Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update - Siversk Focus
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Table of Contents 📖
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"When you've started seeing the uptick of men lost over the last three days, like almost 3,000 people over three days, and you're thinking, okay, if there's rumours that three companies have been lost just around here in the south of Adivka, and a bunch of equipment as well, so there's plenty of footage of material that's been lost around Adivka, you're starting to think, okay, that's where the figures are coming from."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the frontlines in Ukraine for 8th February 2023. He notes that according to the ISW, the Russian military command may be rushing to launch a large-scale offensive operation in an unrealistic timeframe and without sufficient combat power. Setting arbitrary deadlines can pressure forces to do things they are not ready for, which is likely to cause problems.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast frontline (Kupyansk to Svatove to Kreminna)
- The Ukrainian defensive lines in the Kupyansk area appear to be along the railway line that goes past Lyman Pershyi and up to Dvorichna. The river provides a useful defensive barrier.
- There is fighting going on in the Kupyansk area but no major developments.
- Ukrainian reconnaissance and sabotage groups are operating behind Russian lines, mining areas to delay any Russian offensive.
- Not much activity is reported around Svatove. Around Kreminna, the Russians have made some gains to the north.
Siversk
- Siversk is an important place that provides a buffer zone for Kreminna. It is heavily defended and could be difficult for Russia to take.
- Bilohorivka is key to Siversk holding out. It has been flattened but Ukrainians are still holding on. The high ground to the south and west of Bilohorivka could help maintain a Ukrainian presence.
- Russian sources claim they are advancing towards Siversk from multiple directions - northeast near Bilohorivka, east near Spirne, and southeast near Verkhnokamianske.
- The topography around Siversk, with the river valley and high ground on either side, makes it difficult for Russia to attack from the south.
Bakhmut
- The Russians are gaining ground in Bakhmut from the east and northeast. They are attacking along three main roads in the east, trying to push the Ukrainians back to the river.
- Ukraine has two main defensive lines in Bakhmut - the river through the city and the railway line to the east. As long as the supply route from the west holds, the city will be difficult to take.
- In the south, the fight around Ivanivske is key. If it falls, it could be the trigger for a Ukrainian evacuation of Bakhmut as the main remaining supply route would be threatened.
- In the north, the Russians have made extended gains around Blahodatne and are trying to encircle Ukrainian forces in Krasna Hora. However, they are vulnerable to counterattacks in this salient.
Avdiivka and Vuhledar
- There are rumours that Russia has suffered catastrophic losses of up to three companies (500-1000 men) over 72 hours in the south of Avdiivka. A lot of drone footage shows Russian infantry and equipment being destroyed by improvised munitions.
- In Marinka, heavy fighting continues with the Russians pushing in the southwestern outskirts, which is a change from previous claims of western outskirts.
- In Vuhledar, the losses may be even worse than Avdiivka, particularly in terms of equipment. The fighting seems concentrated between Pavlivka and Mykilske. The Dachys (summer houses) used by Russian forces have been flattened by Ukrainian artillery.
Southern frontline
- Not much significant activity reported in Zaporizhzhia, just some skirmishes.
- Ukraine claims to have destroyed 7 Russian boats in the Dnipro River that were being used to ferry sabotage groups, and damaged 2 Russian Grad MLRS near Oleshky that were firing on Kherson.
- A large explosion was reported in Makiivka, possibly from a HIMARS strike, showing that HIMARS are still active even if not always evident.
Wrap up
Jonathan wraps up today's frontline update and thanks viewers for their support. He reminds them to like, subscribe and share the video.
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