Ukraine Conflict: 2-Day Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"Ukrainians gaining, you know, it doesn't happen too often."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:55⏩
- Jonathan welcomes viewers to a new frontline update for 21st October 2024, noting it's a two-day update due to his busy schedule.
- He reminds viewers about his upcoming live stream on his other channel with an expert on cults, discussing the US political landscape.
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kursk Oblast Fighting and Analysis
🎦 00:55-06:44⏩
- Jonathan analyses the Kursk Oblast, highlighting significant discrepancies between Andrew Perpetua's and Suriyak Maps' depictions of the front lines.
- Perpetua shows a large area of Russian control in the northwest of the salient, suggesting substantial Ukrainian losses.
- He notes claims of Ukrainian advances north of Sujia and shares information from the Institute for the Study of War, including geolocation data.
- Jonathan analyses a specific Ukrainian gain of 2.5km north of Martinivka, emphasizing its rarity and discussing possible implications.
- He concludes that the Russian line is likely further back than indicated by Suriyak Maps, based on Ukrainian shelling reports.
Kharkiv Oblast - No Significant Changes
🎦 06:46-07:03⏩
- Jonathan reports no significant changes in the Kharkiv Oblast, with Russian offensive operations near Vovchansk and Strilecha yielding no confirmed advances.
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Kupyansk, Svatove, Kreminna - Russian Advance Towards Oskil River
🎦 07:03-08:29⏩
- Jonathan discusses the situation in the Kupyansk-Svatove-Kreminna area, noting claims of Russians nearing the Oskil River.
- He shares a report of a failed Russian attempt to capture a crossing over the Oskil, resulting in significant equipment and personnel losses for the Russians (8 BMPs, 3 tanks destroyed, 6 BMPs damaged, 21 Russians killed, 26 injured).
- He highlights the strategic importance of preventing a Russian encirclement of Kupyansk.
- Jonathan points out the higher ground advantage held by Ukrainians in the Kupyansk area.
Southern Luhansk Oblast - Russian Gains Near Vyshnive, Spirne
🎦 08:29-09:17⏩
- Jonathan details Russian gains towards Vyshnive, near Hirne and Andriyivka, with both mappers in agreement.
- He notes a previous Ukrainian counter-attack near Spirne but observes no significant changes according to the maps.
Bakhmut Area - Analysis of Frontline Changes Near Zaliznyanske, Soledar
🎦 09:17-10:47⏩
- Jonathan analyses the situation around Zaliznyanske, noting differences between the mappers.
- He recalls the Ukrainian counter-offensive south of Bakhmut, highlighting their gains and subsequent challenges in pushing further east.
- Jonathan observes that Andrew Perpetua now shows more Ukrainian control in the area than previously, contrasting with Suriyak Maps.
- He discusses Russian gains down the T0504 highway towards Kostyantynivka, expressing concern about their proximity to the highway.
Donetsk Oblast - Fighting Near Chasiv Yar, Toretsk, Niu-York
🎦 10:47-13:42⏩
- Jonathan addresses concerns about Russian presence across the canal in Chasiv Yar, citing Ukrainian military statements denying a foothold.
- He analyses Russian gains near Toretsk, with minor differences between the mappers.
- Jonathan observes a quietening down of fighting in Niu-York, noting discrepancies between the mappers and Deepstate Map's more charitable interpretation.
- He highlights a small Russian gain towards a Ukrainian holdout town, hoping for continued Ukrainian resistance.
Donetsk Oblast - Russian Advance on Selyshove and South
🎦 13:42-15:05⏩
- Jonathan details substantial Russian gains near Selyshove, noting its increasing encirclement.
- He points out the difference between Andrew Perpetua's and Suriyak Maps' depictions, with the latter showing Russians further into the town.
- Jonathan describes further Russian gains south of Selyshove, closing in on settlements like Kurdyumivka and Vochene.
- He mentions the absence of Suriyak Maps' pins on the map due to technical difficulties.
Sukha Balka - North Korean Flag Raises Questions
🎦 15:05-16:48⏩
- Jonathan discusses the situation near Sukha Balka, noting evidence of a North Korean flag flown in the area.
- He dismisses the likelihood of North Korean soldiers' presence, attributing it to Russian psyops aimed at creating chaos and influencing the international audience.
- Jonathan believes it's a tactic to undermine Western support for Ukraine and potentially influence the upcoming US elections.
- Humour: Jonathan enjoys a "damn good cup of tea" during this segment.
Donetsk Oblast - Fighting Near Maksymilianivka and Krasnohorivka
🎦 16:48-19:47⏩
- Jonathan reports Russian advances through Maksymilianivka, noting increased activity towards Krasnohorivka.
- He mentions claims of heavy Russian losses and meat grinder tactics but acknowledges their continued gains.
- Jonathan highlights the strategic importance of Krasnohorivka and the Ukrainian resistance there.
- He showcases footage of a Ukrainian Leopard 2A4 tank effectively destroying Russian armoured vehicles near Krasnohorivka, praising its fire control system and tactical deployment.
Modern Equipment Deployment: Abrams and Bradley in Prokhorivka and Kursk
🎦 18:49-19:47⏩
- Jonathan mentions the increasing deployment of advanced Western equipment, including a Bradley and Abrams tank operating in the Prokhorivka (and Kursk) region.
- He expresses surprise at the use of Abrams in Kursk and notes the absence of reports about destroyed Abrams in that area.
Donetsk Oblast - Russian Gains Near Vuhledar
🎦 19:47-20:11⏩
- Jonathan reports further Russian gains near Vuhledar, consolidating their control north of the town.
- He emphasizes the Russian objective of capturing the entire region and the crucial role of Krasnohorivka in their strategy.
Wrap Up
🎦 20:11-22:31⏩
- Jonathan thanks viewers for watching and encourages likes, subscriptions, and shares.
- He promotes his upcoming live stream with Chris Shelton, a former Scientologist, discussing cults.
- NAFO Truck Update: Jonathan shares positive news about the NAFO truck fundraiser, indicating its near completion and the possibility of adding another vehicle or drones due to exceeding the target (17,500 Euros raised, 145 donations).
- He expresses gratitude for the donations on behalf of the 12th NGU and mentions ongoing discussions about the type of second vehicle to be procured, with a preference for a vehicle for their drone unit over individual drones.
- Jonathan signs off, expressing appreciation for viewers' support.
