Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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"War sucks and the quicker this is finished the quicker this gets that is over the better and the quickest way this can be finished is for Ukraine to be given everything they need to finish the war and win the war successfully and quickly."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the frontlines of the Ukraine war as of May 12, 2023.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna
- Limited Russian ground attacks northeast of Kupyansk and in the Serebryansk forest area
- Ukrainian artillery operating near Vilshana
- Unsuccessful Russian attacks near Stelmakhivka, Makivka and Bilohorivka
- Reports of a degraded Russian assault force retreating from Spirne after repeated attacks
Bakhmut Area
- Localized Ukrainian counter-attacks prompting responses from Wagner Group and Russian MOD
- Ukrainian forces broke through some Russian lines, recapturing ground
- Prigozhin and MOD responses reflect panic over potential Ukrainian counter-offensives
- Deployment of low-quality Russian forces on Bakhmut flanks suggests aim of encirclement largely abandoned
- Geolocated footage shows Ukrainians pushing Russians from section of Bakhmut-Chasiv Yar highway
- Jonathan believes Ukrainians will focus on attacking Russian flanks to the north and south of Bakhmut to force a retreat rather than costly urban fighting
Avdiivka, Marinka and Vuhledar
- Minor mapping changes more favourable to Ukraine around Avdiivka
- Russian claims of advances in Kamyanka and Opytne not substantiated
- Reports of a limited Ukrainian counter-attack crossing the Shaitanka River near Novodonetsk
Zaporizhzhia and Kherson Oblasts
- Russian shelling intensifying, targeting areas west of Kherson and along Dnipro River
- Stanislav and Kizomys struck with guided aerial bombs, civilian infrastructure in Zaporizhzhia city hit with S300 missiles
- Ongoing fighting reported on Velyki Potemkin island in the Dnipro River delta
- Barislav described as a "ghost town" due to repeated attacks. Deeply sad stories of civilian casualties.
Wrap Up
Jonathan emphasizes the human toll of the war behind the lines on the map. He believes the quickest way to end the suffering is for Ukraine to be given everything they need to finish and win the war, as Russia is not in a good position to execute a successful campaign. He anticipates a crazy month ahead in terms of mapping the frontline changes.
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