Ukraine War Update NEWS: Military Aid & Geopolitics News - Israel Conflict & Ukraine
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Table of Contents 📖
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"To be paralyzed by escalation would be terrible, and we have not been paralyzed. We have provided tens of billions of dollars of advanced weapons, intelligence, training, capacity that has had enormous lethal effect. But to be completely cavalier about escalation, to say that to even raise a question makes you a coward, that's easy to do from the outside. But when you sit in this seat, you can't do that. You have an obligation to the American people to consider worst case scenarios. That's your job."
Hello Team!
Jonathan starts the video by noting there hasn't been much news on military aid packages or equipment being given to Ukraine recently. He wonders if this is due to a slowdown in announcements or aid being overshadowed by bigger news stories.
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US Plans to Combine Ukraine and Israel Aid
- The White House plans to combine aid to Ukraine and Israel into one package to increase the chance of approval from Congress, despite growing opposition from House Republicans.
- Republican Josh Hawley argues any Ukraine funding should be redirected to Israel immediately. Jonathan strongly disagrees with this view.
- National Security Advisor John Kirby states the US is large enough to support both Israel and Ukraine simultaneously.
Rheinmetall Receives Order for Ukraine Artillery Shells
Rheinmetall has received another order for artillery shells from the German government, with all ammunition intended for Ukraine. This highlights Rheinmetall's continued importance.
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New Yorker Article on Jake Sullivan and Ukraine Aid Decisions
- The New Yorker published an in-depth article on National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan's role in US aid decisions for Ukraine.
- The article suggests President Biden, not the Pentagon or Sullivan, was the main "drag" on the speed of responding to Ukrainian requests for weapons like ATACMS.
- In September, shortly before Zelensky's visit to Washington, Biden approved sending ATACMS to Ukraine after nearly a year of resistance.
- Sullivan defends the administration's cautious approach, arguing they have an obligation to the American people to consider worst-case scenarios and potential escalation.
- Jonathan spends significant time discussing this article, noting its importance in understanding the dynamics and challenges of US decision-making on Ukraine aid.
British Intelligence on Potential Russian Mobilization
British intelligence claims another mobilization in Russia is unlikely before the March presidential election, as the Kremlin will want to avoid unpopular decisions. This aligns with analysis from Anders Puck Nielsen that Jonathan previously shared.
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German State Elections Show Rise of Far-Right AFD
- German state elections in Hesse and Bavaria saw gains for the far-right AFD party, concerning for Ukraine supporters as AFD is the most pro-Russia party in Germany.
- Migration and economic issues are driving this shift. Jonathan notes the perception of immigration is a huge challenge for the EU and individual European countries.
- Russia will likely be exploiting and fomenting these issues on social media to sow discord, as they have done in other elections like Brexit and the US.
Israel-Palestine Conflict and Implications for Ukraine
- Jonathan spends significant time discussing the recent escalation of violence between Israel and Palestine, particularly Israeli airstrikes on Gaza in response to Hamas attacks.
- He shares footage highlighting the destruction in Gaza and human impact on Palestinian civilians.
- European officials are concerned Russia could exploit the chaos to push the Kremlin closer to Iran, which is allied with Hamas.
- There are many false equivalencies being made between the Israel-Palestine conflict and the war in Ukraine. Jonathan stresses these are very different situations that should not be conflated.
- The solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict will require compromise and understanding that while all Hamas are Palestinians, not all Palestinians are Hamas. Collective punishment of Palestinians for Hamas' actions is problematic.
Wrap up
Jonathan notes this was a much longer news update than intended but he felt there were many important things to discuss, especially regarding Israel-Palestine and the New Yorker article on US aid decisions. He welcomes feedback from viewers on his analysis and thanks them for watching.
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