Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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Table of Contents 📖
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"When we talk about the Biden administration or any government, I'm not either pro or anti-Biden here or anything, what I'm saying is those kind of decisions are made by your military organizations, your Department of defense in this case the pentagon"
Hello Team!
Jonathan greets his audience and dives straight into the latest news on the Ukraine war.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian General Staff Figures on Russian Losses
- 480 Russian personnel liquidated, a significant decrease from previous days
- 4 tanks, 12 APCs, 40 artillery systems (a record high), 1 helicopter, 34 drones, 4 cruise missiles, 10 vehicles/fuel tanks, and 6 pieces of special equipment lost
- The high artillery losses likely due to Ukraine's targeting of these systems along the front line
Analysis of Wagner Group and Russian Regiment Losses
- Chris O'Wickey's analysis shows January 2023 was the deadliest month for Wagner, with at least 502 confirmed deaths (likely much higher in reality)
- Fatalities correlate with key battles like Soledar and Bakhmut
- The 1439th Russian Regiment was virtually wiped out in March during attacks in Avdiivka
Two Weeks at the Front in Ukraine - New Yorker Article
- Article provides insight into life in the trenches for Ukrainian forces
- Reveals high Ukrainian losses in Kherson and Bakhmut, but suggests Russian losses are even higher
- Ukrainians view holding Bakhmut as worth the cost to attrit Russian forces
- Phenomenon of "reverse natural selection" where the bravest soldiers are disproportionately killed
Surprise Incursion by Russian Citizen Units into Russia's Belgorod Region
- Two Ukrainian units comprised of Russian citizens penetrated up to 10km into Belgorod, capturing territory and prompting a Russian counter-terrorist operation
- Jonathan questions the strategic benefit for Ukraine, fearing it may unite Russians against perceived Ukrainian aggression
- A helicopter crashed in the region and the city of Belgorod was hit by drone attacks on government buildings
Military Aid to Ukraine
- Portugal ready to accept Ukrainian forces for aircraft parts and assistance
- Netherlands to start training Ukrainian pilots on F-16s; first fighters could arrive in autumn
- Politico article details how the Pentagon, not Biden, drives decisions on aid like F-16s
- Germany nearing decision on delivering Taurus cruise missiles; Sweden sending CV90 IFVs
- Leopard 2 tanks seen in Ukraine, dry ground conditions favourable for counteroffensive
Meanwhile in Russia...
- RT head Margarita Simonyan acknowledges ammo shortages, proposes citizens work in military factories after their day jobs
- German investigators skeptical of Russian involvement in Nord Stream sabotage, pursuing Ukrainian leads
- Armenia threatens to leave Russian-led CSTO alliance over lack of support against Azerbaijan
- Belarusian dictator pardons pro-Ukrainian news editor sentenced to 8 years in prison
- Russian deputy science minister dies from apparent poisoning after criticizing invasion
- Russia sends sanctioned interior minister to Saudi Arabia in attempt to counter Zelensky's diplomatic efforts
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks his viewers for watching the detailed update, acknowledging the increasing pace of news as the anticipated Ukrainian counteroffensive approaches. He encourages viewers to like, subscribe and share the video.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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