Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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"Avdiivka has been a meat grinder that's gone under the radar compared to Bakhmut over the months but it is it's suffering quite heavily you know everyone's suffering around there"
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an overview of the frontline situation, focusing on the northeastern sector from Kupyansk to Svatove and down to Kreminna where the Russians are putting pressure on the Ukrainians. He explains the defensive lines and recent changes to the mapping in this area.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Russian Gains in Torske Area
- Syriac Maps (pro-Russian) shows Russian gains in the Torske area, moving into the urban area
- Geolocated footage confirms Russians are in this area as Ukrainians are shelling their positions
- Discussion about a video that was removed causing confusion about who controls what
Why are the Russians Attacking Here?
Jonathan analyzes the possible reasons for the Russian attacks:
- Trying to reach natural boundaries like the Zherebets River
- Larger goal of taking the Donbas region, including key cities like Lyman, Slovyansk, Kramatorsk
- However, it's unlikely Russia has the reserves and artillery ammunition to achieve these ambitious goals
Bakhmut Area
- Ukrainians making gains north of Bakhmut, possibly in control of Klishchiivka
- Russians still fighting hard and counterattacking, piling in reinforcements
- Heavy losses on both sides but Russians losing equipment at an unsustainable rate
- Avdiivka also seeing a lot of action, a "meat grinder" overshadowed by Bakhmut
Southern Front - Vuhledar & Velyka Novosilka
- Ukrainian gains towards Mikilske and the reservoir south of Vuhledar
- Ukrainians advancing and strengthening positions near Velyka Novosilka
- Fighting in Staromaiorske, Ukrainians trying to flank Uruzaine
- Some Ukrainian losses of mechanized equipment like Bradleys but this is expected with offensive operations
Kherson Region
- Confusing situation with Russians claiming to capture some houses near Antonivsky Bridge
- Ukrainians seem to have advanced from their bridgehead on the left bank of the Dnipro
- Also some Ukrainian gains along the Konka River, pushing Russians back
- A Russian source admits the situation is not great for Russia in this area
Wrap Up
Jonathan notes a lot of activity all along the front lines with many areas being hammered by Ukrainian HIMARS, Storm Shadow missiles and artillery. Key logistics hubs like Berdyansk, Melitopol and Tokmak consistently being hit.
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