Ukraine War Update NEWS (20230728a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"No one can be forced into peace, especially Ukraine. When I heard that they wanted to disqualify me, it killed me so much, I screamed in pain."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides his Ukraine War news update for 28th July 2023, split into two parts due to the amount of content to cover.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian General Staff figures for 27th July: 560 liquidated Russian personnel, 4 tanks, 14 APVs, 30 artillery systems, 1 anti-aircraft warfare system, 11 drones, 11 vehicles/fuel tanks, 1 special equipment
- 30 artillery systems lost is significant given the importance of artillery in current offensives
- List found in liberated Staromiyioska shows out of just over 100 Russian personnel, only 21 are okay with the rest dead or wounded - 4/5ths taken out
- Alleged correspondence between Kadyrov's men reports only 60 out of 500 fighters of 1st Battalion Akhmat North remain alive
- Anecdotal report from Matt Bishop, a member, that his friend fighting says Russians are losing a lot more than Ukrainians, with video of a trench system filled with dead Russians after an FPV drone bomb attack
Equipment Losses
- Oryx summaries for 27th July show 16 Ukrainian losses vs 34 Russian - double the amount, though this ratio likely to change with uptick in Ukrainian losses expected from attacks in last 24 hours
- Russians claim 68 Leopard 2 tanks destroyed, but only around 67 confirmed delivered to Ukraine so far according to Oryx
- Video analysed in a previous extra video by Jonathan shows a disastrous Ukrainian attack with around 10 BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles destroyed by Russian anti-tank missiles, artillery and mines
- Anecdotal count by Andrew Perpetua shows 9 Russian losses vs 34 Ukrainian losses from videos he looked at, mainly BMP-1s destroyed in that attack
- First definite loss of a Swedish-supplied CV90 infantry fighting vehicle in Kramina direction, immobilised by RPG at close range
- Russian Mi-26 helicopter crashes in Russia after main rotor hits a pole
Strikes and Fires
- Fairly quiet night for Russian strikes, possibly due to depleted missile stocks after targeting port infrastructure (26 facilities hit) in line with Russian-African conference to offer grain exports
- Russian MoD claims unknown drone shot down near Moscow
- Oil depot burning for 8+ hours in Shaktarsk
- Tokmak hit again
Frontline Updates
- Maps show Ukrainian gains on Zaporizhia-Donetsk front over last few days, getting key cities like Mariupol, Berdyansk and Melitopol closer to HIMARS range
- 35th Marine Brigade, not one of the brigades specifically prepared for offensive, liberated Staromayorsk on Donetsk front close to Zaporizhia, after supporting 37th Marine Brigade there
- Financial Times reports some Ukrainian reserves have been quietly committed in the south according to soldiers near Zaporizhia frontline, even if full brigades are not officially deployed
Other News
- Footage of nuclear missiles being transported through Moscow
- Pro-Russian Ukrainian politician Viktor Medvedchuk, swapped for 200+ Ukrainian defenders earlier, registers new political project in Russia called "Other Ukraine" to reach Ukrainians who "have not given up and want to build their democracy"
- Volunteers report biggest problem when taking Russian positions is that Russians have exact coordinates and can hammer the positions with artillery, leading to a "yo-yo effect"
- Ukrainian fencer Olga Kharlan disqualified from World Cup for refusing to shake hands with Russian opponent after rules changed the night before to require handshakes. Russians occupy key posts in International Fencing Federation. IOC urges sporting bodies to show sensitivity.
Wrap Up
Jonathan encourages viewers to like, subscribe, share and check out the upcoming part 2 of the update.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
No major parts of the transcript were unclear. A few minor points:
Exact spelling of some place names e.g. Staromiyioska/Staromayorsk
Full names of some brigades/regiments e.g. 70th Regiment
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
Steps:
Watch video and read through transcript
Identify main topics discussed and key points made
Summarise each topic, keeping the order they appear in the video
Include relevant details, quotes, figures for each topic summary
Add an introduction and wrap up section
Select a key quote from the video
Use British English spelling and grammar
Format using the provided XML structure
Review summary to ensure all key topics are covered and transcript details are not missed
