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Ukraine Conflict (20231128): Full Frontline Update

Front Line Tuesday, 28th November 2023, 15:05
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"I'm starting to think that this whole sector is something of a meat grinder for the Russians."

Hello Team!

Jonathan shares his experience getting a shave at the Turkish barbers. He mentions an upcoming live chat with Greg Terry, an American who is pro-Ukraine and has been to the country a number of times. Jonathan is looking forward to discussing Greg's experiences and thoughts on the conflict.

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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Frontline Update: Kupiansk to Kreminna

  • The Russians have made some gains around Sinkivka, pushing the Ukrainians back closer to the town.
  • Heavy fighting reported in the Serebrianske Forest area, particularly near Dibrova.
  • No significant changes around Bakhmut or Holivka, although the Russians are trying to push the Ukrainians back in Holivka.


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Frontline Update: Avdiivka

  • The situation remains challenging for the Ukrainians in Avdiivka, with the Russians attacking from six directions.
  • The Russians claim to have captured the industrial zone southeast of Avdiivka and reached the town's southeastern outskirts.
  • PMC forces, including the MOD-affiliated Radut, are reportedly involved in the fighting.
  • The Ukrainians launched a successful counterattack and re-entered parts of Stepova, pushing the Russians back to the railway.


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Frontline Update: Zaporizhzhia and Kherson

  • Some Russian gains north of Novoprokopivka, but the Ukrainians pushed them back towards Kopani.
  • Geolocated footage shows marginal Ukrainian advances south of Robotyne.
  • The Ukrainians attacked towards Kopani but lost three vehicles. The Russians then counterattacked and recaptured a Ukrainian-held dugout between Robotyne and Novoprokopivka.
  • No changes to the mapping in Kherson, which may become challenging for the Ukrainians the longer it remains static.


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Russian Challenges in Kherson

Jonathan shares footage and quotes from Russian soldiers complaining about the difficult conditions and heavy losses they are facing on the Kinburn Spit and left bank of the Dnipro. One soldier suggests changing tactics and inviting the Ukrainians to attack their defensive lines instead. Jonathan believes this area could become an attritional meat grinder for the Russians, similar to Bakhmut, which may work in Ukraine's favour in the long run. However, if the Russians adopt a more defensive posture, they might be able to inflict heavy losses on Ukrainian forces attempting to advance.

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Wrap Up

In summary, while the frontline remains dynamic in certain areas, there have been no significant changes overall. Concerns persist around Avdiivka and Sinkivka, where the Russians have made some gains. Jonathan reminds viewers to check out his upcoming live chat with Greg Terry.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

The transcript was clear and I did not find any parts confusing or difficult to understand.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Watch the video and read through the transcript Identify the main topics covered in the video Summarise each topic, providing enough context and detail Bold any key points, place names, or emphasis as appropriate Include any relevant quotes from Jonathan Separate each topic with the appropriate XML tags Select the most profound or poignant quote from the video Review the summary to ensure all key topics are covered and the information is accurate Note any parts of the transcript that were unclear or confusing

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos