Ukraine War Update BUMPER NEWS: Geopolitics News, Vance Analysis
Table of Contents 📖
"These entities are going to be controlling our futures and it's not going to be a case of free and fair democratic um ideals"
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-00:38⏩
Jonathan welcomes viewers to another Ukraine War Update, the third part for July 16th, 2024, focusing on Geopolitics. He acknowledges the video's length due to the numerous significant events.
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EU Parliament demands Hungary be stripped of EU voting rights
🎦 00:38-02:27⏩
Sixty-three MEPs have written to EU leaders demanding Hungary be stripped of its EU voting rights following Orban's trips to Russia and China. Jonathan expresses concern over Orban's actions, suggesting he acts as a conduit of information between Putin, Xi Jinping, and Trump, ultimately shaping a foreign policy detrimental to Ukraine.
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Serhiy Kyslytsya questions legitimacy of Russia's UN membership
🎦 02:45-05:38⏩
Jonathan highlights a speech by Ukrainian diplomat, Serhiy Kyslytsya, questioning the legitimacy of Russia's UN membership in light of Putin's actions. Kyslytsya challenges UN delegates to confirm if Russia was ever formally admitted to the UN after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, emphasizing the lack of a formal vote on Russia's membership.
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Ukraine-Czechia Cooperation
🎦 05:38-06:16⏩
Ukrainian Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal is visiting Czechia to discuss ammunition, energy cooperation, EU and NATO integration projects, and infrastructure support for Ukraine.
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Ukrainian Public Opinion on Peace Negotiations
🎦 06:16-07:22⏩
Jonathan addresses a survey indicating a potential shift in Ukrainian public opinion towards peace negotiations with Russia. He advises caution in interpreting the data, emphasizing that support for negotiations does not equate to accepting Russia's ceasefire conditions, which include Ukraine ceding territory.
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Estonian Prime Minister Resigns to Lead EU Diplomacy
🎦 07:22-07:48⏩
Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas resigns to become the head of EU diplomacy, a move Jonathan views as positive due to her strong support for Ukraine. Her entire government resigned with her, necessitating the formation of a new government in Estonia.
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EU Foreign Ministers Boycott Hungary's Summit
🎦 07:48-09:46⏩
EU foreign ministers plan to boycott Hungary's upcoming summit due to Orbán's stance on Ukraine and his visits to Russia and China. Jonathan suggests that this boycott undermines Orbán's attempts to portray Hungary as a key player in Europe and could bolster the popularity of pro-EU, pro-Ukraine opposition leader Péter Márki-Zay. He also voices concerns about Orbán's alignment with Russia, China, and Trump, believing Trump to be "absolutely compromised."
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Orban's Control Over Hungarian Judiciary (and parallels with Trump)
🎦 09:46-11:26⏩
Jonathan compares Orbán's control over the Hungarian judiciary to Trump's influence on the US Supreme Court, drawing parallels between their approaches to consolidating power. He criticizes Trump's manipulation of the legal system and expresses concerns about the erosion of judicial independence in both countries.
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Lithuania considers ban on Belarusian cars
🎦 11:26-11:43⏩
Lithuania may ban cars with Belarusian license plates and impose restrictions on some exports to Belarus in response to the ongoing situation with Russia and Belarus.
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Latvia bans Belarusian Cars
🎦 11:43-12:00⏩
Latvia has banned the entry of cars with Belarusian registration plates as part of its response to the ongoing situation.
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Lithuania ends free education for new Ukrainian students
🎦 12:00-12:45⏩
Lithuania is ending its program of free education for new Ukrainian student applicants. Students already enrolled can complete their studies for free. Jonathan speculates this decision aims to encourage Ukrainians to return home to support the Ukrainian economy.
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India aims to increase exports to Russia
🎦 12:45-13:41⏩
Following the Modi-Putin meeting, India aims to increase exports to Russia. Jonathan expresses concern over India's strengthening ties with Russia, particularly their postponement of a cultural meeting with Ukraine and summoning of Ukraine's ambassador over Zelensky's criticism of Modi's visit to Moscow.
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UK and EU to step up inspections of Russian oil fleet
🎦 13:41-14:07⏩
The UK and EU countries plan to increase inspections of the Russian oil fleet to prevent Russia from circumventing international sanctions.
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Jonathan's concerns on US stance on sanctions
🎦 14:07-15:15⏩
Jonathan expresses deep concern over the potential impact of a Trump presidency on the US's commitment to sanctions against Russia. He fears that a Trump administration might relax sanctions, leaving the EU isolated in maintaining economic pressure on Russia and undermining the effectiveness of these measures.
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Elon Musk, Twitter and Ukraine
🎦 15:15-19:19⏩
Jonathan criticizes Elon Musk's support for Trump, highlighting a report that Musk will donate $45 million per month to Trump's campaign. He expresses concerns over Musk's amplification of Trump and David Sachs's messages, which he sees as echoing Russian propaganda. He condemns Twitter's labeling of official German government websites providing information on military assistance to Ukraine as "unsafe" and draws parallels with the platform's previous actions against Bellingcat. Jonathan argues that these actions demonstrate a worrying trend towards censorship and a pro-Russian bias on Twitter under Musk's leadership.
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Assassination Attempt on Trump and Reactions
🎦 19:19-24:25⏩
Jonathan discusses the assassination attempt on Trump, reporting that the shooter was a registered Republican who associated with MAGA supporters. He criticizes Republican Senator Mike Lee for suggesting the attack was provoked by Biden's rhetoric. He highlights the contrasting reactions of the Biden and Trump camps to the family of a man killed at a recent Trump rally, noting that Biden reached out to offer condolences while Trump did not.
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J.D. Vance as Trump's Running Mate and his stance on Ukraine
🎦 24:25-26:59⏩
Jonathan expresses concern over the selection of J.D. Vance as Trump's running mate, describing Vance as "Trump 2.0" or even worse. He criticizes Vance's stance on Ukraine, quoting Vance's statement that a peace settlement requires "significant territorial concessions" from Ukraine. Jonathan argues that this position undermines any potential for fair negotiations and demonstrates a pro-Russian bias. He also highlights Vance's past criticisms of the Ukrainian government and his downplaying of Ukraine's strategic importance to US national security.
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J.D. Vance's Views and Past Statements
🎦 26:59-31:40⏩
Jonathan delves into J.D. Vance's controversial views, highlighting Vance's statements suggesting that people in violent marriages should not divorce for the sake of the children and that the "inconvenience of rape" should not be a factor in deciding on abortion. He presents Vance's past criticisms of Trump, quoting Vance's own words describing Trump as a "fraud," "noxious," and likening him to "cultural heroin." Jonathan questions Vance's motives for aligning with Trump, suggesting that it reflects a desire for power over principle.
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J.D. Vance on Ukraine
🎦 31:40-33:26⏩
Jonathan continues his critique of J.D. Vance's stance on Ukraine, quoting Vance's statement that he doesn't "really care what happens to Ukraine one way or another." He compares this view to the isolationist sentiment in the US before World War II, arguing that such an approach is shortsighted and dangerous. He plays a clip of Vance advocating for a peace deal that involves Ukraine ceding territory to Russia, characterizing Vance's position as advocating for appeasement.
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J.D. Vance on "De-Wokification"
🎦 33:26-35:46⏩
Jonathan expresses concern over Vance's statement about the need for a "de-wokification" program in the US, which he sees as mirroring the rhetoric and tactics of authoritarian regimes. He cites Vance's suggestion to "seize the institutions of the left" and replace civil servants with "our people" as evidence of Vance's dangerous leanings. Jonathan expresses fear that such an approach, combined with Trump's potential control over the Supreme Court, could severely undermine democratic norms and institutions in the US.
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J.D. Vance's Foreign Policy Views
🎦 35:46-38:20⏩
Jonathan reiterates his concerns about J.D. Vance's foreign policy views, characterizing them as "isolationist" and potentially harmful to US interests and global security. He argues that Vance's views, if put into practice under a Trump administration, could have disastrous consequences, such as emboldening Russia and undermining NATO. He calls for close scrutiny of Vance's influence on Trump and questions whether Trump genuinely shares Vance's views or selected him for political expediency.
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David Sachs speaks at the RNC
🎦 38:20-43:39⏩
Jonathan shifts focus to David Sachs, a close associate of Elon Musk, who spoke at the Republican National Convention. He condemns Sachs' speech for promoting what he calls "Russian talking points", including blaming Zelensky for the war in Ukraine and criticizing NATO expansion. Jonathan notes that Sachs' speech received a muted response from the audience, suggesting that his views might be more popular online than among the general public.
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Musk's donations to Trump
🎦 43:39-44:17⏩
Jonathan mentions Elon Musk's significant financial contributions to Donald Trump's election campaign, highlighting a $45 million monthly donation to a pro-Trump political action committee. He expresses concern about the overwhelming influence of money in US elections, suggesting that it undermines fair competition and favors wealthy donors over meaningful policy debates.
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Orban on Trump as Peace Broker
🎦 44:17-47:19⏩
Jonathan reports on a letter from Viktor Orbán to EU leaders claiming that Trump, if elected, intends to immediately act as a peace broker between Russia and Ukraine. Orbán suggests that Trump has "well-founded plans" for peace talks, prompting concerns that such negotiations might involve pressuring Ukraine into unfavorable concessions to Russia. Jonathan also notes Orbán's call for the EU to prepare for a potential shift in US policy towards Ukraine under a Trump administration, particularly regarding financial support.
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Potential Shift in US policy towards Ukraine
🎦 47:19-48:06⏩
Jonathan analyzes the potential implications of a Trump presidency on US policy toward Ukraine, based on information from Orbán's letter and a policy paper by Trump's former advisors. He expresses concern over the suggestion that future US military aid to Ukraine might be contingent on Kyiv's willingness to engage in peace talks with Russia, potentially forcing them into a disadvantageous position.
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Jonathan's Closing Thoughts on Trump, Vance and the US Elections
🎦 48:06-50:36⏩
Jonathan concludes his analysis by reiterating his concerns about the potential for a Trump-Vance administration to significantly alter US foreign policy, particularly regarding Ukraine. He voices his strong opposition to Trump and Vance, believing their approach to be detrimental to Ukraine and global security. He expresses deep concern that their potential victory in the upcoming election could empower authoritarian regimes and undermine democratic values. He reiterates his commitment to pro-Ukrainian coverage and his intention to continue raising awareness about these crucial issues.
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Wrap up
🎦 50:36-50:39⏩
Jonathan thanks his audience for watching and ends the video.
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