Full Frontline Update
Title:Full Frontline Update Topics:
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Table of Contents 📖
| Topic ID | Topic Title | Timestamp |
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"The situation is crinkyinky it feels like elves were delivered a truckload of fpv drones i'm done in other words ukrainian drone activity in the area is incredibly effective and very widespread"
Hello Team!
- JR who helps with mapping is away until Sunday so Jonathan will be doing the mapping himself which takes longer
- One of Jonathan's boys has a rugby trial today so timing wise he may not get an extra video out
- Content over the next few days may be a bit later than normal
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupiansk to Svatove to Kreminna Front Line
- According to the ISW, between Nov 1-6, Russian forces in this sector lost:
- 1,826 personnel
- 200 pieces of military equipment including:
- 22 tanks
- 54 armored combat vehicles
- A phenomenal amount of kit lost in this area in 5 days of fighting
- When the General Staff figures show high losses, a lot can be attributed to this area, not just Avdiivka and Bakhmut
- According to Suriyak Maps, near Kotlyarivka and Krokomolna, Russians have pushed across the railway line improving their position northwest of Svatove
Bakhmut
- Appears the Russians have put Ukrainians on the back foot and stopped their momentum
- Russians are pushing back in a number of places:
- In the north near Yakovlivka, Russians have gained ground according to Andrew Perpetua
- Further south in Klishchiivka area, Suriyak Maps suggests Russians have pushed back over the railway line, now on southern part of it
- ISW doesn't provide much info apart from marginal Ukrainian gains from Bakivka which was already established a couple days ago
- Russians are having some success and potentially pushing back in Bakhmut with quite a few troops there
Avdiivka
- A lot happening here with Russians putting pressure on and pushing Ukrainians back:
- Russian blogger claimed Russians advanced to 400m from southern border of Avdiivka but no visual evidence yet
- Russians continue to claim advances near Nevelske railway line but with high casualties
- Ukrainian spokesperson stated Russians lost 585 personnel in one day during light infantry attacks without armored support
- Slight Russian gains along railway line near Nevelske
- North of Nevelske and west of Krasnohorivka, Russians appear to have gained a field and settlement area
- ISW says:
- Russian officials indicate commitment to Avdiivka effort despite high losses and bad weather
- Russians have concentrated 40,000 reserves in Avdiivka direction
- Recently attacking in groups of 10-20 and using drones to identify Ukrainian counter-battery elements
- Ukrainians made marginal gains in counter-attacks near Vodyane
- Distance between Russian positions north and south of Avdiivka now only 6.5km
- National Guard says Russia attacking Avdiivka from 3 fronts, throwing infantry and drones at the city
- If Russians continue to expend infantry to take small amounts of land, they will keep going until Avdiivka is operationally surrounded
Vuhledar/Pavlivka
- Geolocated footage from Nov 6 shows Russian forces advanced north of Pavlivka
- Russians were hit in their APC and dismounted in the grey zone north of Pavlivka
Velyka Novosilka
- No meaningful updates to report
Orikhiv/Hulyaipole
- Ukrainians appear to have useful gains, pushing Russians back
- The big oblong of Russian-controlled territory where they took tree lines with their best forces has been pushed back
- Andrew Perpetua shows Russians pushed back behind tank ditches in first line of defense towards manned trenches behind
- If Ukrainians continue to have success here, it bodes well and they could make creeping gains between Novoprokopivka and Vodyane like Russians are doing in Avdiivka
Kherson/Dnipro River
- ISW reports:
- Russian bloggers claim Ukrainians maintain positions on east bank of Kherson and advanced near Krynky on Nov 8
- On Nov 7-8, Ukrainians maintained positions in central Krynky
- Some bloggers claim Ukrainians advancing from there at 1 meter per day
- Ukrainians have expanded all along Krynky area over past week according to Andrew Perpetua
- Ukrainians targeting Korsunka with hits, could be next place they try to take
- Russian blogger reports:
- Ukrainian drone activity in Krynky incredibly effective and widespread
- Ukrainians unafraid to move at night, tense situation remains in forest south of Krynky
- Between Piatykhatky and Kozachi Laheri, Ukrainians attempting to create another bridgehead by transferring forces
- War Translated reports:
- Ukrainians settling into tree lines south of Krynky, even used helicopter which scared Russians
- Important Ukrainians used helicopter in Krynky area, firing unguided missiles, indicates degraded Russian air defenses locally
- Also signifies Russians lack drones to spot helicopters and counter-battery fire, allowing Ukrainians to gain advantage with their drones
Wrap Up
- Kherson continues to be the area to watch for Ukrainians
- Sadly for pro-Ukrainians, momentum has slowed in Klishchivka and Bakhmut areas
- Could just be a pause as both sides take turns attacking for a few days
- Ukrainians have taken some territorial losses north of Bakhmut which may be worrying
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