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Full Frontline Update

Front Line Tuesday, 19th September 2023, 16:30
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
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Table of Contents 📖

Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"The Ukrainians are using far more ammunition than the Russians, they have more accurate and relentless artillery, and they're also heard from other sources that drone uses and it also talks about drones here that Russians are lacking drones, they lack the ability to see at night whereas Ukrainians do an awful lot at night."

Hello Team!

  • Not a huge amount of change to the frontline in the last few days
  • Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict flaring up and strangling bandwidth
  • Going through equipment losses totted up by Andrew Perpetua, one of the mappers used
    • Russians losing 3-4x more equipment than Ukrainians
    • Russians losing a lot of civilian and military vehicles, relying on civilian vehicles due to running low on military trucks
    • Ukrainians lost a lot of equipment, likely in a single Russian airstrike on a logistics node


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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Northeast Sector - Kupiansk to Svatove to Kreminna

  • ISW reports Russian offensive activity has slowed in Kupiansk direction
  • No Russian assault operations near Kreminna, regrouping continues
  • Russians deployed elements of new 25th Combined Arms Army to the line with only 80% manpower and 50% equipment, likely combat ineffective
  • Minor Ukrainian gains around Novoselivka according to pro-Russian Rybar maps


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Kreminna to Bakhmut

  • Minor Ukrainian gains or adjustments pushing back towards Bilohorivka
  • Activity near Spirne, Vesele Dolyna - Ukrainians pushed back by Russians previously
  • Heavy fighting reported around Novoheorhiivka in the past with large Russian equipment losses
  • Rybar maps claims Ukrainians re-entered Kramova north of Bakhmut for first time since May
  • Potential important Ukrainian gain if true


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Bakhmut Area

  • ISW:
    • Ukrainians recaptured 5.1 sq km in Bakhmut direction in past week
    • Continued assault operations near Klishchiivka, fighting near railway line east of town
    • Russian milbloggers claim northern Klishchiivka remains contested
  • DeepStateUA map shows minor Ukrainian gains around Klishchiivka
  • Increasingly difficult for Russians to hold Kurdyumivka as lines collapse to the northeast
  • General Syrsky says Ukrainians had a breakthrough in Bakhmut but fierce battles underway with multiple Russian counterattacks to regain lost positions


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Avdiivka Sector

  • Not much to report, ongoing fighting near Opytne
  • Russians using incendiary munitions on Opytne or surrounding trench lines
  • Uncertainty on who controls what parts of northern Opytne


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Velyka Novosilka Area

  • No major developments after heavy fighting previously
  • Ukrainians stopped for rotation and refit
  • Some probing attacks into Neskuchne and Pryiutne but mostly push and shove


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Vuhledar-Pavlivka Sector

  • More activity around Robotyne
  • Ukrainian gains shown by Rybar and Andrew Perpetua maps
  • Ukrainians pushing south towards high ground near Novoprokopivka
    • Attempting to take Hill 166
  • If Ukrainians breach trench lines in two places they can consolidate area
  • Rybar map generous to Russians, geolocated Ukrainian positions under fire at Russian front line
  • Ukrainians liberated 5.2 sq km in Robotyne area in past week per ISW


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Zaporizhzhia Front

  • Ukrainian infantry under ATGM and artillery fire in Russian trench lines
  • Ukrainians pushing all over the front line per Rybar map
  • Russians counterattacking in places


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Dnipro River

  • UK intelligence: Both sides launching raids with small boats against islands and riverbanks
  • Increased activity since 40th Army Corps took responsibility of sector
  • Daily claims of destroyed boats up and down river from both sides
  • Russians still targeting Ukrainians with FAB-500 bombs near Antonivsky Bridge
  • Unknown if Ukrainians still hold positions near Oleshky and Kozachi Laheri gained previously


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Crimea

  • Russian milblogger claimed Ukrainians tried to land in Crimea and conducted drone strike on Sep 17
    • Claimed Russian naval aviation stopped 14 Ukrainian boats heading from Odesa Oblast, damaging several
  • Four Ukrainian-held rigs in Black Sea enable electronic warfare, radar and troop staging to reach Crimea
  • Attack and repulsion by Russian aviation is plausible


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Wrap Up

  • Not a huge amount of frontline changes to report
  • Please like, subscribe and share the video
  • Take care and speak to you soon


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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

No major parts of the transcript were unclear. The main challenge was organizing the many small details and updates from across the very long front line into a coherent summary while retaining the key points Jonathan was making. Apologies if any minor details were missed.

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Watch the video and read through the transcript Identify the main topics covered in the video Summarize each topic, providing enough context and detail Use bullet points or numbered lists to organize the summary Bold, italicize or underline for emphasis where appropriate but use sparingly Ensure British English spelling and grammar is used Include any sources, quotes or opinions from Jonathan Mention if Jonathan goes off topic with jokes, rants or shows his passion/feelings Note any mentions of tea! Check Ukrainian spelling of place names Include an introduction and wrap up Select a profound or poignant quote Review summary to ensure all key points are covered

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos