Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"No, no, it's important to have sometimes at 6, 7 in the morning some trainings. Workouts. Yes, workouts or to do something with music, with with such music which gives you energy for all the day."
Hello Team!
Jonathan welcomes viewers to his Ukraine War news update for July 7, 2023.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukraine General Staff reports 510 Russian troops lost, 2 tanks, 12 APVs, 20 artillery systems, 1 MLRS, 4 anti-aircraft warfare systems, 17 drones, 7 cruise missiles, 10 fuel tanks, 7 pieces of special equipment
- Losses fit recent pattern, with slightly fewer troops and tanks
- Questions raised about Russia's remaining tank supply for current offensive defence
Visual Confirmations
- Oryx reports visually confirmed losses: Russia lost ~50 pieces of equipment, Ukraine lost ~15 (1/4 of Russian losses)
- Most Russian losses were artillery, tanks, IFVs and APCs
- Ukrainian losses included a radar system, Leopard 2A6, and other equipment
- Artillery losses heavily favor Ukraine according to Oryx data
Frontline Footage
- HIMARS strike on Russian Grad MLRS, likely destroying it
- TOW missile (likely from a Bradley) destroying a Russian tank
- Swedish CV90 IFV appearing on the frontline for the first time, possibly damaged
Analysis of Ukrainian Tactics and Losses
- Single videos of Ukrainian losses do not indicate overall trends or failure of counteroffensive
- Ukrainians have adapted tactics to preserve troops and equipment while degrading Russian artillery and logistics
- Cluster munitions will further assist in this approach
- Metric for success is minimizing losses rather than rapid territorial gains
Russian Attacks and Losses
- Russians still using footage of Ukrainian losses from a month ago, suggesting Ukrainians have successfully changed tactics
- Russian VBIED (explosives-laden vehicle) attack, possibly reaching its target or destroyed early by Ukrainians
- Railway station NW of Kharkiv hit by Russia, usefulness of target questioned
- Restaurant in Moscow on fire
Partisan and Prisoner Activity
- Person detained in Simferopol, accused of cooperating with Ukrainian intelligence and blowing up railroad tracks in Crimea in Feb 2023
- Concern expressed for detainee's treatment and others potentially implicated
- Prisoner exchange: Footage of thin Ukrainian POWs proudly returning home
- Combat medic reunited with children illegally deported to Russia
Overnight Drone Attacks
- 12 out of 18 Shahed drones shot down overnight
- Dnipropetrovsk region: 6 drones downed, debris hit car killing 2 men, fire at private enterprise
- Shahed drones continue to cause damage on a nightly basis
Lviv Death Toll
- Russian cruise missile attacks on Lviv, in western Ukraine, have killed at least 10 people (increased from initial 5 reported)
- 42 injured including 3 children, 16 hospitalized
- UNESCO: Attack destroyed a historic building, violating international conventions
Other Damage
- School destroyed in Kherson Oblast, no evidence it was used for military purposes
- War crimes continue, with civilian infrastructure targeted
Wagner and Prigozhin
- Russian state TV vilifying Prigozhin, but he has returned to Russia (St. Petersburg) from Belarus
- Over 500 Wagner fighters have left Central African Republic, possibly to fight in Ukraine or for Prigozhin's interests
- Uncertainty over Wagner's future role and Prigozhin's standing
Military Aid and Weapons
- US approves providing cluster munitions to Ukraine, despite controversy
- Specific munitions (M483, M862 155mm DPICM) can be fired from M777 howitzers
- Low dud rate claimed (1-3%), but potential risk to civilians remains
- Seen as important for Ukraine to clear trenches and degrade Russian forces
- Romania to create F-16 training hub for allied and NATO states, including Ukraine (timeline unclear)
- Czech Republic to supply F-16 simulators for Ukrainian pilot training
- Finland announces €140M military aid package
- EU agrees €500M plan to increase ammo production for Ukraine and replenish member states' stockpiles
- 600+ drones transferred to Ukrainian frontlines
Frontline Update
- Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhnyi: Ukrainian offensive going "according to plan", urgent need for more weapons and ammo
- Ukraine improves positions by 1km towards Bakhmut, fighting in Klishchiivka
- Avdiivka: failed Russian assault, Ukraine captures damaged tanks
- Velyka Novosilka axis (Donetsk Oblast): no confirmed changes, premature claim of Pyatykhatky liberation, increased Ukrainian defensive activity
- Zaporizhzhia frontline: ongoing fighting, likely Ukrainian advances
Zelensky's Diplomatic Visits
- Bulgaria: Signed declaration supporting Ukraine's NATO membership, but President Radev argued against military solution, leading to televised disagreement with Zelensky
- Czech Republic: Met with supportive President Pavel, thanked Czechia for weapons, sanctions, and EU/NATO backing
International Recognition and Talks
- Dutch parliament recognized Holodomor as genocide, providing important cultural and historical support for Ukraine
- Reports of secret US-Russia talks in April 2022 not officially sanctioned by Biden admin, which maintains "nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine" stance
- Speculation that unofficial talks likely still occur, as is common in wartime
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video, and signs off.
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