Ukraine War Update NEWS
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Russian army is basically done for 20 years. It's not going to get up to remotely international standards or to be filled with enough troops, really, of a skilled enough level to operate functionally for a good 20 years."
Frontline updates
- In the Kramina axis, the initial Russian push towards Torska is smaller than initially thought. The area in the Kramina forest under Russian control is larger than thought. There is intense fighting in the Serebiansky forest.
- In Bakhmut, the Ukrainian military controls at least the southern part of the dense planting in the south of Bakhmut and north of Klishchivka.
- In Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk, the Ukrainian forces continue offensive operations in the Melitopol and Berdyansk directions. They have achieved partial success in the Staromilnivka and Shakhtarsky directions.
- In the Robotna area, the situation for the Russians is getting more serious every day due to lack of artillery ammunition, reserves, and problems protecting the flanks.
Military aid
- Still no agreed training plan for Ukrainian pilots on F-16s. The US is waiting for European officials to submit a final plan.
- Because the US has not provided ATACMS long-range missiles, Ukraine may be developing similar capability themselves by modifying old Soviet S-200 missiles.
- The US provided $0.25 billion budget grant to Ukraine, bringing total 2023 direct US budget support to $8.45 billion and total US funding since the war to $25.4 billion.
- Miami police department donated 101 confiscated firearms and 148,000 rounds of ammunition to Ukraine.
- Swedish-supplied 155mm Archer self-propelled guns are being used by Ukraine in the Zaporizhzhia direction for the first time.
- Czech-supplied Mi-24V Hind gunships are being equipped with US-supplied Hydra-70 rockets by Ukraine.
Other news
- UK intelligence update: Over the last two months, Russia has likely started forming major new formations like the 25th Combined Arms Army to add depth to its ground forces. However, without a major new mobilization wave, Russia is unlikely to find enough troops to resource even one new army. The Russian army is unlikely to get back to international standards for 20 years.
- Donald Trump has been indicted on four counts related to the January 6th Capitol attack. This could impact the US presidential race and continued US support for Ukraine.
- Russian tourists continue to be harassed by Georgian protesters, in this case eggs were thrown at buses transporting Russian tourists from a cruise ship in Batumi, Georgia.
Wrap up
Jonathan ends by pondering whether the harassment of Russian tourists will entrench them further in a pro-Russian position through the backfire effect, or if it will lead to some realization that the world sees Russia's actions as wrong, even if the tourists themselves believe Russia is right. He suggests the harassment may make the tourists realize there are fewer welcoming places they can vacation now, and that Russia's place in the global community is more precarious than it was two years ago.
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