Ukraine War Update NEWS: Bumper Military Aid Analysis
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"When Ukrainians say that we need more weapons, the West often thinks that it is a sign of ingratitude. In fact, Ukrainians are grateful. But there is another side. How many weapons is your enemy supplying to the front?"
Hello Team!
Jonathan discusses an infographic showing the number of tanks Western countries have given to Ukraine compared to their total tank inventories. He argues that while the numbers sound impressive, Ukraine needs a guaranteed supply of replacement tanks to use them effectively in offensives without fear of losses. Russia has a 4:1 advantage in tank production/refurbishment.
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Struggle for Resources
- Russia has removed approximately 6,000 howitzers, 1,000 self-propelled guns, and 500 multiple-launch rocket systems from storage to compensate for losses. No other country could sustain such losses.
- Russia's artillery supply is running out as they have likely removed most modern systems from storage. Restoration of tanks and other vehicles is more difficult.
- Russia supplies up to 100 tanks to the front monthly but faces technical issues. They are now using older T-54/55 tanks.
- The West's efforts to supply heavy weapons to Ukraine peaked in early 2023. Lack of clear strategy and political issues have hindered further support.
- Ukraine loses less equipment than Russia (1:3 ratio), but it's not enough. Air supremacy remains Russia's main advantage, while Ukraine's is long-range artillery.
Military Aid Updates
- US bought 60 Gepard/Cheetah anti-aircraft guns from Jordan for €110M to send to Ukraine.
- French arms manufacturer signed €36M deal to supply Ukraine with rifles and grenade launchers.
- UK supplied 82K helmets, 25K winter clothing sets, 10K body armour sets, and 70K ration packs.
- Australia considering another aid package with ammo, vehicles, financial aid for electrical repairs.
- Russia increasing production of laser-guided artillery rounds to use in winter. Improved precision munitions key to their performance.
- Western training for Ukrainian troops adjusting after criticism it didn't reflect battlefield realities.
- Satellite imagery shows Russian factory progressing in building Iranian-designed drones.
Wrap up
The volume of information covered demonstrates the importance and complexity of military aid to Ukraine. While support has been significant, Jonathan argues that a step change in the amount and type of aid is still needed for Ukraine to prevail against Russia. He encourages viewers to put pressure on politicians to maintain and increase support for Ukraine in its fight for democracy.
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