Rogan and Logan Paul, suggesting that this is a strategic move given the growing divergence in voting behavior between young men and young women. He notes that young women are skewing more Democratic, while young men are leaning towards Republican. Jonathan references a report from the Department of Justice that suggests Russian propaganda is aimed at gamers and minorities to influence the 2024 election, implying that the Russians recognize this gender gap and are targeting young men through disinformation campaigns.
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Targeting Gen Z Men: Trump's Strategy
🎦 07:59-08:31⏩
Jonathan expands on Trump's strategy of targeting Gen Z men, highlighting the appeal of his "free speech" message to this demographic. He suggests that Trump is attempting to capitalize on a perception among young men that their free speech rights have been suppressed and that the media is biased against them. Jonathan also mentions how figures like Tim Pool, Benny Johnson, and Taylor Hansen, who appeal to younger men, are being targeted by Russian disinformation campaigns, suggesting that these campaigns are exploiting this demographic's anxieties.
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Media Bias: Attacking the Press
🎦 08:31-09:16⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's attacks on the media, specifically his tendency to accuse journalists of bias and dishonesty. He cites an example of Trump criticizing a crowd size reported by the media, suggesting that he feels the media is intentionally downplaying his events. Jonathan expresses his concern about Trump's attacks on the press and his potential to undermine public trust in media. He suggests that Trump's rhetoric is nonsensical and that he employs word salad to deflect from substantive issues.
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Trump's Promises: Executive Order on Free Speech
🎦 09:16-09:48⏩
Jonathan highlights Trump's promises to address concerns about free speech. He mentions Trump's pledge to issue an executive order banning federal employees from limiting speech and to fire any federal bureaucrats engaged in censorship under the Harris regime. Jonathan expresses concern about Trump's rhetoric, suggesting that it could create a climate of fear and distrust.
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Trump's Rhetoric: Concerns about the Armed Forces
🎦 09:48-10:19⏩
Jonathan discusses Trump's rhetoric about arresting election officials and other individuals he accuses of wrongdoing. He raises concerns about the potential for Trump to use the armed forces for political purposes, arguing that it's a worrisome trend to see him talking about deploying the military to arrest people. Jonathan also highlights the potential for Trump to exploit anxieties about immigration by promoting fear-mongering narratives about illegal immigrants, potentially leading to further division and hostility.
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Harris's Potential Advantage: Addressing Trump's Rhetoric
🎦 10:19-10:40⏩
Jonathan suggests that Harris could leverage Trump's rhetoric about deploying the military and his fear-mongering about immigration to her advantage. He argues that if she addresses these issues in the right way, it could resonate with voters and potentially sway undecided individuals.
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Gender Gap: Shifting Trends
🎦 10:40-11:42⏩
Jonathan returns to the topic of the gender gap in voting, focusing on the shift in trends among white voters. He cites polling data that shows a significant shift among white women towards Harris, with a 13-point advantage for Trump before the Democratic convention shrinking to a 2-point edge. He also notes that Trump's advantage among white men has increased from 13 points to 21 points. Jonathan acknowledges that Trump's overall support is shrinking among women, but that he is gaining ground among young men. He suggests that this shift is significant, as it could potentially impact the election's outcome.
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Women as a Key Voting Bloc: Harris's Campaign Rollout
🎦 11:42-12:05⏩
Jonathan highlights the importance of women as a key voting bloc, suggesting that they have been instrumental in Harris's successful campaign rollout. He emphasizes that women's support is a crucial factor in the election's outcome.
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Gen Z: Gender Divergence in Political Views
🎦 12:05-13:09⏩
Jonathan delves into the growing gender divergence in political views among Gen Z, specifically highlighting the shift in attitudes towards liberalism and conservatism. He cites a CNN article that analyzes the evolution of political leanings among young men and young women over a decade. The article reveals that while young men have shifted slightly left, young women have sped leftwards, with three times as many identifying as liberal than conservative in 2023. This shift has created a significant gap in political views between the two genders. Jonathan also notes that while younger men are generally more liberal than older men, they are not as liberal as younger women.
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Gen Z: Diverging Views on Social Issues
🎦 13:09-13:52⏩
Jonathan explores the diverging views on social issues among Gen Z men and women. He cites a Harvard University poll that shows young men are significantly more likely to support conservative stances on issues like building Trump's border wall, opposing same-sex relationships, and justifying Israel's actions in Gaza. However, he points out that even among young men, a minority holds these conservative viewpoints.
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Pod Save America: Gender Gap and Trump's Targeting of Gen Z Men
🎦 13:52-14:38⏩
Jonathan introduces the topic of the gender gap in voting, citing a Pod Save America podcast discussion on why Trump is targeting Gen Z men. He highlights the massive gender gap between Gen Z men and women, with Harris leading among young women and Trump holding an advantage among young men. Jonathan suggests that this gap is more pronounced among younger voters than in older generations. He also notes that while a majority of young men still support abortion rights and same-sex marriage, a significant number feel aggrieved by societal progress and perceive discrimination against men.
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Gen Z Men: Socially Liberal but Feeling Aggrieved
🎦 14:38-15:28⏩
Jonathan explores the complex political landscape of Gen Z men, highlighting their social liberalism while simultaneously feeling aggrieved by societal changes. He notes that while a majority of young men support progressive policies like abortion rights and same-sex marriage, they also feel that society has gone too far in favor of other groups, leading to a sense of entitlement being taken away.
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Gender Polarization: A Persistent Issue
🎦 15:28-16:09⏩
Jonathan discusses the persistent issue of gender polarization, highlighting how it has become more pronounced as societal progress towards gender and racial equality continues. He suggests that this polarization is particularly prevalent among those without college degrees, as evidenced by the gender polarization data. He also explores the phenomenon of grievance narratives, where individuals perceive themselves as victims of persecution, often without any factual basis.
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Persecution Narratives and Grievance Psychology
🎦 16:09-17:01⏩
Jonathan delves into the psychology of grievance narratives, citing the example of Christians in America who often claim to be persecuted, despite evidence to the contrary. He argues that these narratives, often perpetuated through myth and misinformation, can become ingrained in individuals' psyches and contribute to a sense of victimhood. He highlights the potential for these narratives to create a zero-sum game mentality, where progress for one group is perceived as a loss for another.
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Social Isolation and the Rise of Grievance Narratives
🎦 17:01-17:49⏩
Jonathan explores the connection between social isolation and the rise of grievance narratives. He points to data showing a significant increase in the number of men who report having no close friends, particularly among non-college graduates. He suggests that this social isolation can lead individuals to seek answers and explanations for their feelings of grievance and that the internet, with its algorithms, can provide them with the most polarizing and outrage-inducing content, further reinforcing these feelings. Jonathan believes that the pandemic has exacerbated this trend, as individuals spent more time online seeking connection and community.
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Gender Equality and Men's Sense of Entitlement
🎦 17:49-18:35⏩
Jonathan discusses the complex relationship between gender equality and men's sense of entitlement. He argues that some men may feel a sense of grievance stemming from the perception that they are being blamed for societal issues like the pay gap and discrimination against women. He acknowledges that while there are legitimate concerns about discrimination against women, there is a difference between acknowledging those issues and blaming men for them.
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Young Men's Concerns: Economic and Cultural Shifts
🎦 18:35-19:17⏩
Jonathan explores the specific concerns of young men, suggesting that they are experiencing a sense of displacement both culturally and economically. He points to concerns about the changing landscape of work, where a college degree is no longer seen as a guarantee of a secure future and a family-supporting wage. He suggests that these economic anxieties, coupled with traditional notions of masculinity and family, can contribute to feelings of being unable to fulfill their perceived roles.
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Trump's Strategy: Appealing to Grievances
🎦 19:17-19:53⏩
Jonathan highlights Trump's strategy of appealing to grievances and anxieties among young men. He suggests that Trump is using the perception of a zero-sum game, where progress for one group is seen as a loss for another, to his advantage. He believes that Trump's rhetoric resonates with those who feel their place in society is being threatened by societal changes.
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