Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Table of Contents 📖
"It's pointless to write about reinforced concrete construction and the fact that they would have levelled out all the losses over the last 24 hours. We will run out of aviation faster than we can build them."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:05⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to the first part of the Ukraine War Update NEWS for 26/07/2024 and briefly describes the content of the video.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses - 26/07/2024
🎦 01:05-04:12⏩
Jonathan shares the Ukrainian General Staff figures for Russian losses on 26/07/2024. These include the loss of 950 personnel, 7 tanks, 11 armoured personnel vehicles, 36 artillery systems, 56 vehicles and fuel tanks, 7 pieces of special equipment. Jonathan highlights that although the loss of personnel and equipment is significant, it is a quieter day overall for the Russians.
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Andrew's team's assessment of Ukrainian and Russian losses
🎦 04:12-04:18⏩
Jonathan introduces the assessment of Andrew's team, who analyze social media posts to identify Ukrainian and Russian losses.
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Analysis of Ukrainian and Russian losses according to social media data
🎦 04:18-03:57⏩
Jonathan discusses the analysis of social media data that suggests a good day for Ukraine in terms of both overall numbers and combat assets lost. Jonathan highlights a couple of motorcycles, a boat sunk, a couple of damaged, a piece of artillery, and a T-64 tank destroyed for Ukrainian losses. For Russian losses, Jonathan mentions a helicopter (Mi-28), a couple of boats, comms equipment, artillery, tanks (T-64s, AT-72s), IFVs (BMP-1s, BMP-3s, BMD-4), captured vehicles, trucks, golf buggies, a quad, and motorbikes.
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Kharkiv direction - Ukrainian losses vs Russian losses
🎦 04:18-05:31⏩
Jonathan discusses the situation in the Kharkiv direction, where the Ukrainians have been able to claw back their initial losses. Jonathan points out that the Russians are now losing equipment at rates similar to other parts of the front line, and considers the attack in Kharkiv to be a failure. He questions whether the Russians will continue investing resources in Kharkiv or cut their losses.
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Unmanned jet ski with explosives discovered near Istanbul
🎦 05:31-06:47⏩
Jonathan discusses the discovery of an unmanned jet ski believed to be loaded with explosives and belonging to the Ukrainian forces. The jet ski, which is believed to have lost communications with its operator, was discovered on the coast near Istanbul in Turkey. Jonathan expresses hope that the Ukrainians will be able to recover the lost equipment.
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BBC documentary "Enemy in the Woods"
🎦 06:47-09:36⏩
Jonathan discusses the BBC documentary "Enemy in the Woods," which follows Ukrainian soldiers in the forest near Sienkiewka, near Kupiansk. He praises the documentary for its unique perspective and the bravery of the soldiers featured. He also mentions that the young commander, Vlad, who was featured in the documentary, has since been killed in battle.
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BBC documentary "Helljumper"
🎦 09:36-09:45⏩
Jonathan recommends the BBC documentary "Helljumper," which follows Chris Parry, a British volunteer who died while conducting risky evacuations in Bakhmut.
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Attack on Novel Mikhailovka
🎦 09:45-10:42⏩
Jonathan discusses an attack by Russian forces on Novel Mikhailovka, involving 3 tanks and 13 APCs with infantry. He reports that Ukrainian soldiers from the 79th brigade managed to destroy 1 tank, 1 APC, and another BMP, killing 23 Russians and injuring 29 others. Jonathan expresses uncertainty about whether the initial attack was successful, but believes that a second attack may have had some success.
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Russian drone strikes on Ukraine
🎦 10:42-12:37⏩
Jonathan discusses overnight Russian drone strikes on Ukraine, including the successful interception of 20 out of 22 Shahed drones. Jonathan also addresses rumours of Romanians shooting down Shahed drones over the Ukrainian port of Vizhmel, highlighting that this would be the first time a NATO country has destroyed Russian equipment in Ukraine. He emphasizes the need for caution and verification of information.
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Russian strikes on Zhytomyr and Chernihiv regions
🎦 12:37-12:58⏩
Jonathan reports on Russian strikes on Zhytomyr and Chernihiv regions, highlighting that two drones managed to get through, potentially causing damage to power facilities. He mentions the restoration of electricity supply to most people in the Zhytomyr region.
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Footage of Russian strikes on Ukraine
🎦 12:58-14:59⏩
Jonathan discusses footage released by War Vehicle Tracker, a Polish individual who reports on both Russian and Ukrainian strikes. He mentions a possible strike on a plant used by Starokramatorsk machine building, which produced shells before 2022. He also mentions claims of a ballistic missile attack in Kharkiv, destroying two armoured vehicle repair shops. Jonathan acknowledges that the Russians are increasingly using missiles to target more valuable objectives and attributes this to their access to Chinese satellite imagery.
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Overnight strike on Saki air base in Crimea
🎦 14:59-18:54⏩
Jonathan discusses the overnight strike on Saki air base in Crimea, which was hit by eight ACMS. He reports that Russian media admitted to damage to the air base, including the destruction of radar and casualties. Jonathan highlights the possibility of heavier losses than reported and mentions that the attack targeted both the air defense system and the location of the Russian air defense system. He also mentions claims of a large number of aircraft losses and wounded personnel, but emphasizes the need for verification and the possibility that the actual losses might be much lower.
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Reactions of Russian mill bloggers to the Saki air base strike
🎦 18:54-19:06⏩
Jonathan discusses the reactions of Russian mill bloggers to the Saki air base strike, highlighting the frustration and anger of Fighter Bomber, a Russian air force adjacent mill blogger, who suggests that the strike may have resulted in pilot casualties and bemoans the lack of proper aircraft shelters.
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Drone strikes on Rostov Oblast
🎦 19:06-19:57⏩
Jonathan discusses drone strikes on Rostov Oblast, highlighting that the Russian Ministry of Defence claimed to have shot down four drones. He mentions images of a burning field near the village of Nezvete, suggesting that the strike may have been successful.
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Strike on an S-300B system in Novosilki, Crimea
🎦 19:57-21:40⏩
Jonathan discusses a strike on an S-300B system in Novosilki, Crimea, highlighting the destruction of a building and the possibility of damage to a presumed fire control radar. He acknowledges that the launchers appear to be intact, suggesting that the strike may have targeted the building itself.
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Russian forces relocating equipment towards the Kerch Bridge
🎦 21:40-24:58⏩
Jonathan discusses reports that Russian forces are relocating equipment, including surviving air defense systems, aviation radars, and military facilities, from the western part of Crimea towards the Kerch Bridge. He highlights the potential significance of this move as a sign of the Russians' desperation, particularly in light of Ukrainian strikes on railway ferries and the Kerch Bridge's limited capacity for heavy cargo. He also discusses the potential use of SCALP and Storm Shadow missiles by Ukraine, expressing uncertainty about their availability and usage.
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Rumours of F-16s flying over the Odessa region from Romania
🎦 25:02-26:01⏩
Jonathan addresses rumours of F-16s flying over the Odessa region from Romania, suggesting that these rumours are consistent and that such flights, while not surprising, would likely be for air defense rather than offensive missions. He expresses his personal support for such a move, but lacks confirmation.
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Arrest of a teenager suspected of killing Irina Faryon
🎦 26:01-26:27⏩
Jonathan reports on the arrest of a teenager suspected of killing Irina Faryon, a former Ukrainian MP, and mentions the lack of concrete answers and the involvement of media in questioning the suspect.
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Protest in Donetsk over unbearable living conditions
🎦 26:27-27:55⏩
Jonathan reports on a protest in Donetsk over unbearable living conditions, including massive water problems and power outages. He highlights the struggles of residents under Russian occupation and the lack of improvement in their lives.
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Wrap up
🎦 27:55-28:06⏩
Jonathan signs off by thanking his viewers for their support and promising potential updates as information becomes available throughout the day.
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