Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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"When we go to look at Andrew Perpetua's loss stats from the socials that he looks at, it's actually closer to parity."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an introduction and mentions he is a bit late with today's update.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- The Ukrainian General Staff reported record high Russian losses, with 1,330 personnel lost in one day
- Even with caveats, these figures are problematic for the Russians
- Possible reasons for the spike in losses could be Ukrainian strikes on personnel concentrations or a military base that was hit
- Andrew Perpetua's figures from social media show closer to parity in losses between Russia and Ukraine
Logistics and Attacks
- Russians are systematically trying to degrade Ukrainian logistic capabilities, including hitting medical vehicles
- Ukraine destroyed a column of Russian armoured carriers in Starominilkia as Russians probe along the front lines
- Two Russian military bases, one in Kurgan and one in Volgograd, were hit by apparent Ukrainian drone strikes
Air Defence and Strikes
- Russia launched 18 drones at Ukraine, with 16 shot down by air defences
- Russia changed drone attack tactics, now launching in early morning hours
- Various ways Ukraine is shooting down drones, including Gepard anti-aircraft vehicles
- Explosions reported in Melitopol and Sevastopol
Mobilisation and Casualties
- Russia is recruiting prisoners with incentives to fight in Ukraine
- A prominent Russian military blogger who was injured in the St. Petersburg cafe bombing died suspiciously
- Relatives of submariners killed in the Sevastopol submarine attack were denied compensation
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for watching, requests likes/shares, and says he will speak to them soon.
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