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Ukraine War Update: South Frontline Update

Front Line Friday, 14th July 2023, 15:43
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"Stop counting Bradleys and Leopards and think about the bigger picture."

Introduction

This video is part 2 of the frontline update, focusing on the southern frontline and Kherson. Both parts need to be watched together to get the full picture. The video was split into two parts to keep the length more manageable for viewers.

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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Donetsk region

  • Limited operations are taking place according to the ISW
  • Russian sources claim they repelled Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups around Volodymyr-Kivka, east of Mikulska


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Velyka Novosilka sector

  • Russian channels report big fights in this area
  • A Russian source claims the enemy went on a large-scale offensive near Orikhiv after conducting a massive artillery preparation
  • The area has some elevation changes but is generally quite flat


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Huliaipole area

  • Russians have made some gains north of Marthapil according to Syriac Maps
  • It's unclear if the Russians are genuinely trying to take Huliaipole or just disrupt Ukrainian counter-offensive plans
  • Russian forces are shelling Ukrainian positions with TOS-1 thermobaric munitions in this area


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Robotyne area

  • Ukrainian troops advanced 1.7km in the Melitopol direction over the past week, an average of 250m per day
  • Progress is slow due to extensive Russian mining - up to 400 mines laid in 2 hours in some places
  • Ukrainians are now training to remove landmines using grenades dropped from drones
  • Meanwhile Russian drones are dropping grenades to burn wheat fields in a scorched earth tactic
  • Ukrainians are working behind Russian lines while Russians shell Ukrainian equipment
  • Some Russian military bloggers claim the slow grinding Ukrainian counter-offensive is bearing fruit and fixating on individual losses misses the bigger picture of attrition of Russian forces
  • The ISW says Ukrainians have been partially successful northeast of Robotyne while Russia claims to be repelling attacks


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West of Robotyne

  • Ukrainians making very slow progress but question is are they still achieving objectives of fixing and attriting Russian troops
  • Video shows Ukrainians shelling Russian forces in Zaryabiyanki village, geolocated to a specific treeline
  • Ukrainians are advancing slowly down fields having to deal with extensive minefields and trench lines
  • Taking out defensive positions is demanding and slow but will there be a tipping point allowing quicker breakthroughs?


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Kherson and Dnipro

  • Ukrainians hitting the Konka River bridge with FPV drones to destroy boats sheltering underneath
  • They control some land near the river delta and are sending marine drones to hit bridges
  • Footage shows a Ukrainian special forces riverine operation on the delta, assaulting Russian-held islands


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Wrap up

In summary, not a huge amount to report but:

  • Potential worry about some Russian gains
  • No massive obvious Ukrainian gains other than a bit around Klishchiivka
  • Ukrainians often make gains into "grey areas" between defensive lines that get consolidated without changing Russian lines

Jonathan asks viewers to like, subscribe and share the video and appreciates the support.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

No major parts of the transcript were unclear. A couple of town/village names may have imprecise spelling but the locations were identifiable on the maps shown.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Extract video title, date and part from the YouTube title Identify key topics discussed in order and summarize each one Look for any significant quotes, insights or opinions from Jonathan to highlight Note any areas that were unclear in the transcript Use British English spellings and grammar

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos