Ukraine War BREAKING NEWS: Big Ukr Wave Attack, & N. Korea Missile Escalation
Table of Contents 📖
"There is no excuse now for not providing Ukraine with long-range missiles. That is my takeaway from this."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:42⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to a late night breaking news video, prompted by significant developments during his viewing of "Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1". He highlights two interconnected and highly noteworthy events that warrant immediate attention.
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Ukrainian wave attack on Russian occupied territories
🎦 00:42-06:33⏩
Jonathan details a significant wave attack by Ukrainian forces, targeting Russian-occupied territories, possibly involving Storm Shadow missiles and a substantial number of newly produced Ukrainian-made drones, indicating an anticipated escalation of offensive capabilities.
- The attack targeted key locations, including Sevastopol, Kerch, Saki, Jankoi, and Novorossiysk, reflecting a strategic effort to degrade Russian military infrastructure and logistics.
- Official commendation from Ukrainian Air Force Commander Mykola Oleschuk underscores the attack's potential success.
- While Russian sources claim to have shot down over 50 air targets, the sheer scale of explosions suggests the possibility of more significant damage than acknowledged.
- The attack marks a potential turning point, highlighting Ukraine's growing capacity to strike deep within occupied territories and potentially disrupt Russian military operations.
Storm Shadow Missile Strikes
🎦 06:33-09:26⏩
Jonathan analyses the use of Storm Shadow missiles in the attack, expressing scepticism about Russian claims of shooting down a significant number. He cites previous instances where Storm Shadows successfully penetrated Russian air defences, suggesting potential exaggeration in their reporting.
- Russian sources, including Rebar, provided detailed accounts of the attack, alleging the use of Storm Shadow missiles launched from Starokostyantiniv airbase in Ukraine.
- They claimed successful interceptions of some missiles but admitted others reached their targets, albeit with minimal damage.
- Jonathan questions the plausibility of their claims, highlighting the Storm Shadow's proven effectiveness and the potential for disinformation in the Russian narrative.
Novorossiysk: A strategic target
🎦 09:26-12:39⏩
Jonathan discusses the significance of targeting Novorossiysk, the Russian port now serving as the primary alternative to Sevastopol for the Black Sea Fleet. He had anticipated such strikes, believing Ukraine would inevitably target this vulnerable strategic asset, and emphasizes the potential implications of this development.
- With the Black Sea Fleet relocated to Novorossiysk, the port becomes a critical target for Ukrainian forces to neutralize Russian naval capabilities in the region.
- The attack on Novorossiysk marks a significant escalation in the conflict, as it demonstrates Ukraine's willingness and ability to strike targets within Russia itself.
- Jonathan speculates on the potential impact on Russian naval operations, suggesting that the loss of Novorossiysk would severely limit their options, leaving them vulnerable and potentially forcing a change in strategy.
North Korean Missiles
🎦 12:39-16:52⏩
Jonathan shifts focus to a second major development: Russia's use of North Korean ballistic missiles in Ukraine. He highlights the significance of the White House's open acknowledgement of this development, directly implicating North Korea and emphasizing the gravity of the situation.
- John Kirby, Spokesperson for the National Security Council, confirmed Russia's acquisition of ballistic missiles from North Korea and their subsequent use in attacks on Ukrainian territory.
- He revealed that at least one missile, with an estimated range of 900 kilometers, was launched on December 30, 2023, landing in the Zaporizhzhia region.
- Multiple launches were reported on January 2, 2024.
- Kirby also disclosed U.S. intelligence assessments indicating North Korea's pursuit of military aid from Russia, including fighter aircraft, missiles, and advanced technologies, in exchange for their support.
Analysis of North Korean missile launches
🎦 16:52-18:07⏩
Jonathan delves into the details surrounding the North Korean missile launches, emphasizing the limited range observed in the initial attacks, significantly shorter than the reported maximum capability of the system. He posits several hypotheses for this discrepancy, emphasizing the need for further analysis to determine the rationale behind the observed launch parameters.
- Jonathan notes that the confirmed range of 460 kilometers falls short of the missile's purported 885-kilometer maximum range.
- He suggests potential explanations, including deliberate range reduction to avoid escalation, technical malfunctions, or intentional lofted trajectories to maximize kinetic impact.
- Jonathan emphasizes the need for additional data and analysis to fully comprehend the implications of these launches and determine if they represent a calculated strategy or technical limitations.
Call for Increased Military Aid to Ukraine
🎦 18:07-21:08⏩
Jonathan argues that Russia's use of North Korean missiles dismantles any remaining justifications for withholding long-range missiles from Ukraine. He criticizes the West's hesitancy and perceived weakness in the face of this escalation, asserting that providing Ukraine with comparable or superior weaponry is not only justified but essential.
- Jonathan contends that Russia's actions have shattered any pretence of restraint or escalation concerns, removing any valid arguments against supplying Ukraine with long-range missile systems.
- He criticizes the West's inaction, particularly the United States' inability to provide adequate assistance due to internal political gridlock.
- Jonathan highlights the stark contrast between the unwavering support offered by Russia's allies, such as North Korea and Iran, and the hesitant, often inadequate response from the West, arguing that this disparity undermines Ukrainian efforts and emboldens Russia.
Potential impact of recent events on Western support
🎦 21:08-22:38⏩
Jonathan expresses cautious optimism that the White House's forthright condemnation of Russia's actions, particularly their acquisition and use of North Korean missiles, could signal a shift in Western policy. He hopes this will translate into concrete action, urging the provision of advanced weaponry to Ukraine, including Taurus, Atacams, and even Tomahawk missiles, to counter the escalating threat posed by Russia and its allies.
- He interprets John Kirby's public statements, explicitly revealing Russia's use of North Korean missiles, as a deliberate strategy to garner public support and potentially pave the way for increased military aid to Ukraine.
- Jonathan argues that the unambiguous language used suggests a potential shift in the U.S. stance, moving away from concerns about escalation and towards a more assertive posture in supporting Ukraine.
- He emphasizes the urgency of this situation, advocating for swift and decisive action from Western allies to provide Ukraine with the means to defend itself effectively and deter further Russian aggression.
Wrap up
🎦 22:38-23:00⏩
Jonathan concludes the video by reiterating the significance of these events, emphasizing their potential to reshape the geopolitical landscape. He expresses hope for a more robust response from the West, urging viewers to consider the implications of these developments.
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