Ukraine War Update: Full Frontline Update
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Table of Contents 📖
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"The Russians appear to do both. Instead of just concentrating on flanking, they attack as well. And they must be losing huge amounts of troops."
Hello Team!
Jonathan provides an update on the frontlines of the Russia-Ukraine war for January 29, 2023. Before diving into the details, he discusses some key points from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) daily report:
- Conventional Russian forces are likely replacing exhausted Wagner Group forces to maintain the offensive in Bakhmut
- Russian forces are attempting to prevent Ukraine from regaining the initiative, possibly ahead of a planned decisive Russian offensive in Donbas
- The Russian military leadership may be planning an offensive based on erroneous assumptions about their capabilities
- Wagner Group's decreasing role in Bakhmut is likely reducing Yevgeny Prigozhin's influence, leading to infighting
📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Northeast Frontline Update
- Geolocated footage indicates Russian forces have made marginal advances near Hryvnyi Kivka on the Kupyansk-Svatove axis
- Various Russian sources claim Ukrainians are gathering forces in multiple areas (Kupyansk, Kuzmivka, north and south of Kreminna) but it's unclear if this is accurate
- Repelled attacks occurred in the usual areas near Kreminna - Bilohorivka, Makiivka, Nevske, Chervonopopivka
Bakhmut Area Update
- Russians have taken Blahodatne north of Bakhmut and are pressuring Krasna Hora
- Fierce battles ongoing north of Bakhmut near Paraskoviivka with Russians trying to cut off supply roads to the city from the west
- If Ivanivske is taken, a key road will be in range of Russian artillery, threatening Ukrainian supply lines
- Unclear situation around Klishchiivka south of Bakhmut with conflicting reports
- Nearby towns like Kostyantynivka are being shelled as Russians advance
Avdiivka, Marinka and Vuhledar Update
- Russians trying to encircle Avdiivka by advancing from the north and south to cut off supply roads
- Little change in Marinka despite Russian claims; attacks repelled
- Vuhledar has become a "graveyard" for Russian troops and equipment as they throw themselves at Ukrainian defenses
- Ukrainian artillery is effectively targeting Russian forces with the help of drones/spotters to provide coordinates
- A video shows a Ukrainian unit geolocating Russian targets for artillery strikes
Southern Frontline Update
- No reported Russian ground attacks in Zaporizhzhia Oblast for second day
- Routine shelling continues in Kherson Oblast
- Zaporizhzhia city was struck by a Russian Iskander missile overnight on 27-28 January
Wrap Up
In summary, the key areas of activity are Bakhmut, where Russians are making slow, grinding progress, and Vuhledar, where they are suffering heavy losses in frontal assaults. The situation continues to develop. Jonathan thanks new channel members for their support and plans to release extra content just for members to provide more context and analysis. He encourages viewers to question everything, including their own biases. A Ukraine update extra video may be released later.
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