Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The rapid and peaceful reconciliation between the Russian Defense Ministry and the Wagner Group arouses suspicion and speculation about troop redeployment while Ukrainian forces make significant advancements on the battlefield"
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an introduction and mentions the summer solstice has passed. He notes winter will soon set in, which he finds a bit depressing.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian General Staff reported 950 liquidated Russian personnel for the previous day, edging towards 1,000. Other losses included:
- 1 tank (very low number)
- 14 APVs
- 21 artillery systems (exceptionally high)
- 10 drones
- No anti-aircraft warfare or cruise missile systems reported
- 16 vehicles and fuel tanks
- 5 pieces of special equipment
- 7-8 Russian airframes were taken out by Wagner forces, including 3 valuable Mi-8 NTPR-1 electronic warfare helicopters
- 2 Russian cruise missiles were shot down overnight, with reports of damage in Odesa from a missile strike
- Ukraine claims Russia is losing 8 times more soldiers than Ukrainian forces. 110 strikes were conducted on enemy personnel concentration areas in the past week.
Ukrainian Challenges
Despite the disparity in losses, Ukraine still faces challenges:
- Footage shows Russian Ka-52 helicopters targeting 4 Ukrainian vehicles on the Zaporizhzhia front line. Ukraine needs medium-range air defense systems to counter this threat.
- An FPV drone strike targeted a Russian excavator digging trenches in Kursk. The strategic value of this is questioned - whether it's part of Ukrainian strategy or to make Russia commit more resources to border defenses.
Prigozhin Rebellion Aftermath
- Prigozhin remains under investigation for armed rebellion despite the deal struck. Speculation continues about what formal deal was made, if any.
- Theories suggest Prigozhin was promised future power by Putin in exchange for standing down, or that Russian intelligence threatened Wagner leaders' families.
- Wagner had an estimated 8,000 fighters, not 25,000, and likely would have been defeated trying to take Moscow.
- Some Wagner fighters who feel betrayed by Prigozhin have issued threats against him for abandoning the rebellion.
Frontline Updates
Ukraine made advances in multiple areas:
- 1-2 km advances on the flanks of Bakhmut
- Advances near Rivnopil, Priyutne, Makarivka and Klishchiivka
- A foothold was established by Ukrainian forces on the east bank of the Dnipro river near the Antonivsky Bridge. Footage shows a Russian BTR-80 evacuating troops while firing towards the Ukrainian positions.
Military Aid
- EU foreign ministers to discuss a new €3.5 billion military aid package for Ukraine
- Australia transferred $110 million in aid, including 28 M113 APCs, trucks, 105mm munitions and UN funding for humanitarian assistance
- Ukraine's indigenous Bohdana self-propelled howitzer shown firing precision-guided Excalibur rounds. These may start appearing on the frontlines.
- Germany opposed the EU transferring frozen Russian central bank assets for Ukrainian reconstruction due to legal and financial risks. The UK has expressed similar caution.
Geopolitics
- Kazakhstan's President Tokayev held a security council meeting and instructed readiness for possible threats, showing boldness in not fully supporting Putin like some other regional leaders.
- China downplayed the Wagner rebellion as an internal Russian affair. They declared support for Russian stability and prosperity as a strategic partner.
- Chinese media claimed hyping up the "mutiny" and contradictions in Russia was a Western media attack to undermine Russian unity.
- China gives Russia just enough support to keep them happy while extracting more concessions in return, holding the power position in the relationship.
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks the viewers for watching and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video. He will provide a frontline update later if any map changes are identified.
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