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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Friday, 21st April 2023, 10:31
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"We are in the Ukraine for all the right reasons"

Hello Team!

Jonathan had a poor night's sleep due to a drunk driver crashing into his neighbour's car outside his house. The police took a long time to arrive to deal with the incident.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Russian Losses

  • 630 liquidated Russian personnel (higher than recent days)
  • 1 tank, 6 APCs, 2 artillery systems (lower than usual), 8 drones, 6 vehicles, 2 special equipment
  • Claim Ukrainians shot down a Mi-35M helicopter (to be confirmed)
  • Footage of 3-5 Russian vehicles destroyed in one location
  • Jonathan expects to see more Ukrainian vehicle losses when counter-offensive begins as they will be advancing


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Overnight News

  • 8 of 12 Shahed drones shot down coming from Bryansk towards Kyiv
  • Costly accident: Drunk Russian driver overturned a S-400 air defense system vehicle onto its missiles in Tula region. Driver's arm and vehicle brakes broken.
  • First external view of Ukrainian Switchblade 600 loitering munition remnants. Designed to take out armored vehicles, more powerful than Switchblade 300.
  • Large explosion filmed, location unknown. Possibly a JDAM or FAB bomb.
  • Russian Su-34 accidentally dropped a bomb over Belgorod city. Caused significant explosion damaging buildings but no casualties reported. Possibly a FAB-500 bomb.
  • Explosions heard overnight in Kyiv, Kharkiv, Vinnytsia, Poltava regions. Slovyansk hammered by S-300s.


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Odds & Ends

  • Russian State Duma member Andrey Gurulyov admits:
    • Putin is personally running the war
    • Russian military industrial complex needs another year to catch up to destroy Ukraine
  • Mud likely slowing operations for both sides but Russians exaggerating impact on Ukrainian forces as part of information operation
  • Mines are a more important factor limiting off-road maneuver
  • Kenneth Gregg, Swedish fighter in Ukraine, provides updates:
    • Plenty of Ukrainian artillery in place in Bakhmut
    • Russians have leveled all houses in 300m zone west of railway line
    • Ukrainians have advanced 2km southeast from Pobjeda towards Oleksandrivka to pressure Russian troops south of Marinka
    • Ukrainian offensive has not started yet despite military spokesperson statements


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Military Aid

  • Ukrainian pixel camouflage paint jobs on donated vehicles look great
  • Large convoy of Bradley IFVs with Ukrainian camo seen, will be "painful for Russians"
  • Denmark & Netherlands jointly acquiring 14 Leopard 2A4 tanks to donate to Ukraine in early 2024, in addition to 100 Leopard 1A5s
  • Dutch marines training Ukrainians on Viking BvS10 armored tracked amphibious vehicle
  • Slovenia agrees to join EU ammo procurement for Ukraine. 23 EU states + Norway participating.
  • Estonia sending 155mm & 5.56mm ammo plus night vision in new aid package
  • German Bundestag rules out sending fighter jets to Ukraine


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Geopolitics

  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr (JFK's nephew) announces 2024 presidential run as Democrat. His son fought in Ukraine during Kharkiv offensive.
  • First freight train in 25 years carries salt from Ukraine along reconstructed Basarabeasca-Berezine line, bypassing Russian-controlled Transnistria region of Moldova
  • 19 Republican lawmakers (<10%) urge Biden to stop "unrestrained" Ukraine aid
  • 2 Irish left MEPs abstain on EU resolution condemning sentencing of Russian journalist Vladimir Kara-Murza to 25 years in prison


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Wrap up

Jonathan hopes the update was useful and informative. He appreciates all the support and encourages viewers to like, subscribe, share and support his work if they can. He thanks everyone for their amazing comments.

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