Ukraine Conflict (20231028): Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"If the Russians get into the coke plant, it's effectively game over for Avdiivka."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war frontline for 28th October 2023. Not much news due to very rainy weather across the frontline. Yesterday's figures took a downtick but went back up today.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeastern Sector (Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- Fierce fighting in some areas like Makivka, Evanivka, Nadynkivka, Petropavlovka
- Russians attacking over the railway line near Kupyansk
- Andrew Perpetua's live stream provided useful frontline information
- Change in frontline west of Kreminna according to Suriat Maps, a large area no longer under Russian control
Bakhmut Area
- Russian gains in Bekivka area according to Deep State Map
- Ukrainians doing an operational withdrawal, attacked more towards the south after difficulties taking Bekivka
- Gradual allowance of Russians to move forward, similar to the situation in Bakhmut
- Ukrainians likely further advanced west of Klishchiivka and Kurdyumivka than mapping shows
- Possible Ukrainian success just north of Zelenopilia
Avdiivka
- Russians very close to the coke plant, which would mean game over for Avdiivka if they get in
- Dangerous moment, open ground is a kill zone
- Russians sending waves of APCs to stack up troops, taking heavy losses
- If Russians advance 2-3km and cut the O0542 road, Ukrainians will struggle to hold Avdiivka
- Ukrainians brought in 47th reserves, likely from Robotyne area, indicating seriousness
- Lack of ammunition hindering Ukrainian defense
Southern Frontline
- Russian attack south of Novomykhailivka, demining vehicle got close then blew up
- Grey zone right on the edge of Novomykhailivka, Russians getting closer
- Velyka Novosilka fairly quiet, repelled attacks but no frontline changes
- No changes in Robotyne area, unsuccessful Ukrainian attack on Russian salient
- Evidence of Ukrainian column attacking towards Novoprokopivka
- Ukrainian success pushing Russians back in Nestorianka
Kherson Frontline
- No change, much the same as previously reported
- ISW: Ukrainians marginally advanced on left bank south of Antonivsky Bridge towards Oleshky
- Russian milblogger claimed 7 Ukrainian assault groups operating on eastern bank of Kherson Oblast but no group size given
Wrap up
The rain is affecting the amount of activity. It's mainly still about Avdiivka, with a bit about south of Bakhmut although no mapping changes there. Jonathan has a live interview in 7 minutes so will upload the video after that. Take care!
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