Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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This summary has been produced automatically by an AI Large Language Model (LLM) without any human intervention. Whilst every effort has been made to prompt the LLM to produce accurate output, there may be inconsistencies, inaccuracies or hallucinations!
Table of Contents 📖
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"The only victory the Russians can realistically have in terms of the last half a year I mean this isn't just about the last few weeks or anything this is half a year like the second greatest army in the world has been going at it for half a year here or for a year and a bit but but in terms of their offensive phase maybe four five months and what have they achieved nothing"
Hello Team!
Jonathan starts the video with a discussion of the machinations between Yevgeny Prigozhin of the Wagner PMC, the Russian MOD, and Ramzan Kadyrov, the Chechen leader. There are claims that Prigozhin and Kadyrov have agreed for Chechen Akhmat troops to replace Wagner forces in Bakhmut by May 10th. The ISW suggests this is likely an attempt to frame the Russian MOD as ineffective and set conditions to blame them for any setbacks in Bakhmut. Questions remain about the combat effectiveness of the Chechen troops compared to Wagner.
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Kupyansk to Kreminna Front Line
- There have been HIMARS strikes on Rubizhne, a city east of Kreminna.
- The Russian Western Grouping of Forces claimed to have destroyed four Ukrainian sabotage and reconnaissance groups near Novomilnsk in Kharkiv Oblast (northeast of Kupyansk) and Nova Solifka near Svatove.
- Ukrainian forces are reportedly counter-attacking in the direction of Lysychansk according to the Russian MOD.
- Overall, this sector is fairly quiet with some normal activity around Bilohorivka and Sinkivka near Kupyansk, and Spirne further south.
Bakhmut
- North of Bakhmut, the Ukrainian army launched a counter-attack and recaptured some positions west of Sakko Ivansetty according to Suriyak Maps. Jonathan's mapping now shows this whole area not under Russian control, indicating they may be moving to a defensive posture here.
- The ISW says Russian forces continue to make marginal gains within Bakhmut as of May 6th, with geolocated footage showing advances in western Bakhmut. There are reports of incendiary munitions being used by the Russians for two nights in a row.
- Deep State Map shows the Russians have taken a couple extra blocks in northern Bakhmut and pushed further west in some areas.
- Prigozhin has published a report to Shoigu requesting to hand over Wagner's positions to the Kadyrovites by May 10th.
- The Ukrainians do not have much ground left to give up in Bakhmut. It's unlikely the Russians can take the rest of the city by May 9th, but the question is if Ukraine has any surprises planned for the 8th or 9th to undermine Russian Victory Day celebrations.
Avdiivka Area
- There are claims of activity around Novobakhmutivka, with the ISW reporting unsuccessful Russian attacks near Pervomaiske and positional assaults west of Novobakhmutivka.
- Pule Volon's map indicates Ukrainians took back some territory north of Vodiane and Opytne. Geolocated footage suggests Ukrainian forces made marginal gains in a limited counter-attack in this area.
- The ISW assesses that the tempo of Russian offensive operations has decreased along this front as they prepare to transition to defensive operations ahead of the expected Ukrainian counter-offensive.
- Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed ground attacks in western Donetsk Oblast on May 6th and repelled Ukrainian reconnaissance force operations in the area.
Marinka and Vuhledar
- There are reports of unsuccessful Russian offensive operations around Avdiivka and Marinka.
- Reporting from Ukraine previously covered Ukrainians taking back the area south of Pavlivka.
- The Russians are using heavy aviation attacks with FAB-500 bombs on Vuhledar, destroying several buildings. These bombs are more effective than artillery at structurally damaging buildings.
- There are a significant number of Ukrainian troops in and around Vuhledar according to Reporting from Ukraine.
Zaporizhzhia and Crimea
- Normal claims of defensive posturing in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
- Russian occupation authorities temporarily suspended transport across the Kerch Strait yesterday due to concerns about traffic being hit, but it has since resumed.
- There was intense missile and drone activity around Russian-occupied Crimea last night, with hits around Yevpatoria, Sevastopol, Saki, Dzhankoy, and near Simferopol. It appears Ukraine is softening targets and shaping the battlefield.
Kherson Area
- Ukrainian artillery hit and destroyed a large base of Russian forces in Hola Prystan.
- Ukrainian artillery also hit a Russian ammunition depot on the bank of the Dnipro River near Kherson city.
- Artillery duels continue up and down the Dnipro River but nothing too significant to report.
Wrap up
Jonathan wraps up the update and thanks viewers for watching. He asks people to like, subscribe, share and support the channel, expressing his appreciation to everyone.
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