Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The Russians just don't have enough troops to successfully maintain decent defensive capacity along the whole front line."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an overview of the frontline situation based on the Institute for the Study of War's (ISW) report:
- Ukrainian forces continued counter-offensive operations in at least 3 directions and made further limited territorial gains on June 13th
- Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister Maliar reported Ukrainian forces advanced 250m northeast of Bakhmut, 200m south of Bakhmut, and 500-1000m around the Zaporizhia/Donetsk border
- Ukrainian forces have liberated over 100 sq km of territory since beginning counter-offensive operations
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk to Kreminna Frontline
- Not much activity reported until Bilohorivka
- Claims Ukrainians have pushed back in forest area towards Dibrova, regaining some land
- Geolocated footage suggests Russians previously controlled areas here
- Two lines on maps represent pro-Ukrainian (Andrew Perpetua) and pro-Russian (Syriac map) claimed Russian defensive lines
Bakhmut Area
- Difficult to determine Ukrainian gains due to information blackout and cloudy weather impacting satellite imagery
- Fighting around Berkhivka dam, Ukrainians attacked outskirts then Russians heavily counterattacked for 3-4 days, drawing troops from other areas, but failed to significantly push Ukrainians back
- Ukrainians taking 50-100m of trench line per day northeast and south of Bakhmut in slow attritional fighting, with Russians taking heavy losses
- Ukrainians shelling Bakhmut heavily and maintain foothold near MiG monument in southwest
- Unconfirmed rumors of significant Ukrainian gains in forest area
Avdiivka and Mariinka
- Russians still deploying additional elite units from Kherson to Avdiivka, including Chechen forces
- Continued repelled attacks in Mariinka
- Video of alleged Russian POW capture in Avdiivka from late May, authenticity uncertain
Velyka Novosilka Area
- Ukrainian gains around Velyka Novosilka and Levadne
- Heavy fighting for Makarivka, going back and forth but likely still Ukrainian-held
- Rivnopil fiercely contested
- Russians defending settlements heavily with mechanized equipment rather than from fortified lines, taking heavy losses
- Analysts suggest this favors Ukrainians by attriting Russian equipment before main defensive lines reached
Orikhiv Area
- Limited Ukrainian attacks and gains south of Huliaipole, Lobkove
- Loss of some Ukrainian equipment including Leopard tank in Mala Tokmachka
- Overall decreased intensity of operations in this area
Behind the Lines
- Storm Shadow and HIMARS strikes continue hitting Berdiansk, Mariupol, Melitopol, Tokmak, Volnovakha
- Each strike weakens Russian rear and ability to defend frontline
- Patient Ukrainian approach avoids losing troops while attriting Russians
Wrap Up
Jonathan emphasizes that despite slow progress, the Ukrainian approach of weakening Russian defenses with precise rear attacks is reducing their ability to defend once a major attack comes. The Russians lack sufficient troops to defend the entire front, so any Ukrainian attack draws forces from elsewhere, presenting opportunities. Impatience is understandable but avoiding frontal assaults minimizes Ukrainian losses while the Russians are ground down.
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