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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Tuesday, 20th June 2023, 10:02
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"I'm sure that you and it was by all accounts a pretty good speech to to defend hello uh pretty good speech to defend you know ukraine and support ukraine i'm sure that ukrainians will win i know that they will win they fight like lions for their families and for their country and the russians will not i know that putin will lose these heroic soldiers are fighting for freedom for all of us they are fighting for peace and stability"

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides his usual opening with the Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses, noting some significant numbers including 1,010 liquidated Russian personnel (up 400 from previous days), 8 tanks, 15 APVs, 23 artillery pieces and 4 MLRS. He speculates the large personnel losses could include the 300 from Pisky and 170 from another strike on a Russian base/troop concentration. The loss of 5 pieces of special equipment like ISR and EW is also significant.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Overnight News

  • Ukraine shot down 32 out of 35 Russian attack drones overnight, but some critical infrastructure was hit in Lviv
  • Explosions reported in Zaporizhzhia from S-300 missiles, damaging agricultural businesses and recreational areas
  • Aerial reconnaissance unit claims downing of another Ka-52 helicopter in Donetsk region, possibly the 7th in a week


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Russian Artillery Losses

Ukraine has destroyed 550 Russian artillery launchers in May according to Petro Cherniak, a military expert. This number is expected to increase in June. Jonathan notes these are unsustainable losses for Russia and they are having to dig out old Soviet-era artillery pieces to compensate. The wear and tear and need to replace barrels etc. compounds the problem for Russia beyond just combat losses.

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Fires and Explosions in Russia

  • Explosions reported near Tokmak in Zaporizhzhia oblast
  • Massive devastation shown from explosion at ammunition depot in Ruzhivka, Zaporizhzhia
  • HIMARS strike Russian targets in Volnovakha, an important logistics hub
  • Multiple large fires break out across Moscow, including at a building near a metro station and sports stadium. Jonathan speculates on the psychological impact this may have on the Russian population and elites.
  • Major fire at a warehouse in Yaroslavl covering 2,500 square meters


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Other News

  • Mass arrests of Central Asian migrant workers across Russia, possibly to send to fight in Ukraine according to some sources
  • Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhnyi photographed working with troops, wearing a Baby Yoda patch saying "This is the way"
  • Associated Press has drone photos showing Russians placed explosives in a car on the Kakhovka dam a week before it was destroyed, more evidence they carried out the attack
  • Russian soldiers confiscating humanitarian aid intended for flooded city of Oleshky in occupied Kherson
  • Putin claims Ukraine signed then abandoned a draft peace deal, which Jonathan is very skeptical about
  • Boris Johnson, beset by political scandals at home, gives pro-Ukraine speech on his birthday as the country remains a "safe space" for the embattled ex-PM


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Military Aid

  • France and Italy announce the SAMP/T air defense system is now deployed and operational in Ukraine. It can intercept targets up to 20km altitude and 100km range.
  • EU proposes €50 billion aid package for Ukraine
  • Denmark increases Ukraine support to $3.2 billion over 2023-2028
  • Finland may refuse aid to countries that support Russia
  • Reports of some Western companies still supplying Russia with tech and components


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Frontline Update

  • Russian and Ukrainian sources report Russian offensive actions near Kreminna and Svatove. The Russian 76th Air Assault Division may be involved.
  • Some gains by Russia reported in Avdiivka area
  • Ukraine making incremental gains on southern Zaporizhzhia/Donetsk front
  • Rumors of Ukrainian breakthroughs towards Vasylivka according to some Russian milbloggers


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Wrap up

Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, especially those who contributed to his live chat the day before. He signs off asking people to like, subscribe, share and "hit bells, blow whistles".

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The transcript was clear, no major queries. Some of the place names and spellings may need verifying.

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