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Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News

News🔷Hits and Losses🔷Geopolitics🔷Military Aid Thursday, 13th July 2023, 10:18
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"Are they that ostrich-like to still think that this crusade they're on is the right thing to do?"

Hello Team!

Jonathan provides his daily Ukraine War News Update for 13 July 2023. He notes there is less news compared to the previous day's two longer videos.

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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA

  1. These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
  2. These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
  3. All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
  4. Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
  5. Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
  6. Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
  7. Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
  8. All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
  9. Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.

Hits and Losses

  • 510 liquidated Russian personnel, which is lower than recent weeks
  • Successful Ukrainian attacks on tanks, armoured vehicles, artillery systems, MLR systems, anti-aircraft systems, drones, vehicles and fuel tanks
  • 85 dead Wagner troops found by volunteer body collectors around Bakhmut
  • Total Russian losses estimated between 47,000 (Meduza-Mediazona analysis) and 236,040 (Ukrainian figures)
  • 2 Russian Buk missile systems destroyed by Ukrainian HIMARS


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Military Aid

  • Canada pledged $410 million more aid to Ukraine
  • Japan announced new aid in the form of drone detection systems
  • Almost 5,200 Ukrainian military trained in France so far, 7,000 expected by year-end
  • Australia providing 30 more Bushmaster protected mobility vehicles
  • Swedish-supplied Stridsvagn 122 tanks (customized Leopard 2A5s) now in Ukraine
  • Norway transferring more NASAMS air defence equipment
  • Biden says Ukraine has "ATACMS equivalent" but artillery shells are the key need
  • Wagner handed over 2,000 pieces of military equipment to Russian Defence Ministry


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Geopolitics

  • Russian Major General Ivan Popov relieved of duty after complaining to high command about lack of counter-battery capabilities, reconnaissance and mass deaths of soldiers
  • Opinion polls show support for the war fading in Russia, with 45% wanting to continue vs 44% preferring peace talks
  • NATO did not give Ukraine everything it wanted regarding membership but pledged long-term support:

-- Created NATO-Ukraine Council -- Promised long-term military assistance -- Abolished membership action plan requirement but accession still conditional

  • Some suggest NATO membership being withheld as future bargaining chip with Russia
  • G7 joint declaration promised bilateral security arrangements and to keep Russian assets frozen until reparations paid
  • Zelensky ultimately struck positive note, welcoming progress and security guarantees


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Frontline Update

  • Ukrainian advances south of Bakhmut, solidifying positions near Klishchivka
  • Kadyrov's troops suffered heavy losses trying to help Russians near Klishchivka
  • Russian sources report tank battle ongoing in Robotyne area as Ukraine tries to break through first defensive line
  • Russian footage confirms Ukrainian capture of fortifications northeast of Robotyne


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Wrap Up

Jonathan ponders whether Russia has any self-awareness that the world is uniting against them, using an analogy of a misbehaving kid in a classroom. He suggests Putin is too entrenched to back down as his fate is tied to the war, which some analysts believe means the conflict won't end while he remains in power. Jonathan highlights the poignant message displayed in Lithuania: "Putin, the Hague is waiting for you."

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🤖❓ AI Debrief (post task) - anything the AI didn't understand

🤖💭 AI Plan (pre task) - the AI's step by step thought process

Steps: Extract key information about hits and losses Summarize news about military aid and geopolitics Provide updates on the frontline situation Highlight key points from the NATO summit and reactions Include Jonathan's insights and opinions throughout Select a poignant or thought-provoking quote Use British English spellings and grammar Format using the provided XML structure

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