Ukraine War Upd. EXTRA: Seymour Hersh Blooper, Momentum, & Putin's Paralysis
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Table of Contents 📖
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"The Kremlin's limited ability to rapidly pivot after consecutive setbacks is a vulnerability, one that the West must help Ukraine exploit to secure the most advantageous position possible."
Hello Team!
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another Ukraine War update extra video providing additional insights to give a greater understanding of the war in Ukraine.
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Seymour Hersh's Problematic Reporting
- Seymour Hersh, a famous investigative journalist, has veered into a pro-Russia stance in recent years
- His article on the Nord Stream attacks was problematic, relying on claims from anonymous single sources
- Evidence suggests his account was incorrect and Ukraine was likely behind the attack, not the US and Norway as Hersh claimed
- In a recent article, Hersh uses rhetoric and phrasing that seems unlikely to come from an American intelligence official
- Notably, Hersh's supposed American source uses a Russian expression, "a poor waif in his underwear", destroying the credibility of Hersh's reporting
Insights from Russian POWs and Sources
- An interview with a Russian POW provides insights into corruption in the Russian army and the dynamics between Russian forces and Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) militias
- DPR avoids sending their own people to the front lines, instead using mobilized Russian soldiers
- A Russian source, Merz, offers analysis on the current state of the war, suggesting Ukraine's advances are changing the balance of forces and that Russian fortifications are of little worth without proper manning and fire support
- Merz notes Ukraine has liberated significant territory in five weeks compared to what Russia captured in six months
Viewer Comments and Experiences
- Brian Knapp, a Welshman married to a Ukrainian, shares his experience fleeing Kyiv when Russian forces were approaching
- He found Ukraine to be a bilingual country with friendly, hardworking, and patriotic people
- Jos Silas shares how Jonathan's updates help his Ukrainian wife cope with anxiety and maintain faith in Ukraine's ability to persevere
- Jonathan expresses gratitude for his growing community and the importance of providing reliable information
Ukrainian Advantages and Momentum
- Footage of a Ukrainian M113 armored personnel carrier being used for medical evacuation near the front lines is shown
- Ukraine appears to have an advantage in quickly evacuating wounded soldiers to field hospitals compared to Russia
- Analysis from Natalia Bugayova of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) suggests momentum is key and the West must proactively invest in sustaining Ukraine's initiative
- Ukraine's sustained operations will likely have compounding effects on Putin's ability to sustain the war
- Had Ukraine continued its counteroffensive in late 2022, Russian forces may not have been able to stabilize the lines as effectively
Putin's Paralysis and Russian Limitations
- A Washington Post article suggests Putin appeared paralyzed and unable to act decisively in the first hours of the Wagner Group rebellion, despite advance warnings
- Local Russian authorities did not receive clear commands, highlighting the unhealthy situation inside Russia where people are dependent on leadership
- Putin's background in the FSB rather than the military may contribute to his inability to make quick, effective military decisions
- The Kremlin has a limited ability to rapidly pivot after consecutive setbacks, a vulnerability Ukraine and the West should exploit
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, encourages them to like, subscribe, and share the video, and expresses gratitude to his members and supporters on Buy Me A Coffee. He promises to give them a shout-out in the next video.
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