Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Ukrainians have had much more success in this general area than inside of Bakhmut but I guess the success in Bakhmut is going to be evaluated in terms of the loss ratios for both sides."
Hello Team!
Jonathan mentions it is the Easter holidays in the UK so his children are around which may impact the timing of his videos over the next couple of weeks. Being a Monday, many mappers and sources don't operate as much on Sundays so updates can be more limited.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northern Front (Kupyansk, Svatove, Kreminna)
- Not a lot of activity reported. Some repelled Russian attacks claimed by pro-Russian source Morgonzo around Masyutivka, Ternova and other places.
- Geolocated footage shows Russians attacking a Ukrainian position near Chervonopopivka so Ukrainians could control territory closer to there.
- South of Kreminna, footage of a Ukrainian tank battle/attack on Russian positions around Verkhnokamianske. Ukrainians could hold territory further east.
- Pro-Russian source War Gonzo claims unspecified Russian gains in the Kreminna area, managing to move a little in the Serebryanske forest area after assault actions from Shipylivka.
Bakhmut
- Recent video shows Wagner troops in the center of Bakhmut, taking control of the city council hall and other institutional buildings. Close to 70% of Bakhmut has been captured.
- Russians likely seized more of the AZOM plant in northern Bakhmut. Ukrainians conducted missile strikes (likely Tochka-U) on the plant on April 2nd.
- Wagner confirmed in Bakhmut district administration building. Ukrainians may have withdrawn west of the railway line for better defense due to pressure from AZOM plant and encirclement danger.
- Differences between pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian maps around level of control in parts of Bakhmut.
- The two sides are operating under different metrics for success in Bakhmut - territorial gains for Russia vs. loss ratios for Ukraine.
Southwest of Bakhmut
- Ukrainians have made gains southwest of Bakhmut, pushing Russians back north of Ivanivske.
- Differences between pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian maps on extent of Ukrainian-controlled territory southwest of the city.
- Ukrainians launched a counterattack and expelled Russians from the western side of the water channel by Ozaryanivka.
Avdiivka
- Not a great amount of news, possibly due to the weekend.
- ISW reports Russian forces continue ground attacks along the Avdiivka-Donetsk city line.
- A Ukrainian spokesperson stated Russians retreated from unspecified positions in the Donetsk direction but no real detail provided.
Vuhledar
- UK intelligence suggests the Russian 155th Naval Infantry Brigade has likely been reduced to combat ineffective status at least twice in the last 6 months due to tactically flawed frontal assaults near Vuhledar.
- Russian state TV host Vladimir Solovyov recently visited the 155th brigade, likely as part of an information operation to revive the brigade's reputation following their failures.
- Some small Russian advances to the east of Vuhledar based on pro-Russian maps.
Southern Front
- Melitopol has been hit 3 times in the last week with HIMARS strikes, including a rail depot multiple times.
- This may be the Ukrainians shaping the battlefield in Zaporizhzhia in preparation for a counteroffensive towards the coast, to threaten Crimea and cut off the Russian land bridge.
Wrap up
Jonathan notes that while it may be a quieter day informationally due to the weekend, it doesn't mean there is less activity on the battlefield. He plugs an upcoming live interview with Anastasia Paraskiv who is from Kharkiv, discussing her experiences and thoughts on the war. It will be at 8pm UK time on Tuesday. Jonathan thanks viewers for their support and asks them to like, subscribe and share. He notes his video timings may be a bit different over the next 2 weeks due to the Easter holidays.
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