Ukraine Conflict: Full Frontline Update
Table of Contents 📖
"[Avdiivka] is being battered right now with one and a half ton bombs ... these are huge bombs being filmed from Donetsk, which allegedly saw eight years of bombing ... and yet Donetsk is full of light and intact buildings. The whole narrative is how terrible the Ukrainians are because they've been bombing Donetsk for eight years. And then you actually compare Donetsk to Avdiivka and tell me who's been doing most of the bombing and how seriously that bombing has been carried out."
Hello Team
🎦 00:00-01:48⏩
Jonathan, broadcasting from an undisclosed location in Ukraine, expresses his gratitude for the gifts he's received from viewers, including patches from "Rick the Ukrainian" and a carved shell from "Fish".
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📍 FRONT-LINE UPDATE -🗺️ MAP LEGEND
Mapping Key and Overview
🎦 01:48-02:02⏩
Jonathan reminds viewers of the mapping key, noting that the information presented is a couple of days old. He thanks JR for his ongoing work on the maps.
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Northeastern Sector (Kupiansk-Kreminna line): Russian troop buildup and probing attacks
🎦 02:02-03:52⏩
While there have been no significant changes on the frontline in this sector, Jonathan highlights reports of a large Russian troop buildup north of the border, with estimates of up to 500 tanks and 40,000 troops. He speculates that this could be a feint to draw Ukrainian resources away from other areas, but acknowledges the possibility of a renewed Russian offensive.
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Kreminna: Russian advances west of Kreminna
🎦 03:52-05:08⏩
Jonathan notes Russian gains west of Kreminna, pushing towards Yampolivka and Terny. He comments on discrepancies between different mapping sources, expressing a preference for Andriy Perpetua's more conservative approach. He voices concern over the Russian advances in this area.
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Bilohirvka: Ukrainian unit overrun due to ammunition shortages
🎦 05:08-07:34⏩
Jonathan shares a disturbing account from Bilohirvka, where a Ukrainian unit was overrun after a surprise attack. The last surviving soldier, unable to hold off the Russians, was forced to request artillery fire on his own position. Tragically, this support couldn't be provided due to a lack of ammunition. This story fuels Jonathan's outrage at the ongoing political maneuvering in the US Congress, which he sees as directly hindering the flow of vital military aid to Ukraine. He expresses deep concern over the influence of figures like Tucker Carlson, who has been spreading misinformation after a recent trip to Russia. Jonathan laments that these delays and disruptions are costing Ukrainian lives.
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Bakhmut: Static frontline but concerns remain
🎦 07:34-09:31⏩
Jonathan reports no significant changes around Bakhmut, with Ukrainian forces successfully repelling Russian attacks. He highlights the contested trench network west of Klishchivka, where Ukrainian forces appear to be holding their own despite earlier reports of a Russian takeover. Jonathan observes that this contradicts claims made by certain pro-Russian sources.
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Avdiivka: Dire situation for Ukrainian forces
🎦 09:31-15:53⏩
Jonathan paints a bleak picture of the situation in Avdiivka, describing it as "precarious" and potentially "game over" for the Ukrainian defenders. Russian forces have made significant gains in the north of the city, pushing towards the strategically important coke plant. Jonathan relays reports from various sources, including accounts from soldiers on the ground, that describe intense fighting, heavy bombardment (including the use of large FAB-1500 bombs), and critical ammunition shortages. The lack of ammunition is again highlighted as a major factor hindering the Ukrainian defence. Jonathan cites a Finnish fighter in Ukraine who suggests that an organised withdrawal may be necessary to avoid unnecessary casualties. The situation in Avdiivka is compared to the fall of Bakhmut, with concerns that the city may soon be under Russian control.
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Donetsk: Propaganda vs. Reality
🎦 15:53-16:05⏩
Jonathan addresses the Russian narrative that Donetsk has been under constant bombardment from Ukrainian forces for the past eight years. He contrasts this with the reality that Donetsk remains largely intact, while Avdiivka has been reduced to rubble.
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Marinka - Novo Mykhailivka: Russian advances continue
🎦 16:05-17:11⏩
Jonathan reports further Russian gains north of Marinka, with fighting ongoing near Novo Mykhailivka. He notes that the situation is developing rapidly and expresses concern over the Russian advances in this sector.
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Vuhledar - Mykilske: Russian gains
🎦 17:11-17:52⏩
Jonathan observes Russian gains southeast of Vuhledar, near Mykilske, marking a rare instance of movement in this area.
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Zaporizhzhia: No significant changes
🎦 17:52-18:05⏩
Jonathan reports no significant changes on the Zaporizhzhia front.
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Kreminna: Potential Ukrainian gains
🎦 18:05-19:19⏩
Jonathan points to potential Ukrainian gains around Kreminna, with reports of a broadening of their foothold in the area. He acknowledges discrepancies between different mapping sources but seems cautiously optimistic about the possibility of a Ukrainian pushback in this sector.
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Wrap up
🎦 19:19-19:22⏩
Jonathan concludes the update with a plea for continued viewer support and a promise to return soon with further updates.
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