Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"They are using these Desert Cross 1003-3 golf cart vehicles, very light vehicles, in their attacks at the moment."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:22⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics video, a Ukraine war frontline update for 14th March 2024. He notes this will be his final video of the day and reminds viewers to check the screen for an explanation of the lines on his map.
Return to top⤴️
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Mapping Sources & Ukrainian Troop Rotations
🎦 00:22-02:19⏩
Jonathan addresses the lack of recent tweets from Suriat Maps, explaining their account was hacked but is now recovered. He notes that Suriat Maps is still providing mapping updates. He shares important news from Commander Syrski, who states that Ukrainian units who have been on the frontline for extended periods are being rotated out. This is a positive development for morale and will stabilize the situation. Jonathan explains that Syrski conducted an audit and discovered only 30% of Ukrainian armed forces personnel were actively fighting on the frontlines, allowing for this much-needed rotation.
Return to top⤴️
Activity in Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts
🎦 02:19-05:19⏩
Jonathan highlights continued activity in Kursk and Belgorod Oblasts, specifically mentioning Gryvoron (which he believes should be marked on the map around Kuzinka) and Tetkino. He notes that these areas, marked as grey zones by Deep State Map, are experiencing a lot of activity, with footage emerging of Russian soldiers surrendering to pro-Ukrainian Russian forces in Spodershchino. Jonathan acknowledges uncertainty about the pro-Ukrainian Russians' endgame and objectives.
Return to top⤴️
Northeastern Frontline Update: Kupyansk to Kramina
🎦 05:19-06:40⏩
Jonathan shifts focus to the northeastern frontline, stating that the ISW report was less detailed than usual. He describes the situation as mostly positional with some geolocated gains for Ukraine in Adivka. He points out discrepancies between Deep State Map and Syriac Maps regarding Terny and Torska, suggesting Syriac Maps might be misinterpreting vehicle losses for territorial control. Jonathan emphasises that despite the presence of fighting, there are no confirmed gains in this area.
Return to top⤴️
Bakhmut Frontline Update: Stalemate and Ukrainian Resistance
🎦 06:40-08:03⏩
Jonathan highlights the static frontline around Bakhmut, which has remained unchanged for four days. He considers this significant and suggests two possibilities: either Ukraine is effectively repelling Russian attacks, indicating a potential slowdown of the Russian offensive, or Russia is running out of momentum. He connects this to Zelenskyy’s statement that the Ukrainian forces have halted the Russian offensive in the east.
Return to top⤴️
Bakhmut Frontline Update: Limited Russian Gains
🎦 08:03-09:20⏩
Jonathan acknowledges minor Russian gains around Bakhmut, including:
- Advances in Berdiche, corroborated by geolocated footage according to the ISW, although Suriat Maps places them further back.
- Small gains in Orlivka, where Deep State Map shows Russia capturing a high-rise building.
- Unconfirmed claims about Russian control of Tonjenka.
- In Pervomayskyi, both Deep State Map and Syriac Maps depict Russia pushing back Ukrainian forces, potentially leading to a complete Ukrainian withdrawal from the salient.
Southern Frontline Update: Novohalivka to Velika Novosilka
🎦 09:20-11:57⏩
Jonathan moves south, noting:
- In Novohalivka, Andrew Perpetua and Suriat Maps show Russian advances in the eastern outskirts. However, this merely aligns Andrew Perpetua's map with Deep State Map's, and Suriat Maps positions them even further ahead.
- Discrepancies between Andrew Perpetua and the other mappers regarding the Russian defensive line north of Novomykolaivka.
- In the Velika Novosilka sector, both Andrew Perpetua and Suriat Maps indicate increased Russian control west of Pryiutne.
- Suriat Maps also depicts significant Russian gains northwest of Vodyane, which other mappers do not reflect. In contrast, Deep State Maps and Andrew Perpetua position the Russian defensive line further back from the first Suravikin line (tank ditch and dragon's teeth) in this area.
- Overall, Jonathan emphasizes the varied interpretations of the frontline and advises caution when interpreting claims.
Robotyne: Russian Struggles and Equipment Losses
🎦 11:57-13:11⏩
Jonathan focuses on Robotyne, highlighting evidence of Russian struggles.
- Footage shows Russia resorting to using Desert Cross 1003-3 golf carts, alongside infantry fighting vehicles, in their assaults. Jonathan questions whether this is a tactical decision or a sign of equipment shortages.
- He emphasizes that while Russia may be making gains, the cost of these advances is significant and raises questions about their sustainability.
- Jonathan acknowledges the difficulty of obtaining accurate information in a warzone, stating it's a "fog of war" with conflicting data.
Wrap Up
🎦 13:11-13:46⏩
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, expressing gratitude towards members and subscribers. He reminds everyone about the ongoing fundraiser for Armoured Medical Vehicles organized by Greg Terry's organisation, details of which can be found in the video description. He signs off, wishing viewers well.
Return to top⤴️
