Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid - Ru's War Footing Alarm
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Table of Contents 📖
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"If we don't invest in making our, not just Ukrainian consumption rates sustainable to enable Ukraine to keep grinding forward and potentially win, but also to refill our own stocks, the danger is we get to a point in two to three years' time with the US tied up in the Indo-Pacific, where Europe suddenly has very little. And at that point, you would have a rearmed Russia, a very embittered Russia, a very battle-hardened Russia, and suddenly a very vulnerable Europe."
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces this video as a Ukraine War News Update for 28 November 2023, focusing on the military aid segment. He plans to do a separate video on geopolitics.
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US Presidential Drawdown Authority for Ukraine
- President Biden requested only $7 billion in presidential drawdown authority for Ukraine in 2024, a 50% decrease from what the US sent in just 3 months this year.
- Congress needs to raise this amount or it will negatively impact Ukraine's battlefield success.
- House Speaker Mike Johnson acknowledged the necessity of assisting Ukraine, but tied it to changing US border policy.
- Jonathan hopes Johnson has been briefed on the importance of supporting Ukraine beyond short-term political interests.
Russia Militarizing Its Economy
- Russia is surreptitiously getting its economy on a war footing, which is alarming as it allows them to sustain a narrow, war-focused economy.
- A Wall Street Journal article highlights how Putin is using high oil revenues to fund growing weapons production, while political paralysis in the US and Europe threatens the supply of weapons and money Ukraine depends on.
- Russia's material advantages in 2024 are principally on its side, but may not be decisive enough to achieve its political aims. Ukraine's prospects dim if the right choices on resourcing are not made by the West.
Necessity of Long-Term Western Support
- In an interview, Justin Bronk from RUSI emphasizes the critical importance of Western countries taking a long-term view in supporting Ukraine.
- If Ukraine can keep Russian casualty rates high, it prevents Russia from regenerating large-scale offensive formations. But this requires continued ammunition supplies from the West.
- Politicians need to understand this will be a long war and make the necessary investments in military production now. Framing it as an economic stimulus creating skilled jobs domestically can help gain public support.
- Failure to do so risks a future scenario with a battle-hardened, embittered Russia facing a vulnerable Europe, while the US is preoccupied with China in the Indo-Pacific.
Military Equipment and Aid Updates
- France is delivering 4 FPB-98 patrol boats to Ukraine via Romania, possibly to circumvent restrictions on naval vessels transiting the Bosphorus.
- Ukraine received 13 armoured ambulances purchased through the United24 fundraising platform.
- Ukrainian forces are customizing US-supplied Humvees for specialized engineering roles.
- Ukraine plans to change conscription policies to sustain fighting capacity, using targeted recruitment to match skills and roles.
- Germany allocated €300 million for repair and modernization of Ukraine's energy system.
Russian Military Updates
- Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov claims to be sending 3,000 more fighters to Ukraine.
- A Chinese-made Type 83 mortar bomb was found on Russian positions in Melitopol, prompting calls for a strong reaction to deter China from increasing supplies.
- Putin's daughter's foundation became co-owner of Russia's largest drone manufacturer, which is under Ukrainian sanctions.
- Russia failed to sign any deals at the Dubai Air Show, a major setback for its arms export industry. In contrast, Western companies signed $67 billion in contracts.
- Iran finalized a deal to purchase Russian Su-35 fighters, attack helicopters and trainer jets, likely in exchange for drones and missiles. The actual delivery timeline is uncertain given Russia's strained production capacity.
Wrap up
Jonathan concludes this detailed update, urging viewers to pressure their politicians to steadfastly support Ukraine for the long haul. He plans to further analyze Justin Bronk's insightful interview in upcoming videos, given its critical importance.
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