Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid News
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Table of Contents 📖
"I'm sure this will be part of their victory plan. This is incredibly depressing that the US is still, it appears, not willing enough to lift the restrictions."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:10⏩
- Jonathan MS Pearce welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics video, a Ukraine war news update.
- This is the second or third part of the update for 24th September 2024.
- Mentions a UN summit in the US and various meetings.
Netherlands pledges €209.5m in military aid
🎦 00:10-01:08⏩
- The Netherlands has pledged a €209.5 million aid package for Ukraine.
- €45 million will be allocated to the Ukraine Energy Support Fund.
- The package is for restoration of critical infrastructure and humanitarian aid.
- Netherlands has confirmed delivery of a Patriot radar to Ukraine.
- It is expected to integrate with Ukraine's existing capabilities.
USAID package & Ukraine's inability to strike inside Russia
🎦 01:08-02:14⏩
- The Washington Post reports that Ukraine hasn't yet convinced Washington of the need for longer-range missiles inside Russia.
- Jonathan finds it incredibly depressing that the US is reluctant to lift the restrictions.
- A source from Kyiv indicates that Ukraine feels frustrated, suggesting that Iran and North Korea are better at giving permission for strikes.
- Jonathan expresses hope that Kamala Harris will win the upcoming election, leading to more robust support for Ukraine.
- He feels that a Trump administration would be less supportive of Ukraine.
Biden's UN speech on Ukraine
🎦 02:14-03:03⏩
- US President Joe Biden affirmed continued US support for Ukraine until a just and lasting peace is achieved.
- He highlighted that Putin's war has failed to destroy Ukraine.
- He stated that NATO is stronger and more united than ever.
- Jonathan agrees with Biden's statements about support and NATO.
John Ridge's analysis of US security assistance failures
🎦 03:03-06:10⏩
- John Ridge highlights three key failures in US security assistance to Ukraine.
- 1
- 2
- 3
- Jonathan suggests that the initial problems were severe and may have caused the deaths of Ukrainians.
- He comments that resolving the issue would be easier if the US could course-correct rapidly.
- Jonathan expresses concern about the House Republicans being beholden to Trump, and the potential for hindering Congress' ability to approve aid, despite the Senate's support.
USAID to announce a $375m military aid package
🎦 06:10-07:06⏩
- Voice of America reports that the US will announce a new military aid package for Ukraine worth up to $375m.
- The package will include missiles for F-16s to hit ground targets, allowing F-16s to operate further away from the front lines.
- It will also include missiles for HIMARS, patrol boats, armoured vehicles, 155mm and 105mm projectiles, and TOW missiles.
USAID's assessment of Ukraine's future aid needs
🎦 07:06-07:37⏩
- Colby Vadois indicates that the US believes Ukraine will need at least $500 million per month in PDA through 2025.
- This only covers defensive operations.
- The Biden administration's current response seems to indicate a lack of resources and limited support for Ukraine.
- Jonathan finds this response "beyond absurd" as more military support could be given.
- Jonathan notes that the US has $6 billion in available funds currently.
Ukraine's domestic arms production and mobilization
🎦 07:37-08:22⏩
- Ukraine's defence minister, Oleksii Reznikov, reports that 41% of shells used by the Ukrainian military are produced domestically.
- Jonathan is surprised by this and comments that it indicates Ukraine has greatly ramped up production.
- Mobilization rates have tripled and training opportunities have increased fivefold.
- The next step is reform of the TCC (army+ and another plus).
Ukraine's drone technology advancement
🎦 08:22-09:15⏩
- Robert Magyar (drone guru) has discussed with The Economist the future of drone technology in Ukraine.
- Over the next six to eight months, drones in Ukraine will become fully autonomous, no longer requiring human control.
- 50% of strike activity is already drone-based.
- Hundreds of AI systems are being developed and tested, and Magyar predicts that AI will become the primary tool of warfare.
- Pilots will become redundant within six months.
- The drones will be able to distinguish between targets, including civilians and enemy combatants.
Ukraine's future role in training NATO forces
🎦 09:15-09:48⏩
- Experienced Ukrainian fighters will be training NATO forces in modern warfare tactics.
- This is described as a form of gratitude for NATO's support.
- Jonathan notes that the Ukrainian military personnel are more experienced in modern warfare than NATO counterparts.
Jay in Kyiv's observations on the future of war in Ukraine
🎦 09:48-10:05⏩
- Jay in Kyiv observes that Russia's endless waves of poorly-equipped troops will soon be matched by Ukraine's advanced unmanned armoured robot technology.
- This will further cement the advantage of the civilised and free Ukrainian people.
- Jonathan confirms that this development was expected.
Technical difficulties with audio
🎦 10:08-10:36⏩
- Jonathan experiences technical difficulties with a loud sound in his ear.
- He playfully scolds himself for not muting the relevant tab earlier.
- He states that he enjoys getting angry and that this is his ongoing "fight with technology".
- He notes that while he's had fewer issues over the last six months, there have been a couple of frustrating setbacks recently.
Linking Jay in Kyiv's and Robert Magyar's insights
🎦 10:36-10:51⏩
- Jonathan links Jay's statement with Robert Magyar's insights.
- They both suggest that warfare will soon be dominated by autonomous systems, potentially on both sides.
- Jonathan thinks this future of warfare is interesting.
Observations on a video clip about training exercises
🎦 10:51-11:25⏩
- Jonathan comments on a video clip he has seen, which shows military vehicles being covered up for concealment.
- He speculates that it is likely a training area, probably well behind the front lines.
- He expresses approval for this level of security and operational discipline.
EU's Josep Borrell urges increased aid for Ukraine's energy infrastructure
🎦 11:26-11:48⏩
- Josep Borrell from the EU has called for increased aid to protect Ukraine's energy infrastructure ahead of winter.
- This follows similar calls from the Norwegians and the Dutch.
- He urges Western allies to provide air defences and energy support for Ukraine.
- Jonathan agrees with Borrell's assessment.
Norway allocates $9.5m to evacuate wounded Ukrainians
🎦 11:48-12:10⏩
- Norway is allocating $9.5 million to expand its program of evacuating severely wounded Ukrainians to European medical facilities.
- This is due to the continued high demand for such support.
China's increasing support for Russia
🎦 12:10-13:10⏩
- Jonathan states that China's support for Russia appears to be increasing, with a greater supply of fully made equipment, drones, and components for Russian weapons systems.
- He notes that this is a matter of significant concern, which has been highlighted in news reports.
- Ukraine has stated that most of the foreign parts in Russian weapons come from China.
- This comes from an advisor to the Ukrainian presidential office, Vladik.
China's support for Russia posing a challenge for the West
🎦 13:10-13:16⏩
- Jonathan reiterates that China's increasing support is a challenge for the West in relation to the war.
Russia's planned military spending increase
🎦 13:18-14:05⏩
- Bloomberg reports that Russia plans to increase its military spending by 27% in 2025.
- This represents a huge increase in already significant spending, and amounts to a shift toward a war economy.
- Russia's defense spending is set to reach 6.2% of its GDP.
- Jonathan highlights the scale of this increase as a contrast to the smaller increases in defence spending seen in other countries.
Wrap up
🎦 14:05-14:31⏩
- Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and supporting the channel.
- Expresses gratitude to Grimsoft in the Discord for their support.
- Calls Grimsoft a "legend of the multiverse".
- Signs off with "Take care guys. Toodlepits".
🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand
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