Ukraine War Update NEWS: Pt 1 - Overnight & Other News
Table of Contents 📖
"If you are defending Russia today, anyone on my threads, that's who you're defending. Sort it out."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:09⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another ATP Geopolitics video, a Ukraine War Update News for 22nd February 2024.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian and Ukrainian losses
🎦 00:09-06:41⏩
Jonathan begins by highlighting that the Russia are attacking along most of the front line, capitalising on four months of significantly reduced military aid from the US and Europe. He expresses concern that this gives Russia an advantage, as time is something that Ukraine doesn't have. He goes on to explain that until recently, Ukraine has had to replace a lack of equipment with humans. This is not ideal, as weapons can replace humans in warfare to some degree. The more weapons Ukraine has, the less humans they have to commit to the front line. The Ukrainian General Staff has reported significant Russian losses, which is positive for Ukraine, but there are concerns about Ukrainian losses too. Jonathan uses Andrew Perpetua's Oryx loss figures to compare losses. He points out that Russia lost more equipment, but the Ukrainian equipment was of a much higher value. There has been a large strike by Ukrainian HIMARS on the left bank of the Dnipro River, in the Ileshki Sands area, which has resulted in significant Russian losses, including around 60 soldiers from the 810th Guards Naval Infantry Brigade. There has also been speculation that Ukraine may be using GLSDBs as well as HIMARS for strikes in the Kherson area.
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Stoltenberg: Ukraine has the right to strike Russian military targets outside Ukraine
🎦 15:08-17:25⏩
Jonathan describes comments made by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg that Ukraine will have the right to strike Russian military targets outside Ukraine, as hugely significant. Although Stoltenberg specifically referred to strikes from F-16s, Jonathan argues that it shouldn't matter whether the missiles are launched from the air or the ground, and this paves the way for Ukraine to use other missiles such as Storm Shadow.
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Russian Military Blogger Murs commits suicide
🎦 17:26-19:52⏩
Jonathan discusses the suicide of Russian milblogger Murs, who is believed to have taken his own life after being publicly criticised by propagandists such as Solovyov for speaking out about the realities of the situation on the front line. Murs had shared a letter from servicemen of the 1487th Regiment, an IRF armed formation which fought in Avdiivka, detailing how 70% of the regiment had been killed, wounded or were missing. The letter also highlighted the lack of weapons, transport and medical care for the unit.
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Russia preparing another massive attack on Ukraine
🎦 19:53-20:34⏩
Natalia Humeniuk, the spokesperson for Operational Command South has warned that Russia is preparing another massive attack on Ukraine. She advises that people should not ignore air raid sirens. Jonathan observes that it has been relatively quiet in terms of missile and drone strikes of late and assumes that Russia must be stockpiling in preparation.
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War crimes tribunal to be held in Nuremberg
🎦 20:35-21:35⏩
Jonathan, citing Peter Clifford Online, reports that public hearings for war crimes will be held in courtroom 600 in Nuremberg, the same room that was used for the Nazi war crimes trials. The hearings, which relate to war crimes against children, will hear evidence from 160 witnesses.
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Jonathan rants about western commentators
🎦 21:35-25:42⏩
Jonathan goes on a rant about western commentators, who he believes are being naive in their assessment of the situation in Ukraine and are too quick to criticise the West and Ukraine, rather than Russia. He accuses them of defending a regime which is responsible for the deaths of countless people, including Alexei Navalny, Yevgeny Prigozhin, Boris Nemtsov, Alexander Litvinenko and Anna Politkovskaya. He urges his critics to remember who they are defending.
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Gerasimov reappears after 7 weeks
🎦 25:48-27:48⏩
Jonathan reports that General Gerasimov has reappeared after being absent for 7 weeks. He believes that it is highly likely that Gerasimov was injured in the strike in Crimea.
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Medvedev: Russia will not stop until it captures Kyiv
🎦 27:49-29:03⏩
Dmitry Medvedev has said that Russia will not stop its offensive in Ukraine until it captures Kyiv, describing the Ukrainian capital as a Russian city. He also said that Odesa is a Russian city which Russia is waiting to return home.
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Kuleba: Ukraine wouldn't have lost Avdiivka if Congress had approved military aid
🎦 29:03-29:35⏩
Dmytro Kuleba has claimed that Ukraine would not have lost Avdiivka if the US Congress had approved the latest tranche of military aid.
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Russian operators threaten to shoot down French aircraft over Black Sea
🎦 29:35-30:17⏩
French Defence Minister Sébastien Lecornu has reported that Russian operators threatened to shoot down a French aircraft which was patrolling the Black Sea in international airspace last month.
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Belarus accuses Ukraine of forming a strike force
🎦 30:17-30:51⏩
Belarusian Defence Minister Viktor Khrenin has accused Ukraine of amassing a strike force of 112,000-114,000 troops on the Belarusian border. Jonathan believes that this is disinformation.
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Avdiivka destroyed by Russian liberation
🎦 30:52-31:52⏩
Jonathan finishes by reminding viewers that Avdiivka has been completely destroyed during its 'liberation' by Russian forces, with not one building left standing. He likens it to the destruction of Bakhmut, Mariupol and Vuhledar, and urges the world to do more to stop Russia.
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Wrap Up
🎦 31:52-31:58⏩
Jonathan thanks his viewers for their support and asks them to like, subscribe and share the video.
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