Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"It is long past the time for Ukraine to cut its losses and pull back to a different defensive line."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides a frontline update for March 13th, 2023. It's a Monday morning so sources are sparse as it was Sunday the previous day. There is little information on Kupyansk, Svatove and Kreminna, with most reporting focused on Bakhmut and Avdiivka.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk, Svatove and Kreminna
- Repelled Russian attacks from Franny-Kivka area towards Dvorichna in the north, near Kupyansk
- Pidkury-Chants now shown under Russian control on Poulet-Velon's maps, likely an adjustment rather than a new gain
- Ukrainians have regained some land east of the P-66/R-66 highway
- Russians have regained a small amount of land around Kuzmivka
- A few fields captured by Ukrainians towards Yampolivka, west of Kreminna
Bakhmut
- Heavy Russian activity particularly to the north/northwest of Bakhmut, as well as the eastern suburbs and from the south near Opytne
- ISW provides detailed analysis on the dynamics between Wagner, Prigozhin, and the Russian military in Bakhmut
- Russian military may be trying to expend Wagner forces to erode Prigozhin's influence
- Wagner elite forces committed to maintain offensive momentum but may be running out
- Rumors of Wagner reducing from 45,000 to 7,500 forces (unverified)
- Prigozhin complained Wagner needed reinforcements; Ukrainian officials observed 7:1 casualty ratio in Russia's disfavor
- Zelensky claimed 1,100 Wagner personnel killed and 1,500 wounded in the past week alone
- Russians advancing significantly northwest of Bakhmut, getting close to Minkivka and other settlements along the E40 highway
- Concerning speed of Russian advance in this area
- Varying claims about Russian progress in the AZOM metal works in northern Bakhmut
- Russians steadily moving north through Sadova and Gogol streets in southern Bakhmut
- Analyst Andrew Perpetua argues it is past time for Ukraine to withdraw from Bakhmut to avoid greater losses
- Believes Russia will sustain assaults for 2-3 more months, making Bakhmut defense untenable
- Questions whether holding Bakhmut that long is worth the cost
Avdiivka
- Heavy Russian shelling/bombing around Avdiivka, including Avdiivka Coke Plant and northern industrial area
- Russians have captured Vasylivka and Krasnohorivka north of Avdiivka; now assaulting Kamianka
- Kamianka likely to fall soon, flanked from the north
- Ukrainian General Staff reported Russian drones dropping K-51 chloropicrin grenades (tear gas-like chemical weapon)
- Russia deploying large precision guided bombs (1,010 kg warheads) around Avdiivka
Other Frontline Areas
- No significant changes around Marinka
- In Vuhledar, Russians trying to regain control of southern dachas; heavy bombardment including incendiary munitions
- Mariupol hit again in past 24 hours
- Ukrainian HIMARS/Vilkha-M rocket systems active
- Air defenses activated in Belgorod, Russia
- Kostiantynivka and Sloviansk hit heavily by Russian attacks
- Rare Ukrainian gains north of Avdiivka near Maiorsk
Wrap up
In summary, the Russians made worrying advances northwest of Bakhmut and north of Avdiivka, while Ukrainians had some minor gains elsewhere. Artillery ammunition shortages are a growing issue for both sides. Jonathan emphasized the amount of content he is producing to cover events in detail.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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