Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The objective here is starve for the for the ukrainians and they're still in that phase and so therefore they are having great success in hammering russian logistics"
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces the video, mentioning some technical difficulties in recording. He notes the second part will likely be a livestream due to time constraints.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Russian losses according to Ukrainian General Staff: 550 personnel, 8 tanks, 11 APVs, 33 artillery systems, 4 MLRS
- While we can't expect visual confirmation of every loss, the snapshot of videos supports high Russian losses
- Even reducing the claimed figures by 30% still represents very bad losses for Russia
- 6 Russian boats were also allegedly lost on the Dnipro River according to the Ukrainian Deputy Defence Minister
Stretch, Starve, Strike
- General Petraeus outlined the Ukrainian offensive model: Stretch, Starve, Strike
- Stretch: Ukrainians have successfully stretched Russian forces across the front line with probing attacks
- Starve: Ukrainians are heavily targeting Russian logistics (Kerch Bridge, Chonhar Bridge, Henichesk Bridge, Armyansk)
- Strike: Ukrainians tried some larger strikes but have pulled back to smaller probing attacks for now
- 43 Russian vehicles and fuel tanks lost shows the "Starve" phase is ongoing as Russia struggles with logistics
Visual Confirmation of Losses
- Oryx visually confirmed 14 Russian equipment losses vs 1 Ukrainian loss
- Russians have lost 3-4 times as many tanks, 2-3 times as many APVs and artillery as Ukraine based on visual confirmation
- Russian claims of Ukrainian losses are "bonkers" and completely unrealistic based on pre-war Ukrainian inventory
Other News
- Sabotage of railway control cabinets near Moscow caused train delays
- Large fire at warehouse in occupied Donetsk
- Explosions and helicopters in Tavriisk and Krasnoperekopsk in Crimea
- Russia still struggling with Crimean bridge and logistics, trying to establish a new hub in Mariupol
- Ukrainians successfully using decoy targets to waste Russian missiles and drones
- Russia regressing with Soviet-style propaganda and sham referendums in occupied territories
- Pro-Russian military bloggers and reporters being shut down, arrested or sent to front lines for posting truth about the war
Wrap up
Jonathan wraps up the video, mentioning his need for a cup of tea after re-recording several times. He appreciates the viewers for supporting the channel.
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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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