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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid & Geopolitics News

Geopolitics🔷News🔷Military Aid Tuesday, 2nd July 2024, 12:36
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"Ukraine will have more F-16 aircraft than they will have qualified pilots to fly them by the end of the year."

Hello Team🎦 00:00-00:17

Jonathan welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics update on the Ukraine War, specifically focusing on military aid and geopolitics in this second part of the July 2nd, 2024 news.

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Ukraine Strikes Russian Black Sea Fleet Facility in Crimea🎦 00:17-04:27

Jonathan discusses a recent missile strike in Crimea targeting a Russian Black Sea Fleet facility. The attack, allegedly carried out using cruise missiles, reportedly destroyed a warehouse containing approximately 90 Shahed-136 drones (or Geran-2 as the Russians call them). This follows a previous strike on a similar warehouse, highlighting the Ukrainian strategy of targeting these drones before deployment. Jonathan delves into the challenges of countering the widespread use of drones, particularly FPV (First-Person View) and IED-dropping drones. Their proliferation makes them difficult to eliminate entirely, unlike larger artillery pieces. He emphasizes the need for mitigation strategies like electronic warfare or targeting production facilities, noting the impracticality of trying to eliminate every individual drone in operation. Jonathan acknowledges previous attempts to strike drone factories deep within Russia but suggests focusing on staging points and stockpiles closer to the front lines as a more achievable objective. Destroying these warehouses, as seen in recent events, represents a significant victory for Ukraine, mirroring the desired outcome for Russian aircraft: grounding them before they can pose a threat.

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France's Potential Mirage 2000-5 Jet Transfer to Ukraine🎦 04:27-06:54

Jonathan discusses the possibility of France sending Mirage 2000-5 fighter jets to Ukraine, citing a statement from the spokesman of the National Rally party. Although the spokesman suggested there's no outright refusal, they indicated a need for clarity and answers before proceeding. Jonathan expresses concern about the National Rally's close ties to Russia, drawing parallels with other far-right parties in Europe and the US that exhibit pro-Russia or anti-Ukraine sentiments. He expresses anxiety over the rise of such parties and their potential impact on Ukraine's support, referencing figures like Trump, Farage, and the AFD in Germany. He views their appeasement positions and connections with Russia as deeply troubling, especially given Trump's recent announcement to reinstate General Mike Flynn, a known anti-Ukraine figure. He urges viewers to consider the statements of these individuals and those surrounding them, emphasizing their consistently pro-Russia or anti-Ukraine stance. Jonathan ends on a slightly more optimistic note, hoping the National Rally might surprise him by rallying behind Ukraine, but remains skeptical, believing their statements may be an attempt to appease more moderate voters.

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Netherlands Approves F-16 Export, Training Ukrainian Pilots, and Air Defence Update🎦 06:54-09:59

Jonathan shares news of the Netherlands officially approving the export of 24 F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine, with the first deliveries expected "soon". He welcomes this development and highlights a Politico article discussing US Democrats urging the Pentagon to expedite and expand the training of Ukrainian pilots on F-16s. The article, citing a letter obtained by Politico, suggests Ukraine might receive more F-16s than they have qualified pilots by year's end. Jonathan acknowledges the potential issue of aircraft availability and condition, as well as debates surrounding their radar systems, but remains optimistic about their impact. He emphasizes the potential of F-16 deployment to influence the war's outcome significantly, echoing the sentiments expressed in the letter from US lawmakers. He stresses the importance of swift action, especially given the looming US elections and potential shifts in political landscapes. Jonathan further emphasizes the need for a robust training program, advocating for NATO allies, led by the Pentagon, to support Ukraine's request for pilot training, ultimately reinforcing the coalition's commitment to Ukraine's sovereignty. He expresses hope for a united front in expediting this process before the November elections. Jonathan shares Zelensky's optimistic outlook on Ukraine's air defence capabilities, expecting improvements in July, potentially due to the SAMP/T system from Italy and additional Patriot systems from other countries, including a possible eight from Israel. While details remain unconfirmed, Zelensky expressed confidence that this month could bring "even more strength" in protecting Ukraine's skies.

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Ukraine's Novotor 2 EW Vehicles, Polish and US Support, and Prisoner Parole for Military Service🎦 09:59-12:12

Jonathan shifts focus to Ukrainian-made military equipment, highlighting the delivery of the first batch of Novator 2 vehicles equipped with electronic warfare systems to the National Guard. These indigenously produced vehicles aim to enhance protection for troops, particularly against electronic threats. He underscores the importance of such innovations in countering evolving battlefield dynamics. Jonathan then acknowledges the significant contributions of Poland and the US in supporting Ukraine's war effort. He cites Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk's visit to the Rzeszów logistics hub, where he praised Polish and US soldiers for their tireless work in coordinating aid and supplies to Ukraine, emphasizing the crucial role of these hubs in sustaining Ukraine's defence. Jonathan further reports that Ukraine has released over 3,000 prisoners on parole, integrating them into military units following parliamentary approval of a mobilization bill. With potentially 27,000 inmates eligible, this program could significantly bolster Ukraine's fighting force. Jonathan points out this strategic move highlights the Ukrainian military's need for manpower and demonstrates their commitment to leveraging available resources in their fight against Russia.

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Russia Develops CUAS Protection for Military Drones🎦 12:12-12:46

Jonathan briefly covers a development in Russia: their state media reporting on new Unmanned Ground Vehicle (UGV) concepts incorporating counter-unmanned aerial vehicle (CUAS) cages. Similar to existing protections on tanks and armored vehicles, these cages aim to safeguard Russian UGVs from drone attacks, indicating an adaptation to the evolving nature of warfare and drone utilization on the battlefield.

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Wrap Up🎦 12:46-13:14

Jonathan concludes the video by thanking viewers for watching and encouraging them to like, subscribe, and share the content. He reminds viewers to click the bell icon to receive notifications for new videos and provides instructions for selecting the "All" notification setting to ensure they don't miss any updates.

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