Ukraine War Update NEWS: Overnight & Other News
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"Senior Russian leaders are likely aware that the state's military industrial output is becoming a critical weakness exacerbated by the strategic and operational miscalculation of invading Ukraine."
Hello Team!
Jonathan records the video for the third time due to technical issues, wasting over an hour. He proceeds with the news update.
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🪦 DISCLAIMER FOR GENERAL STAFF LOSSES DATA
- These are real people with real lives and real families who love them. Don’t let the numbers sap your humanity.
- These numbers probably aren’t accurate but they’re the best we have and we don’t need them to be accurate to be indicative of patterns of activity.
- All losses are estimates. Losses cannot be counted with accuracy because of the conditions on the ground.
- Both sides would see it to be of their advantage to minimize their own losses maximize the other side’s losses.
- Neither side releases their losses but we have enough transparency from the Ukrainian side to have confidence in they are indicative.
- Personnel losses are hard to count. If a soldier gets injured, heals up, and returns to the front line only to get injured again, is that one loss or two? Also, how to deal with losses from PMC’s or soldiers fighting with RF from occupied territories?
- Equipment losses are hard to count. If an AA complex involves several parts and one part gets disabled, is that a loss, or a fraction of a loss? If a tank gets disabled, repaired, back into the fight, then disabled again, is that one lost tank or two?
- All recorded losses are vulnerable to multiple reporting. We have already seen numerous cases of multiple drones in the air reporting the same loss from different angles as multiple engagements.
- Losses are not always reported on the same day they occurred. It is frequent that drone losses are reported at least 24 hours after other terrestrial equipment losses. Certain losses may not be reported for days or weeks for military intelligence reasons.
Russian Losses
- Ukraine reports 690 Russian personnel losses, lower than the previous week's average
- The past week saw a record 6,180 Russian army deaths, according to Ukrainian figures
- Putin can continue to throw bodies at the war, as Russia has 100 million more people than Ukraine
- The General Staff reports Russians are burning dead soldiers' bodies around the clock in Crimea to hide losses
Non-Battle Casualties
- Trent Telenko's predictions of massive Russian non-battle casualties from frostbite have been confirmed by the Ukrainian General Staff
- Up to 30% of all wounded Russians in Donetsk have frostbite due to lack of winter uniforms
- This percentage is consistent with US Army casualties from the Ardennes campaign in 1945
Partisan Activity and Fires in Russia
- Atesh reports a partisan attack in Novokhrivka, killing two members of the occupying regime and injuring two others in a car bombing
- Russia has sent 200 Rosgvardia to Kherson to suppress growing partisan and pro-Ukrainian sentiment
- A train repair business burned down in Kolomna, Russia, possibly affecting railways
Aviation Claims and Losses
- Russia claims it shot down a Ukrainian helicopter and plane near Slovyansk, but their aviation claims have been exaggerated
- A Russian Su-24 jet from Wagner PMC was shot down by a MANPAD but managed to return to base
- A Tos-1 thermobaric artillery piece was destroyed near Vuhledar, a significant loss for the Russians
Intelligence Updates
- UK intelligence suggests senior Russian leaders are aware that the state's military-industrial output is becoming a critical weakness
- US intelligence concludes that retaking Crimea is currently beyond the capability of Ukraine's army
- The battle line has barely shifted since the Ukrainian victory at Kherson, with Russian advances being minuscule and costly
- Western intelligence reports a noticeable build-up of Russian aircraft near the Ukrainian border, possibly indicating preparations for a major offensive
- UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace estimates that 97% of the Russian army is now in Ukraine
Military Aid
- Germany to restart production of ammunition for Gepard anti-aircraft guns
- Spain to train 55 Ukrainian soldiers on Leopard tanks starting this week
- Netherlands and Denmark commit funds to refurbish 100 Leopard 1 tanks instead of providing Leopard 2s
- Norway to donate eight Leopard 2s and up to four support variants to Ukraine
- The Ramstein contact group expects only one tank battalion will be equipped with Leopard 2 tanks
- A shipload of 280 pieces of US equipment, including Bradleys and MRAPs, arrives in Germany for Ukraine
- Slovakia expresses readiness to transfer MiG-29 fighters to Ukraine
- Greece transferring 20 BMP-1 infantry fighting vehicles to Ukraine as part of a German backfill deal
Wrap up
Jonathan thanks viewers for their support, emphasizing the importance of likes, subscriptions, and shares. He mentions the tough day ahead, including a frontline update and work.
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