Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Preparing a Counter, Military Industries, Importance of Momentum
Table of Contents 📖
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"Only people who know nothing about combined arms say nonsense like tanks are a death trap now. Tanks are the tip of the spear with which Ukraine will slice through the Russian front and liberate the South and East and Crimea."
Hello Team!
Jonathan introduces the video as an extra Ukraine War Update, providing additional nuggets of information to give viewers a greater understanding of the war.
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Russian radar reflector barges near Kerch Bridge
Clusters of Russian Project 436 target barges have been spotted around the Kerch Strait, which connects the Russian mainland to the Crimean Peninsula via the Crimean Bridge. These barges consist of nine radar reflectors used in an attempt to confuse radar-guided weapons and aircraft, likely to protect the bridge from guided missiles.
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German arms industry and the importance of military spending
Trent Telenko discusses how Germany's low military spending and orders for equipment like the Panzerhaubitze 2000 are damaging its defense industry. Without sufficient orders, production lines cannot be expanded, and unit costs remain high. This makes German equipment less attractive to other countries, who may turn to alternatives like the South Korean K9 Thunder. Germany risks losing its market dominance if it does not invest more in its own military and defense industry.
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Russian strategy document for Moldova leaked
A leaked internal strategy document from Putin's presidential administration reveals Moscow's plans for Moldova, aimed at countering Western influence and strengthening Russia's position in the country. The plan includes Moldova joining Russian-led organizations, neutralizing attempts to expel Russian military presence in Transnistria, and staging protests to foment a "manufactured insurrection" against the pro-European Moldovan government. The document also outlines the creation of pro-Russian NGOs and expanding opportunities for Russian-language education in Moldova.
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Combined arms warfare and the importance of logistics
Thomas Theiner discusses the complexity of combined arms warfare, emphasizing the importance of various elements such as reconnaissance, artillery, air support, logistics, and river crossing capabilities. He stresses that a successful offensive requires careful planning and coordination of all these elements, as well as extensive training. Theiner also highlights the crucial role of logistics, stating that an armored spearhead must never run out of supplies, and that "too many supply trucks is always still too few supply trucks."
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The importance of momentum in military operations
Mick Ryan, a former Australian general, examines the concept of momentum and seizing the initiative in military operations. He notes that while Russia initially seized the initiative in the early months of the invasion, Ukraine began to regain it from mid-2022 onwards through successful counter-offensives. Ryan suggests that Ukraine is currently preparing for a major offensive, but the timing and location will be crucial. He also argues that Russia may have launched its offensive at a disadvantageous time, potentially rushing its army to failure.
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Wrap up
Jonathan concludes the video by emphasizing the importance of Ukraine getting their counter-offensive right, which will require a huge amount of preparation, supplies, expertise, and secrecy. He expresses doubt that meaningful counter-offensives will take place in the next couple of weeks and suggests that they may not happen until May, June, or July. Finally, he thanks viewers for their support and encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video.
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