US Politics Election Extra: Rallies & Polls - Division vs Unity
Table of Contents 📖
"If you listen to this guy and you're still going to vote for him, you think 'yeah, this is my man, this is my man, oh, he's so good, he's so clever,' then I just... I'd question your... your sensibilities here."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:37⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a US election special update. He plans to cover rally excerpts and polling data in separate videos to avoid creating an overly long video. He aims to focus on undecided voters in the middle ground, examining which candidate appeals to them more effectively.
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Trump's divisive rhetoric at rallies
🎦 00:37-09:43⏩
Jonathan analyzes excerpts from Trump's rallies, highlighting his divisive rhetoric.
- Trump insults Kamala Harris' intelligence, calling her "mentally impaired."
- Trump baselessly claims widespread election cheating and vows to prosecute those who cheat.
- Trump suggests a "violent day" to deal with crime, advocating for a "Purge"-like scenario.
- Trump makes xenophobic remarks, claiming the majority of students in Springfield, Ohio can't speak English and that they are "taking over schools."
- Jonathan criticizes Trump's reliance on fear and division tactics, contrasting it with the need for joy and unity.
Trump surrogate defends violent rhetoric
🎦 09:43-13:20⏩
Jonathan examines an exchange between a news anchor and a Trump surrogate.
- The surrogate claims accusations of Trump being a threat to democracy constitute "violent rhetoric," while defending Trump's suggestion of a "violent day."
- The anchor challenges the surrogate's claims, highlighting the FBI data showing a decrease in crime, contradicting Trump's fear-mongering narrative.
- Jonathan praises the anchor for calling out the surrogate's lies and for emphasizing the importance of relying on data.
Trump's waning energy and dwindling rally attendance
🎦 13:20-16:30⏩
- Jonathan notes that Trump's rallies are smaller and lack the energy of previous campaigns.
- He points out that Trump seems to be speaking quietly and with less enthusiasm, even when employing fear tactics.
- Trump blames the smaller venues on the government refusing to provide him with adequate protection, a claim Jonathan finds dubious.
- Several videos show people leaving Trump's rallies early, suggesting boredom and a lack of engagement.
Harris' unifying message and campaign style
🎦 16:30-18:19⏩
- Jonathan contrasts Trump's divisive rhetoric with Kamala Harris' focus on unity and inclusivity.
- He plays a clip of Harris delivering an enthusiastic speech in Las Vegas, emphasizing her positive energy and message of hope.
- Jonathan notes that Harris's smile and passion seem genuine, triggering mirror neurons and creating a sense of empathy in viewers.
- He argues that Harris's speeches don't provide ammunition for comedians because they are carefully scripted and avoid nonsensical tangents.
Trump's confusing and nonsensical claims
🎦 18:19-25:28⏩
- Jonathan highlights several instances of Trump making confusing and nonsensical statements.
- He discusses a clip where Trump suggests immigrants are so strong that no actor could play them in movies, leaving the audience baffled.
- Jonathan criticizes Trump's claim that the Presidential Records Act was passed so he could keep documents in his shower and toilet at Mar-a-Lago.
- He examines Trump's attack on Kamala Harris' father while ignoring his own father's arrest at a KKK rally and refusal to rent to black people.
- Jonathan expresses disbelief that anyone could still support Trump after hearing these statements.
Trump's repetitive and self-aggrandizing rhetoric
🎦 25:28-36:24⏩
- Jonathan plays a clip where Trump repeatedly insults Kamala Harris' intelligence, stating he has to do it because she's "not a very bright person" while claiming he is "very bright."
- Jonathan mocks Trump's repetitive rhetoric and inability to think clearly.
- He plays a compilation of Trump's statements about immigrants being too strong for actors to portray, highlighting the absurdity of his claims.
- Jonathan jokes that Trump sounds like a 19th-century farmer recounting an alien abduction.
Trump's "jobs, jobs, jobs" banner misses the mark
🎦 36:24-39:47⏩
- Jonathan analyzes Trump speaking in front of a "jobs, jobs, jobs" banner, pointing out that it's an ineffective message.
- He argues that unemployment is at a historic low, making jobs less of a concern for voters compared to inflation and rising prices.
- Jonathan criticizes Trump's campaign for failing to understand the audience's main concerns.
Harris' unifying campaign strategy vs. Trump's divisive tactics
🎦 39:47-43:30⏩
- Jonathan further emphasizes the stark contrast between Harris' unifying campaign strategy and Trump's divisive tactics.
- He highlights Harris' efforts to build a broad coalition, including Republicans, and her focus on inclusivity.
- He contrasts this with Trump's xenophobic rhetoric about immigrants and his attempts to exploit fear and division.
- Jonathan praises Governor Josh Shapiro's eloquent explanation of Harris' inclusive approach and calls out a MAGA supporter for projecting divisive behavior onto Harris.
Polls and fundraising suggest positive trends for Harris
🎦 43:30-51:30⏩
- Jonathan examines recent polling data, noting that Harris holds a steady lead in the 538 aggregate average.
- He discusses the importance of a national lead translating to battleground states and points out that Harris is performing well in key states.
- Jonathan analyzes fundraising data, highlighting the Democrats' significant advantage in both overall fundraising and small donations.
- He suggests this fundraising success reflects enthusiasm for the Harris-Walls ticket.
Democrats struggle with white working-class voters
🎦 51:30-53:41⏩
- Jonathan presents data showing the Democrats' declining support among white working-class union households.
- He expresses concern about Harris's low lead among union voters, calling it the worst Democratic performance in a generation.
- Jonathan acknowledges that Harris may have gained support from other demographics but emphasizes the importance of union votes for Democrats.
Potential October surprises
🎦 53:41-56:41⏩
- Jonathan discusses two potential October surprises that could impact the election.
- The first involves allegations against Doug Emhoff, Harris' husband, published in the Daily Mail and New York Post, accusing him of slapping an ex-girlfriend.
- Jonathan notes the strategic timing of these allegations and questions their validity.
- The second potential surprise involves longshoreman strikes at US ports, which could significantly disrupt supply chains and negatively impact the economy.
- Jonathan acknowledges the potential impact of these strikes on the election, given the head of the union is reportedly a Trump supporter.
Trump's strong working-class support
🎦 56:41-57:01⏩
- Jonathan highlights data indicating that Trump enjoys higher support among working-class voters than any other GOP candidate in a generation.
- He notes Trump's significant lead among trade school graduates, posing a challenge for the Democrats.
Rasmussen pollster's alleged ties to Trump campaign
🎦 57:01-59:14⏩
- Jonathan discusses controversy surrounding Rasmussen Reports, a right-wing pollster, for allegedly scheming with the Trump campaign to manipulate polling data.
- He warns viewers to be cautious of Rasmussen and Trafalgar polls, both known for their right-wing bias.
- Jonathan reveals that Rasmussen Reports has been removed from the 538 national polling averages due to leaked emails showing they shared data with Trump advisors, potentially violating election laws.
Republican endorsements for Harris
🎦 59:14-01:02⏩
:31
- Jonathan highlights endorsements for Harris from prominent Republicans, including former Senator Jeff Flake and actor Dave Bautista.
- He reads Flake's endorsement statement, which emphasizes Harris' commitment to unity, respect for the rule of law, and willingness to work with political opponents.
- Jonathan views these endorsements as a sign of Republicans seeking an alternative to Trump's divisive leadership.
Adam Kinzinger's comparison of Harris and Trump
🎦 01:02:31-01:03⏩
:14⏩
- Jonathan shares a quote from Adam Kinzinger, highlighting the stark difference between Harris' focus on building homes and Trump's advocacy for "a national day of violence."
- He expresses disbelief that polls show the candidates statistically tied despite their vastly different visions for America.
Wrap up
🎦 01:03:14-01:03⏩
:21⏩
- Jonathan concludes the video by acknowledging that he has more to discuss but will cover it in a separate video due to the length of the current one.
- He thanks his viewers and promises to return soon.