Ukraine Conflict (202311109): Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"I really do think the Russians are moving to a more offensive posture in the area these localized offensive operations northwest and southwest of Bakhmut are likely opportunistic tactical ground attacks intended to take advantage of the reported reallocation of Ukrainian resources away from Bakhmut."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine conflict as of November 10th, 2023. He mentions his recent live stream with Tim White and his morning news pieces.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupiansk to Svatovo to Kreminna
- No changes to the map in this area
- ISW reports marginal Russian advances south of Pershotravneve, east of Kupiansk
- Geolocated footage shows destruction of Russian equipment near Pershotravneve, but it's unclear if this indicates Russian advances or Ukrainian attacks within Russian-controlled territory
Bakhmut
- Russians seem to be putting more pressure on Ukrainians in the Bakhmut area over the last week
- According to Syriac Maps, Russians are pushing back and taking more territory east and north of Klishchiivka
- ISW reports nearly 30 Russian attacks northwest and southwest of Bakhmut between Nov 8-9, a higher number than usual
- Russian milbloggers claim Russians entered Klishchiivka and pushed Ukrainians back from the railway line
- Geolocated footage shows Russian advances towards Klishchiivka, holding positions east of the settlement and west of the railway line
- Russians also claimed to have driven Ukrainians out of positions in Ivanivske and Andriivka, but ISW has not observed evidence to substantiate this
- Russian advances reported northwest of Bakhmut in Opytne and Vodiane, and south of the Opytne reservoir
- ISW suggests these offensive operations are likely opportunistic attacks to take advantage of reported reallocation of Ukrainian resources away from Bakhmut
Avdiivka Area
- No changes to the map, but still fairly heated fighting
- Russian forces have increased use of aviation (Ka-52, Mi-8 helicopters and Su-25 attack aircraft) in the Avdiivka direction
- Clashes reported on the outskirts of Stepove as Russians try to capture forest areas
- Yesterday, Andrew Perpetua showed Ukrainian gains along the tree line north of Avdiivka and near Stepove
Vuhledar and Velyka Novosilka
- No significant updates for Velyka Novosilka
- Near Vuhledar, Ukrainians seem to be gaining momentum north of the town
- Deep State Map shows a large area north of Vuhledar taken by Ukrainians, likely a mix of realignment and pushing back Russians
- Geolocated footage shows Ukrainian advances northwest of Vuhledar
- Military sources report decent Ukrainian progress near Vuhledar, kicking Russians out of advanced positions between Vuhledar and Pavlivka, and capturing several positions in the tree lines northwest of the town
Kherson
- No mapping changes, but dynamic situation
- Rumors of Ukrainians interdicting the road south of Krynky in Russian-controlled zone
- Ukrainians making progress in wooded areas, with some suggesting they control the road through fires or direct control
- Andrew Perpetua marks area around Piatykhatky as contested due to Russian drone attacks on Ukrainian infantry
- Ukrainian Marine Officer reports progress on left bank, with armored vehicles crossing in small numbers using amphibious capabilities, and Russians not bringing up reserves
- Ukrainians degrading Russian air defense and electronic warfare capabilities near Kherson, allowing easier operations
- Syriac Maps shows Ukrainian control of dachas north of Bilohirka Island
- ISW suggests Russian command struggling to redeploy effective reinforcements to eastern Kherson while also defending in Zaporizhzhia and conducting offensives elsewhere
- Elements of 7th Guards Airborne, 49th CAA, 18th CAA, and 177th Naval Infantry Brigade operating in Kherson, but likely degraded and insufficient to respond to Ukrainian operations
- Redeployments to Kherson would disrupt Russian efforts in Zaporizhzhia, Avdiivka, and Luhansk
Wrap up
Jonathan asks viewers to share their thoughts and like, subscribe, and share the video. He signs off as "Toodaloo Pips" and says he will speak to them soon.
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