Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Surrender is a viable option and low morale then will be particularly vulnerable to ideas of surrendering."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:13⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to the daily frontline update, reminding everyone to check the map key if needed.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kharkiv Oblast: Russian Offensive Stalled; Focus on Vovchansk
🎦 00:13-06:22⏩
- Russian attacks in Kharkiv Oblast, particularly around Vovchansk, seem to have stalled.
- Speculation suggests Ukrainians might be pushing back stronger than reported, but operational security limits confirmation.
- The situation in Vovchansk, where Russians are reportedly surrounded at an aggregate plant, is a key focus.
- Russian media suggests Ukraine is strengthening defences in the area, hinting at a potential counteroffensive to push Russian forces back to the border.
- Reports, including from JNK, indicate Russians in Vovchansk are trapped and unable to retreat or advance.
- Estimates suggest around 400 Russian troops might be trapped, with many potentially injured or dead. Surrender or a "fight to the death" seem to be the only options, echoing the Mariupol situation.
- Sources, including Igor Sushko, claim a mass surrender of around 30 Russian soldiers occurred near the aggregate plant.
- Additional reports mention 60 surrenders earlier and a couple more recent ones, highlighting surrender as a viable option for demoralised troops.
- The Ukrainians are actively targeting the surrounded Russians, with footage showing Ukrainian Air Force strikes using GBU-39 guided bombs on the aggregate plant.
- Jonathan acknowledges the mapping updates provided by JR and notes the return of Surat Maps. He anticipates significant adjustments in future updates to reflect Surat Maps' data.
Svatove-Kreminna Line: Ukrainian Advance in Serebiansky Forest
🎦 06:22-08:19⏩
- No changes reported on the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, indicating continued Ukrainian defensive success.
- In the Serebiansky Forest, south of Kreminna, the Ukrainian 12th Special Forces Brigade and the 1st Operational Brigade Berevy of the National Guard conducted a successful offensive operation.
- The operation resulted in a notable advance of 1 kilometre in depth and 2 kilometres along the front.
- Jonathan notes the challenge of geolocating in the forest due to tree cover, making mapping updates difficult. However, he acknowledges that recent defoliation might aid in future geolocation efforts.
- Despite the lack of immediate map changes, visual evidence suggests a Ukrainian pushback in the Serebiansky Forest.
- Jonathan highlights the heavily fortified nature of the forest area, with numerous trenches and defensive positions established by both sides, particularly the Russians.
Bilohorivka: Heavy Fighting and Destruction
🎦 08:19-10:48⏩
- South of Kreminna, near Bilohorivka, the landscape is characterised by undulating terrain, chalk pits, and forested areas.
- Footage reveals extensive destruction in Bilohorivka, with the settlement effectively flattened and littered with destroyed military equipment from both sides, highlighting the intensity of the fighting in the area.
- Jonathan expresses sadness at the sheer amount of ordnance expended and the resulting destruction.
Southern Svesk Front: Russian Advance and Ukrainian Defence
🎦 10:48-12:12⏩
- In the south of the Svesk front, significant map changes favour the Russians, with both Andrew Perpetua and Deep State Maps aligning on Russian gains.
- Despite these gains, the Russians are struggling to advance on Chasiv Yar, which remains under Ukrainian control.
- After initially reflecting a Russian takeover of the Ivanytsk area, Andrew Perpetua's map reverts, suggesting the Ukrainians are holding their positions there.
Avdiivka Salient: Russian Pressure and Ukrainian Resistance
🎦 12:12-15:32⏩
- Near Avdiivka, fighting is concentrated around several key areas:
- Novoaleksandrivka: Russians have pushed through this village, moving closer to a crucial Ukrainian logistics route (T-0504) connecting Pokrovsk and Kostantinyvka. Jonathan expresses concern over the potential for Russian artillery to interdict this route.
- Soledar: Russians are making gains, moving into the outskirts of this small village west of Ocheretyne.
- Pervomaiske: Russians are pushing north of the reservoir, aiming to capture territory up to the Vovcha River. Jonathan speculates this might be a natural stopping point for the Russians before they reconstitute.
- Despite these Russian advances, Jonathan highlights the Ukrainians' likely strategy of ceding territory up to the Vovcha River, where they are expected to have established more formidable defensive lines. He believes the Ukrainians will offer stiffer resistance beyond this point, particularly near Prokofiev.
- No significant changes are reported for Marinka, Krasnohorivka, or Novomykhailivka, suggesting continued stalemate in these areas.
Southern Front and Dnipro River: No Changes
🎦 15:32-15:43⏩
No changes are observed along the southern frontline or the Dnipro River.
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Wrap up
🎦 15:43-15:49⏩
Jonathan concludes the update, reminding viewers that the map might not reflect all positive developments for Ukraine in the Kharkiv region. He encourages viewers to like, subscribe, and share the video and bids them farewell.
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