Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Russia seems to suddenly be saying okay we're ready for negotiations which itself is massively reflective of where they think they are it's just so important"
Hello Team!
Jonathan starts the video with his usual introduction and mentions it is Sunday, March 19th, 2023.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- 710 Russian personnel were liquidated yesterday, which is a fairly high number
- 21 tanks and 23 APCs were lost, which is devastating for the Russians. This may include the 10 tanks taken out in one night by the "White Wolves" drone attacks
- 8 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, and 3 anti-aircraft warfare systems were also lost
- These losses are likely unsustainable for Russia in the long term
Russian Soldiers' Appeal
A group of Russian soldiers from the St. Petersburg region arriving in the DPR jurisdiction have made an appeal. They claim to have taken severe losses of up to 70% of their personnel, lack artillery support and heavy equipment, and the remnants of their unit are being sent to "slaughter" against well-equipped enemy positions.
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Bakhmut Losses
- According to Serhii Cherevatyi, head of the Eastern Group of Armed Forces, Russians lost 392 soldiers killed and wounded in Bakhmut battles in one day
- A BBC interview with Ukrainian soldiers on the Bakhmut front line revealed that as a company, they kill up to 50 enemies a day
- Bakhmut is a "meat grinder" for both sides, but the understanding is that it's worse for the Russians, which is why Ukrainians are remaining there
Air Defense Systems Destroyed
- Video footage shows the destruction of a Russian OSA air defense system by Ukrainian forces
- Two Russian TOR-M2 air defense systems were hit by Ukrainian RAM-2 kamikaze UAVs, which is rare footage
Kherson Region Attacks
- Ukrainian artillery destroyed a Russian military base near Hladivka and Oleshky in the Kherson region
- Sergei Moskalenko, a Russian-appointed head of a pre-trial detention center known for torture, was reportedly killed by an IED planted under a car in Novokakhovka
Fires in Russia
One of the largest Russian chemical plants in Moscow is on fire, with one person injured. These incidents are happening frequently, suggesting an uptick in figures.
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Civilian Areas Hit
- Kostiantynivka was hit by three artillery shells and five "Hurricane" MLRS with cluster munitions, killing one person, wounding five, and damaging houses, a school, and a shop
- Russians attacked Kramatorsk with MLRS and cluster munitions, killing two people, wounding 10, and hitting 76 private houses
Military Aid
- Poland and Slovakia will jointly transfer 33 MiG-29 fighters (13 from Slovakia, 20 from Poland) to Ukraine, though their exact use is unclear
- Canada is transferring Bergepanzer 3 A1 armoured recovery vehicles to Ukraine
- Combined arms operations require a large number of support vehicles (e.g. an US armoured brigade combat team has 208 tactical vehicles to support 87 tanks, 138 Bradleys, 18 self-propelled howitzers)
- The US will provide a new vital military aid package to Ukraine in the coming days, possibly with different types of equipment to address current needs
Geopolitics
- Russia has stated they are ready for proposals from Western countries and Ukraine regarding a diplomatic settlement, but only if all sanctions are removed and lawsuits in international bodies against Russia are dropped. This is a significant admission that Russia knows they are struggling and can't win on the battlefield.
- The US has started sending some Russian men fleeing Putin's draft back to Russia if they haven't followed proper asylum processes, raising moral questions
- Russian propagandists have openly discussed the need to annex Istanbul, which could anger Turkey and further isolate Russia
- Russia is becoming increasingly isolationist, removing all European country flags from Europe Square in Moscow
Putin's Mariupol Visit
- Putin visited Mariupol at night, meeting with a small group of people who appeared to be actors, including a woman with an "apathetic stone face" and a man with a security earpiece
- In contrast, Zelenskyy has been seen amongst throngs of genuinely happy people with flags when visiting recaptured areas like Kherson
- There are rumours that Putin uses body doubles for safety and to appear in many places quickly, especially when he just needs to be seen rather than speak
- The Kremlin seems at pains to show Putin driving around to prove his fitness and health, suggesting serious concerns in Moscow about his condition
Wrap up
Jonathan notes it is Sunday, so he may struggle to get videos out as normal, but encourages viewers to check the channel. He thanks viewers for their support and reminds them of ways to support the channel in the video description.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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