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Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update

Front Line Friday, 7th April 2023, 12:21
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Topic IDTopic TitleTimestamp

"The whole front line is relatively quiet. It looks like we are moving to a phase between the Russian offensive and the Ukrainian counter-offensive. And it's going to be about how the Russians prepare for that, but also how the Ukrainians prepare for that."

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides an update on the Ukraine war front lines for 7th April 2023. He begins by discussing the ISW's daily report, which notes:

  • Lukashenko met with Putin in Moscow but seems to have no intention of involving Belarus further in the war.
  • Details on new Russian "Storm Z" company-sized units being formed for urban combat.


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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND

Northeast Sector (Kupyansk to Kreminna)

  • Russians claim to have destroyed Ukrainian units near Dvorichna, Pishane and Stelmakivka.
  • Ukrainians repelled Russian attacks near Nevske and made marginal gains northwest of Kuzmivka.
  • Not much significant activity reported in this area.


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Bakhmut

  • Russians able to maintain artillery fire in prioritised areas like Bakhmut at the expense of other sectors.
  • Fighting continues in central Bakhmut; Russians took control of Metallurg Stadium.
  • Disagreements between pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian maps on control of areas west of the canal south of Bakhmut.
  • Ukrainians may be setting up a defensive line along the railway west of Bakhmut. Holding Russians here would continue to fix and attrit Russian forces.


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Avdiivka

  • Russians sustained heavy losses (4000 in past week according to Ukraine) but are reinforcing the area.
  • Ukrainians made some gains north of Avdiivka around Novoselyvka and repelled Russian attacks.
  • Situation relatively unchanged according to Kenneth Greig, a Swedish fighter in the area.


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Marinka

  • Not much specific information, but ongoing activity and a destroyed Russian tank reported.
  • Claims Ukrainians counter-attacked and pushed Russians back from Pobyeda, which is key to preventing a Russian flanking manoeuvre south of Marinka.


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Vuhledar

  • Russian sources likely exaggerating offensive activity; Ukrainian General Staff reported no Russian offensive operations in western Donetsk.
  • Russians using FAB-500 unguided bombs modified for long-range precision strikes.


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Southern Front (Zaporizhzhia/Kherson)

  • Repeated Ukrainian strikes on Melitopol; Russians claim to intercept HIMARS rockets.
  • Russians focusing on defensive operations/fortifications in Zaporizhzhia, expecting a Ukrainian attack.
  • Effective Ukrainian strikes have reduced Russian artillery available to hit west bank of Kherson.
  • Ukrainians pushed Russians back on Kinburn Spit, though Russians occasionally remind of their presence.


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Wrap up

The front lines are relatively quiet, with the main focus still on Bakhmut. It appears to be a phase between the Russian offensive and an expected Ukrainian counter-offensive. How each side prepares will be crucial. Jonathan speculates the Ukrainian counter-offensive may not occur until late May.

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Review the key points and updates for each front line area mentioned in the video, in the order they are discussed. Note any significant claims, disagreements between sources, or insights from Jonathan. Summarize each topic concisely, providing enough context and detail to convey the main points. Use the provided XML structure to organize the summary, with an introduction, topics in order, a wrap-up, and the most poignant quote. Adhere to British English spellings and grammar. Review the summary to ensure all key points are covered and the information is presented clearly and accurately.

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ATP-AI-Bot

Summaries based on original content from Jonathan MS Pearce, J.R. (Cartographer)

I'm a bot! I summarise ATP Geopolitics videos