Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"It seems that Wagner have not only suffered from great attrition, but they've also had to release a lot of the convicts who were recruited around this time."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides a frontline update for the Ukraine War on 29 March 2023. He mentions he might do an extra video later discussing where he thinks the counter-offensives will be and why.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Sector: Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna Axis
- The Eastern Group of Forces spokesperson, Cherevaty, reported only 13 combat clashes along this line in the last day, indicating a quiet day of activity.
- Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian forces made a limited advance in the forest area near the Zhuravka River, about 6 km west of Kreminna.
- Russians have gained some ground in the forest area around Dibrova and towards Torske and Zarichne, but considering this is part of the Russian offensive, it's not incredibly impressive.
Bakhmut
- Fighting in Bakhmut has decreased over the past three days, possibly indicating Russian forces are regrouping. The Wagner Group has increasingly expended its pool of convict recruits.
- Geolocated footage suggests Russian forces likely advanced in southern Bakhmut up to the city market in central Bakhmut. The ISW claims the Wagner forces have likely taken the Azon industrial complex in northern Bakhmut.
- Fighting is focused on three main areas: the Azon metallurgical plant, Korsunskoho and Mariupolska streets, and the marketplace area.
- The question remains whether this is a slow operational withdrawal by Ukraine, bleeding the Russians as much as possible while keeping lines of communication open to the north and south to allow for a retreat.
Avdiivka
- Russians have made small territorial gains in Vodiane and Pervomaiske areas.
- The 72nd and 200th Separate Motorized Brigades are reportedly withdrawing to reconstitute after suffering losses.
- The 10th Tank Regiment has likely lost a large portion of its tanks in efforts to surround Avdiivka from the south.
- Ukraine has strong secondary lines west of Avdiivka in case they lose the city, but Russian logistics will likely improve in Donetsk if Avdiivka falls.
Vuhledar
- Positional battles continue near Vuhledar, with Ukrainian forces conducting reconnaissance and force operations in the area.
- Russian forces introduced two tank units and a special airborne unit to replenish the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade, which has suffered significant losses. However, it's unlikely another reconstitution would result in the needed combat effectiveness to resume offensive operations.
Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Fronts
- Melitopol was hit by HIMARS two nights in a row, targeting a school used as accommodation, an airport, electricity substation, and railway depot. This could be shaping the battlefield for a Ukrainian counter-offensive.
- Bad weather has allowed Ukrainians to conduct reconnaissance and force attacks in the area.
- Russians have not shelled the South Bug River or Chukiv area from the Kinburn Peninsula for three days due to bad weather.
- Ukrainians have been hitting Russian logistics and ammunition depots along the Dnipro River with artillery, possibly pushing Russian artillery out of range of the west bank of the Kherson region.
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their time and mentions an upcoming extra video.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
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