Ukraine War Update NEWS (20230928a): Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Don't ever say that you care Russia, don't ever try and adopt the moral high ground because you cannot."
Hello Team!
Jonathan thanks viewers for their generous support and emails to YouTube regarding issues with the channel. YouTube has reached out and he is waiting for a reply. He is having a cup of tea.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses: 330 personnel, 4 tanks, 12 APVs (fairly heavy), 38 artillery systems (massive loss), 1 MLRS, 1 anti-aircraft warfare system, 9 drones, 23 vehicles/fuel tanks
- Lack of information coming out of certain front line areas like Robotyne due to operational security/fog of war
- Losses of artillery are consistently high and must be hurting the Russians
Mapper Andrew Perpetua's Tally
- Two tallies in last 24 hours
- Russian losses across spectrum, nothing stands out other than they are losing more than Ukrainians
- Ukrainian losses mainly IFVs, signifying type of counter-offensive attack
- First confirmed total loss of a Ukrainian Rosomak (previously unseen destroyed)
- Ukrainians still have equipment like Challengers and Abrams yet to be brought to bear in large quantities
Mines Exploding
Footage shown of a grenade landing in a minefield causing a huge sprawling explosion. Demonstrates the destructive power of mines and that even the best tanks would be destroyed going over that.
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UK Intelligence Update
- Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) have lost approx. 90 fixed wing aircraft in combat since Feb 2022
- Flying some combat aircraft types far more intensively than peacetime, eating into airframe lifespans quicker than planned
- Extra maintenance complicated by shortage of spare parts due to sanctions
- Wear and tear likely reducing long-term viability of VKS's tactical air power
Shahed Drone Attacks
- Another wave of Shahed drones overnight, 34 out of 44 shot down (10 got through)
- Success of drones depends on area targeted (e.g. more get through near Odesa vs Kyiv)
- 10 getting through will still cause significant damage
- Storm Shadow missiles reported heading to Crimea, outcome unknown
- Russia consistently commits war crimes by targeting Ukraine's grain terminals and food for the world
- Mykolaiv region governor reports possible record number of drones shot down, having more success lately, likely due to improved air defenses
Ukraine Plans Drone Production Site Strikes
According to a secret document sent to G7 countries, Ukraine suggested striking drone production sites in Russia, Iran and Syria to stop production of drones containing Western components. Russia may now be able to produce more Shahed drones domestically than imported from Iran. The location of Russian drone factories is unknown but Ukraine likely has this intelligence. Shahed drones are still a challenge for Ukraine.
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New Ukrainian Deputy Defense Ministers
Three new deputy ministers of defense have been appointed in Ukraine, likely as part of Defense Minister Reznikov's restructuring and clearing out of old staff. The new team's main priority is stated to be the lives, health and dignity of Ukrainian soldiers. Some of the previous staff members allegedly had issues with giving out incorrect or untimely information.
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Russia Fines Critic for Accurate WWII History
- Russian court convicts and heavily fines architect for "rehabilitation of Nazism" for accurately describing USSR-Nazi collaboration in early WWII and criticizing Stalin
- Part of Putin regime's efforts to forcibly rewrite history using legislation and politicized courts
- Same false narrative being pushed about current Ukraine war
- Generational damage to Russian population's sense of reality and identity
- Jonathan questions how pro-Russian voices can advocate for a nation perpetrating this Orwellian rewriting of history on top of war crimes
Concerns over Twitter/X Election Integrity
- Report finds Twitter/X the worst social media platform for spreading disinformation
- Elon Musk has now fired Twitter's entire election integrity team that identified threats manipulating elections
- Russian meddling in 2016 and 2020 US elections has been admitted by social media companies
- Jonathan frequently highlights examples of Russian disinformation on the platform
- Musk's actions seen as counterproductive to election integrity and access to truth
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, saying most of them are wonderful people. He appreciates the likes, subscribes and shares.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process
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