Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Analysing the Counteroffensive #1, Who Are the Offensive Guard?
Title:Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Analysing the Counteroffensive #1, Who Are the Offensive Guard? Topics:
Table of Contents 📖
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"The experience of the de-occupation of the Kharkiv and Kherson regions shows that our troops are necessary on every phase of the hostilities and after them."
Hello Team!
- Jonathan introduces the video as an extra update providing a deep dive into the military strategy in Ukraine ahead of the expected counteroffensive.
Analysis of potential Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south
- Jonathan reviews a long thread by Chris O'Wickey, an independent military historian, analyzing a potential Ukrainian counteroffensive in the south towards Melitopol and Crimea.
- The analysis covers:
- The battlefield terrain and geography
- Opposing Russian and Ukrainian forces
- Attack preparation by Ukraine including exhausting strikes on key targets
- Key points:
- The terrain is flat and open, suitable for tanks but also vulnerable to artillery
- Ukraine would need 130,000+ troops, 120-150 tanks, 300+ BMPs/APCs
- Attacks would target key bridges, railways, ports, air defences to disrupt Russian logistics and defences
The Offensive Guard brigades
- Jonathan discusses the newly formed Offensive Guard brigades under the Ukrainian Ministry of Internal Affairs.
- Key points:
- Comprises 8 assault brigades formed from active police, military and new volunteers
- Will conduct joint offensive/assault operations with the armed forces but under separate command
- Likely to play a supporting role in the counteroffensive and be used for security/policing in liberated areas
- Exact role is still unclear but they provide additional flexible forces to support the main armed forces
Wrap up
- Jonathan wraps up, saying he will continue analyzing the counteroffensive in the next video.
- He thanks his channel members and supporters on Buy Me a Coffee for their contributions.