Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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Table of Contents 📖
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"Instead of spending months on unnecessary paper and bureaucratic work, we will have accelerated admission of drones to operation, their purchase and delivery to the front."
Hello Team!
Jonathan apologises for the later video today due to family commitments on Saturday. He begins with the usual update on Russian losses according to Ukrainian General Staff figures, noting they are still high despite some critics.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Hits and Losses
- Sumi, north of Ukraine, was hit by 80 Grad rocket attacks and 20 barrel artillery attacks, killing a policeman and civilian, with 9 others injured. Footage shows devastation in the town of Billapil/Billapilia.
- Russians appear to be using their version of JDAM ER munitions.
- Incredible footage of a Russian attack on a tiny Ukrainian trench demonstrates the vast number of artillery shells (20-30) needed to take out a small number of troops (max 20 Russians vs 3 Ukrainians), highlighting the shell-hungry nature of this war.
- Russian Vostok battalion member claims Ukraine has increased shelling by tens of times and is using drone decoy tactics.
- Large explosions heard in Sevastopol, Moga Bay yesterday, but no footage has emerged. A large fire also broke out in Moscow's financial centre this morning.
Military Aid and Tactics
- Ukrainian intelligence claims Russian authorities in Crimea are evacuating families and selling property, possibly in anticipation of a Ukrainian counter-offensive.
- Former Russian President Medvedev acknowledged Moscow is preparing for the counter-offensive and warned of nuclear weapons use if Crimea is attacked.
- Ukraine is accelerating drone admission and delivery to the front to cut bureaucracy, as per Deputy PM Fedorov. 19 EU states plus Norway have joined a project for joint production of much-needed 155mm ammunition.
- Igor Girkin claims Ukraine has secretly received 100 Leopard tanks, which could be disinformation.
- The 3 biggest Russian tank factories are idling due to lack of electronics and components, with many using outdated 60s-90s technology. Sanctions have frozen some key projects.
- Biden says China has not yet increased military support to Russia despite warning signs.
- Ukrainian soldiers are training with US equipment like M113 APCs, Humvees and Bradleys in Poland, and engineering/trench building in Spain. They are reportedly learning very quickly and even teaching their NATO trainers in some cases.
Geopolitics
- Prince of Wales visited British and Polish troops near the Ukrainian border in a morale-boosting move.
- Italian PM Meloni blocked the sale of an Italian company to a Russian-linked firm Nebius.
- Armenian courts ruled they must abide by the ICC arrest warrant for Putin, but South Africa is unlikely to arrest him if he attends the BRICS conference there later this year.
- A peace treaty is expected between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which could be a blow to Russia's "divide and conquer" approach in the region according to Georgia.
- Russia's war has sparked a historic food crisis, but grain is moving again from Ukraine and fertilizer prices are falling. Spain allocated an extra €14.5M to Ukraine for global food security.
Wrap up
Jonathan notes he kept the news update shorter than yesterday. He appreciates all the support and incredibly thorough and interesting comments left by viewers, saying they are some of the best he's seen on YouTube. He signs off by thanking everyone.
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